Time-Dependent Effects of Clinical Interventions on SARS-CoV-2 Immunity in Patients with Lung Cancer.

In patients with lung cancer (LC), understanding factors that impact the dynamics of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) anti-spike antibody (SAb) titers over time is critical, but challenging, due to evolving treatments, infections, vaccinations, and health status. The objective was to develop a time-dependent regression model elucidating individual contributions of factors influencing SAb levels in LC patients using a prospective, longitudinal, multi-institutional cohort study initiated in January 2021. The study evaluated 296 LC patients-median age 69; 55% female; 50% stage IV. Blood samples were collected every three months to measure SAb levels using FDA-approved ELISA. Asymptomatic and unreported infections were documented through measurement of anti-nucleocapsid Ab levels (Meso Scale Discovery). Associations between clinical characteristics and titers were evaluated using a time-dependent linear regression model with a generalized estimating equation (GEE), considering time-independent variables (age, sex, ethnicity, smoking history, histology, and stage) and time-dependent variables (booster vaccinations, SARS-CoV-2 infections, cancer treatment, steroid use, and influenza vaccination). Significant time-dependent effects increasing titer levels were observed for prior SARS-CoV-2 infection (p < 0.001) and vaccination/boosters (p < 0.001). Steroid use (p = 0.043) and chemotherapy (p = 0.033) reduced titer levels. Influenza vaccination was associated with increased SAb levels (p < 0.001), independent of SARS-CoV-2 vaccine boosters. Prior smoking significantly decreased titers in females (p = 0.001). Age showed no association with titers. This GEE-based linear regression model unveiled the nuanced impact of multiple variables on patient anti-spike Ab levels over time. After controlling for the major influences of vaccine and SARS-CoV-2 infections, chemotherapy and steroid use were found to have negatively affected titers. Smoking in females significantly decreased titers. Surprisingly, influenza vaccinations were also significantly associated, likely indirectly, with improved SARS-CoV-2 titers.

Development and external validation of a logistic and a penalized logistic model using machine-learning techniques to predict suicide attempts: A multicenter prospective cohort study in Korea.

Despite previous efforts to build statistical models for predicting the risk of suicidal behavior using machine-learning analysis, a high-accuracy model can lead to overfitting. Furthermore, internal validation cannot completely address this problem. In this study, we created models for predicting the occurrence of suicide attempts among Koreans at high risk of suicide, and we verified these models in an independent cohort. We performed logistic and penalized regression for suicide attempts within 6 months among suicidal ideators and attempters in The Korean Cohort for the Model Predicting a Suicide and Suicide-related Behavior (K-COMPASS). We then validated the models in a test cohort. Our findings indicated that several factors significantly predicted suicide attempts in the models, including young age, suicidal ideation, previous suicidal attempts, anxiety, alcohol abuse, stress, and impulsivity. The area under the curve and positive predictive values were 0.941 and 0.484 after variable selection and 0.751 and 0.084 in the test cohort. The corresponding values for the penalized regression model were 0.943 and 0.524 in the original training cohort and 0.794 and 0.115 in the test cohort. The prediction model constructed through a prospective cohort study of the suicide high-risk group showed satisfactory accuracy even in the test cohort. The accuracy with penalized regression was greater than that with the "classical" logistic model.

Updated information concerning trends in suicide rates in elderly in China, 2002-2020.

The aim of this study was to investigate trends in suicide rates (SRs) among the elderly in China. Annual data on SRs among Chinese people ≥ the age of 65 were collected from China's Health Statistics Yearbook from 2002 to 2020. Then, data were stratified by age, region, and sex. Standardized SRs were calculated and analyzed using a conventional joinpoint regression model. Results revealed that overall, SRs among the elderly in China tended to decline from 2002-2020. Fluctuations in SRs, including in 2004-2005 due to the SARS epidemic, in 2009-2010 due to the economic crisis, and in 2019-2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic, were also observed. Data suggested a relatively greater crude SR among the elderly (vs. young people), in males (vs. females), and in people living in a rural area (vs. those living in an urban area). SRs tended to rise with age. Joinpoint regression analysis identified joinpoints only for males ages 65-69 and over the age of 85 living in a rural area, suggesting that individuals in these groups are more sensitive to negative stimuli and more likely to commit suicide, necessitating closer attention. The findings from this study should help to make policy and devise measures against suicide in the future.

Inclusion of blood pressure parameter increases predictive capability of severe obstructive sleep apnea: A decision tree approach.

Few studies included objective blood pressure (BP) to construct the predictive model of severe obstructive sleep apnea (OSA). This study used binary logistic regression model (BLRM) and the decision tree method (DTM) to constructed the predictive models for identifying severe OSA, and to compare the prediction capability between the two methods. Totally 499 adult patients with severe OSA and 1421 non-severe OSA controls examined at the Sleep Medicine Center of a tertiary hospital in southern Taiwan between October 2016 and April 2019 were enrolled. OSA was diagnosed through polysomnography. Data on BP, demographic characteristics, anthropometric measurements, comorbidity histories, and sleep questionnaires were collected. BLRM and DTM were separately applied to identify predictors of severe OSA. The performance of risk scores was assessed by area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs). In BLRM, body mass index (BMI) ≥27 kg/m2, and Snore Outcomes Survey score ≤55 were significant predictors of severe OSA (AUC 0.623). In DTM, mean SpO2 <96%, average systolic BP ≥135 mmHg, and BMI ≥39 kg/m2 were observed to effectively differentiate cases of severe OSA (AUC 0.718). The AUC for the predictive models produced by the DTM was higher in older adults than in younger adults (0.807 vs. 0.723) mainly due to differences in clinical predictive features. In conclusion, DTM, using a different set of predictors, seems more effective in identifying severe OSA than BLRM. Differences in predictors ascertained demonstrated the necessity for separately constructing predictive models for younger and older adults.

Take-out food enhances the risk of MPs ingestion and obesity, altering the gut microbiome in young adults.

Young people are consuming large amounts of microplastics (MPs) due to the booming development of the take-out industry. To investigate the association between MPs exposure and obesity, 121 volunteers were divided into high MPs exposure (HME) and low MPs exposure (LME) according to the frequency of take-out food consumption. Fecal samples were collected for MPs detection using Raman spectra analysis, and identification of the gut microbiota was based on 16 S rDNA/ITS, while metabolite analysis was performed by LC-MS/MS. High levels of MPs and body mass index (BMI) were observed in the HME group (P < 0.05). Both the multiple linear regression (MLR) model and the binary logistic regression (BLR) (OR: 1.264, 95 % CI: 1.108-1.441, P < 0.001) analysis showed a positive correlation between MPs content and BMI. Microbial community analysis revealed that Veillonella, Alistipes and Dothideomycotes (pathogenic fungi) increased in HME participants, whereas Faecalibacterium and Coprococcus decreased. Meanwhile, analysis of stool metabolites showed that vancomycin resistance, selenocompound metabolism and drug metabolism pathways were enhanced in HME participants. These findings indicate that frequent consumption of take-out food may elevate the intake of microplastics, consequently modifying the gut microbiota and metabolites of young adults, and could represent a potential risk factor for obesity.

Effect of admission time of arrival on quality of in-hospital care in acute ischemic stroke patients in China.

OBJECTIVES: The quality of care for patients may be partly determined by the time they are admitted to the hospital. This study was conducted to explore the effect of admission time and describe the pattern and magnitude of weekly variation in the quality of patient care. STUDY DESIGN: A retrospective observational study. METHODS: Data were collected from the Medical Care Quality Management and Control System for Specific (Single) Diseases in China. A total of 238,122 patients treated for acute ischemic stroke between January 2015 and December 2017 were included. The primary outcomes were completion of the ten process indicators and in-hospital death. RESULTS: The quality of in-hospital care varied according to hospital arrival time. We identified several patterns of variation across the days of the week. In the first pattern, the quality of four indicators, such as stroke physicians within 15 min, was lowest for arrivals between 08:00 and 11:59, increased throughout the day, and peaked for arrivals between 20:00 and 23:59 or 00:00 and 03:59. In the second pattern, the quality of four indicators, such as the application of antiplatelet therapy within 48 h, was not significantly different between days and weeks. There was no difference in in-hospital mortality between the different admission times. CONCLUSIONS: The effect of admission time on the quality of in-hospital care of patients with acute ischemic stroke showed several diurnal patterns. Detecting the times when quality is relatively low may lead to quality improvements in health care. Quality improvement should also focus on reducing diurnal temporal variation.

Prediction of fetal growth restriction and small for gestational age by ultrasound cardiac parameters.

OBJECTIVE: Prediction of fetal growth restriction (FGR) and small of gestational age (SGA) infants by using various ultrasound cardiac parameters in a logistic regression model. METHODS: In this retrospective study we obtained standardized ultrasound images of 357 fetuses between the 20th and 39th week of gestation, 99 of these fetuses were between the 3rd and 10th growth percentile, 61 smaller than 3rd percentile and 197- appropriate for gestational age over the 10th percentile (control group). Several cardiac parameters were studied. The cardiothoracic ratio and sphericity of the ventricles was calculated. A binary logistic regression model was developed for prediction of growth restriction using the cardiac and biometric parameters. RESULTS: There were noticeable differences between the control and study group in the sphericity of the right ventricle (p = 0.000), left and right longitudinal ventricle length (pright = 0.000, pleft = 0.000), left ventricle transverse length (p = 0.000), heart diameter (p = 0.002), heart circumference (p = 0.000), heart area (p = 0.000), and thoracic diameter limited by the ribs (p = 0.002). There was no difference of the cardiothoracic ratio between groups. The logistic regression model achieved a prediction rate of 79.4 % with a sensitivity of 74.5 % and specificity of 83.2 %. CONCLUSION: The heart of growth restricted infants is characterized by a more globular right ventricle, shorter ventricle length and smaller thorax diameter. These parameters could improve prediction of FGR and SGA.

Establishment and Validation of a Predictive Model for Sarcopenia Based on 2-D Ultrasound and Shear Wave Elastography in the Medial Gastrocnemius Muscle.

OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a predictive model for sarcopenia. METHODS: A total of 240 subjects who visited our hospital between August 2021 and May 2023 were randomly divided by time of entry into a training set containing 2/3 of patients and a validation set containing 1/3 of patients. The muscle thickness (MT), echo intensity (EI), and shear wave velocity (SWV) of the medial gastrocnemius muscle were measured. Indicators that were meaningful in the univariate analysis in the training set were included in a binary logistic regression to derive a regression model, and the model was evaluated using a consistency index, calibration plot, and clinical validity curve. Diagnostic efficacy and clinical applicability were compared between the model and unifactorial indicators. RESULTS: Four meaningful variables, age, body mass index (BMI), MT, and SWV, were screened into the predictive model. The model was Logit Y = 21.292 + 0.065 × Age - 0.411 × BMI - 0.524 × MT - 3.072 × SWV. The model was well differentiated with an internally validated C-index of 0.924 and an external validation C-index of 0.914. The calibration plot predicted probabilities against actual probabilities showed excellent agreement. The specificity, sensitivity, and Youden's index of the model were 73.80%, 97.40%, and 71.20%, respectively, when using the diagnostic cut-off value of >0.279 for sarcopenia. The logistic model had higher diagnostic efficacy (p < 0.001) and higher net clinical benefit (p < 0.001) over the same threshold range compared to indicators. CONCLUSION: The logistic model of sarcopenia has been justified to have good discriminatory, calibrated, and clinical validity, and has higher diagnostic value than indicators.

Remediation of phenanthrene contaminated soil by persulphate coupled with Pseudomonas aeruginosa GZ7 based on oxidation prediction model.

Chemical oxidation coupled with microbial remediation has attracted widespread attention for the removal of polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs). Among them, the precise evaluation of the feasible oxidant concentration of PAH-contaminated soil is the key to achieving the goal of soil functional ecological remediation. In this study, phenanthrene (PHE) was used as the target pollutant, and Fe2+-activated persulphate (PS) was used to remediate four types of soils. Linear regression analysis identified the following important factors influencing remediation: PS dosage and soil PHE content for PHE degradation, Fe2+ dosage, hydrolysable nitrogen (HN), and available phosphorus for PS decomposition. A comprehensive model of "soil characteristics-oxidation conditions-remediation effect" with a high predictive accuracy was constructed. Based on model identification, Pseudomonas aeruginosa GZ7, which had high PAHs degrading ability after domestication, was further applied to coupling repair remediation. The results showed that the optimal PS dose was 0.75% (w/w). The response relationship between soil physical, chemical, and biological indicators at the intermediate interface and oxidation conditions was analysed. Coupled remediation effects were clarified using microbial diversity sequencing. The introduction of Pseudomonas aeruginosa GZ7 stimulated the relative abundance of Cohnella, Enterobacter, Paenibacillus, and Bacillus, which can promote material metabolism and energy transformation during remediation.

Non-complete recovery of temporal lobe white matter diffusion metrics at one year Post-Radiotherapy: Implications for Radiation-Induced necrosis risk.

BACKGROUND: Temporal lobe (TL) white matter (WM) injuries are often seen early after radiotherapy (RT) in nasopharyngeal carcinoma patients (NPCs), which fail to fully recover in later stages, exhibiting a "non-complete recovery pattern". Herein, we explored the correlation between non-complete recovery WM injuries and TL necrosis (TLN), identifying dosimetric predictors for TLN-related high-risk WM injuries. METHODS: We longitudinally examined 161 NPCs and 19 healthy controls employing multi-shell diffusion MRI. Automated fiber-tract quantification quantified diffusion metrics within TL WM tract segments. ANOVA identified non-complete recovery WM tract segments one-year post-RT. Cox regression models discerned TLN risk factors utilizing non-complete recovery diffusion metrics. Normal tissue complication probability (NTCP) models and dose-response analysis further scrutinized RT-related toxicity to high-risk WM tract segments. RESULTS: Seven TL WM tract segments exhibited a "non-complete recovery pattern". Cox regression analysis identified mean diffusivity of the left uncinate fasciculus segment 1, neurite density index (NDI) of the left cingulum hippocampus segment 1, and NDI of the right inferior longitudinal fasciculus segment 1 as TLN risk predictors (hazard ratios [HRs] with confidence interval [CIs]: 1.45 [1.17-1.81], 1.07 [1.00-1.15], and 1.15 [1.03-1.30], respectively; all P-values < 0.05). In NTCP models, D10cc.L, D20cc.L and D10cc.R demonstrated superior performance, with TD50 of 37.22 Gy, 24.96 Gy and 37.28 Gy, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings underscore the significance of the "non-complete recovery pattern" in TL WM tract segment injuries during TLN development. Understanding TLN-related high-risk WM tract segments and their tolerance doses could facilitate early intervention in TLN and improve RT protocols.

On comparative analysis of a two dimensional star gold structure via regression models.

In this research, the star gold structure with beta graphene is thoroughly examined. We mainly focus on computing degree-based topological indices, which provide information about the network's connectivity and complexity as well as structural features. In addition, we compute an entropy measure to represent the uncertainty, information richness, and degree of unpredictability in the network. Furthermore, this study explores the relationships between topological descriptors and entropy using regression models that are logarithmic, linear, and quadratic. By merging these regression models, we uncover hidden patterns and understand the underlying ideas governing the network's behaviour. Our findings shed light on the connection between topological indices and entropy. This work improves our understanding of star gold structure dynamics and provides a visual framework for interpreting their behaviour.

Leveraging pharmacokinetic parameters as covariate in Bayesian logistic regression model to optimize dose selection in early phase oncology trial.

Dose selection and optimization in early phase of oncology drug development serves as the foundation for the success of late phases drug development. Bivariate Bayesian logistic regression model (BLRM) is a widely utilized model-based algorithm that has been shown to improve the accuracy for identifying recommended phase 2 dose (RP2D) based on dose-limiting-toxicity (DLT) over traditional method such as 3 + 3. However, it remains a challenge to optimize dose selection that strikes a proper balance between safety and efficacy in escalation and expansion phase of phase I trials. In this paper, we first use a phase I clinical trial to demonstrate how the variability of drug exposure related to pharmacokinetic (PK) parameters among trial participants may add to the difficulties of identifying optimal dose. We use simulation to show that concurrently or retrospectively fitting BLRM model for dose/toxicity data from escalation phase with dose-independent PK parameters as covariate lead to improved accuracy of identifying dose level at which DLT rate is within a prespecified toxicity interval. Furthermore, we proposed both model- and rule-based methods to modify dose at patient level in expansion cohorts based on their PK/exposure parameters. Simulation studies show this approach leads to higher likelihood for a dose level with a manageable toxicity and desirable efficacy margin to be advanced to late phase pipeline after being screened at expansion phase of phase I trial.

Impacts of alcohol consumption on farmers' mental health: Insights from rural China.

The global mental health crisis presents a significant challenge to sustainable development, and this crisis is more pronounced in China's rural areas versus urban areas. Alcohol consumption has increased in rural areas with China's economic growth, but the number of studies on the relationship between farmers' alcohol consumption and their mental health is limited. Based on data from the China Labor Force Dynamics Survey (CLDS), this study uses the endogenous switching regression model (ESR) to analyze the influence of alcohol consumption on farmers' mental health. On this basis, the study further conducts a counterfactual analysis to estimate the average treatment effect of alcohol consumption on farmers' mental health. The results show that: (1) There is a significant positive relationship between alcohol consumption and farmers' mental health. Specifically, the mental health index of drinking farmers increases by 19.7 % compared to non-drinking farmers. (2) Heterogeneity analysis shows that alcohol consumption is more beneficial for improving the mental health of male farmers, elderly farmers, and employed farmers. Furthermore, drinking alcohol almost every day, consuming Baijiu, and each drinking consumption ranging from 0 to 100 mL per occasion are more conducive to improving farmers' mental health. These findings have implications for relieving depressive symptomology and improving farmers' mental health in developing countries. The results of this study also provide guidance for addressing the global mental health crisis.

Association Between Osteoporosis and Adiposity Index Reveals Nonlinearity Among Postmenopausal Women and Linearity Among Men Aged over 50 Years.

PURPOSE: Previous research shows conflicting views on the relationship between obesity and osteoporosis, partly due to variations in obesity classification and the nonlinear nature of these relationships. This study investigated the association between adiposity indices and osteoporosis, diagnosed using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA), employing nonlinear models and offering optimal thresholds to prevent further bone mineral density decline. METHODS: In 2019, a prospective study enrolled males over 50 years and postmenopausal women. Anthropometric measurements, blood biochemistry, and osteoporosis measured by DXA were collected. Associations between adiposity indices and osteoporosis were analyzed using a generalized additive model and segmented regression model. RESULTS: The study included 872 women and 1321 men. Indices such as abdominal volume index (AVI), visceral adiposity index (VAI), waist circumference (WC), hip circumference, body mass index (BMI), waist-to-hip ratio, and waist-to-height ratio (WHtR) were inversely associated with osteoporosis. In women, the relationship between the risk of osteoporosis and the adiposity indices was U-shaped, with thresholds of WC = 94 cm, AVI = 17.67 cm2, BMI = 25.74 kg/m2, VAI = 4.29, and WHtR = 0.61, considering changes in bone mineral density. Conversely, men exhibited a linear patterns for the inverse association. CONCLUSION: The impact of obesity and adiposity on osteoporosis varies significantly between women and men. In postmenopausal women, the relationship is nonlinear (U-shaped), with both very low and very high adiposity linked to higher osteoporosis risk. In men over 50, the relationship is linear, with higher adiposity associated with lower osteoporosis risk. The study suggests that maintaining specific levels of adiposity could help prevent osteoporosis in postmenopausal women.

Average treatment effects on binary outcomes with stochastic covariates.

When evaluating the effect of psychological treatments on a dichotomous outcome variable in a randomized controlled trial (RCT), covariate adjustment using logistic regression models is often applied. In the presence of covariates, average marginal effects (AMEs) are often preferred over odds ratios, as AMEs yield a clearer substantive and causal interpretation. However, standard error computation of AMEs neglects sampling-based uncertainty (i.e., covariate values are assumed to be fixed over repeated sampling), which leads to underestimation of AME standard errors in other generalized linear models (e.g., Poisson regression). In this paper, we present and compare approaches allowing for stochastic (i.e., randomly sampled) covariates in models for binary outcomes. In a simulation study, we investigated the quality of the AME and stochastic-covariate approaches focusing on statistical inference in finite samples. Our results indicate that the fixed-covariate approach provides reliable results only if there is no heterogeneity in interindividual treatment effects (i.e., presence of treatment-covariate interactions), while the stochastic-covariate approaches are preferable in all other simulated conditions. We provide an illustrative example from clinical psychology investigating the effect of a cognitive bias modification training on post-traumatic stress disorder while accounting for patients' anxiety using an RCT.

The factors of job crafting in emergency nurses: regression models versus qualitative comparative analysis.

BACKGROUND: Job crafting is defined as a series of proactive behaviors exhibited by employees in order to balance work resources and needs, which has a significant positive impact on the nurses. It is necessary to find the core factors that influence the job crafting, as emergency nurses deal with the most complex tasks, so as to improve their job satisfaction. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the core factors of job crafting among emergency nurses. METHODS: A cross-sectional design was used in the study. A total of 255 nurses were recruited from two hospitals in Zhengzhou and Shenzhen, China in December 2021. 255 nurses completed an online questionnaire. Hierarchical regression models and fsQCA models were used to explore the factors influencing job crafting among emergency nurses and helped us to identify core factors. RESULTS: The hierarchical regression model and the fsQCA model found that the occupational benefit, psychological empowerment, and research experience were the core factors affecting their job crafting. Job involvement was not significant in the regression model, but the QCA model indicated that it needs to be combined with other factors to impact on job crafting. The QCA model uncovered seven key conditional configurations that led to high and low job crafting among emergency nurses, explaining 80.0% of the results for high job crafting and 82.6% of the results for the low job crafting, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study provide valuable insights into the job crafting experienced by emergency nurses. Junior emergency nurses should be granted a high level of psychological empowerment without assigning them overly complex tasks, such as research tasks, as these challenges can stop their job crafting. Intermediate and senior emergency nurses, on the other hand, can be assigned research tasks coupled with high psychological empowerment to enhance their job crafting.

Excess multi-cause mortality linked to influenza virus infection in China, 2012-2021: a population-based study.

Objectives: The aim of this study is to estimate the excess mortality burden of influenza virus infection in China from 2012 to 2021, with a concurrent analysis of its associated disease manifestations. Methods: Laboratory surveillance data on influenza, relevant population demographics, and mortality records, including cause of death data in China, spanning the years 2012 to 2021, were incorporated into a comprehensive analysis. A negative binomial regression model was utilized to calculate the excess mortality rate associated with influenza, taking into consideration factors such as year, subtype, and cause of death. Results: There was no evidence to indicate a correlation between malignant neoplasms and any subtype of influenza, despite the examination of the effect of influenza on the mortality burden of eight diseases. A total of 327,520 samples testing positive for influenza virus were isolated between 2012 and 2021, with a significant decrease in the positivity rate observed during the periods of 2012-2013 and 2019-2020. China experienced an average annual influenza-associated excess deaths of 201721.78 and an average annual excess mortality rate of 14.53 per 100,000 people during the research period. Among the causes of mortality that were examined, respiratory and circulatory diseases (R&C) accounted for the most significant proportion (58.50%). Fatalities attributed to respiratory and circulatory diseases exhibited discernible temporal patterns, whereas deaths attributable to other causes were dispersed over the course of the year. Conclusion: Theoretically, the contribution of these disease types to excess influenza-related fatalities can serve as a foundation for early warning and targeted influenza surveillance. Additionally, it is possible to assess the costs of prevention and control measures and the public health repercussions of epidemics with greater precision.

Predicting Kawasaki disease shock syndrome in children.

Background: Kawasaki disease shock syndrome (KDSS) is a critical manifestation of Kawasaki disease (KD). In recent years, a logistic regression prediction model has been widely used to predict the occurrence probability of various diseases. This study aimed to investigate the clinical characteristics of children with KD and develop and validate an individualized logistic regression model for predicting KDSS among children with KD. Methods: The clinical data of children diagnosed with KDSS and hospitalized between January 2021 and December 2023 were retrospectively analyzed. The best predictors were selected by logistic regression and lasso regression analyses. A logistic regression model was built of the training set (n = 162) to predict the occurrence of KDSS. The model prediction was further performed by logistic regression. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the performance of the logistic regression model. We built a nomogram model by visualizing the calibration curve using a 1000 bootstrap resampling program. The model was validated using an independent validation set (n = 68). Results: In the univariate analysis, among the 24 variables that differed significantly between the KDSS and KD groups, further logistic and Lasso regression analyses found that five variables were independently related to KDSS: rash, brain natriuretic peptide, serum Na, serum P, and aspartate aminotransferase. A logistic regression model was established of the training set (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.979; sensitivity=96.2%; specificity=97.2%). The calibration curve showed good consistency between the predicted values of the logistic regression model and the actual observed values in the training and validation sets. Conclusion: Here we established a feasible and highly accurate logistic regression model to predict the occurrence of KDSS, which will enable its early identification.

Development and Validation of Near-Infrared Reflectance Spectroscopy Prediction Modeling for the Rapid Estimation of Biochemical Traits in Potato.

Potato is a globally significant crop, crucial for food security and nutrition. Assessing vital nutritional traits is pivotal for enhancing nutritional value. However, traditional wet lab methods for the screening of large germplasms are time- and resource-intensive. To address this challenge, we used near-infrared reflectance spectroscopy (NIRS) for rapid trait estimation in diverse potato germplasms. It employs molecular absorption principles that use near-infrared sections of the electromagnetic spectrum for the precise and rapid determination of biochemical parameters and is non-destructive, enabling trait monitoring without sample compromise. We focused on modified partial least squares (MPLS)-based NIRS prediction models to assess eight key nutritional traits. Various mathematical treatments were executed by permutation and combinations for model calibration. The external validation prediction accuracy was based on the coefficient of determination (RSQexternal), the ratio of performance to deviation (RPD), and the low standard error of performance (SEP). Higher RSQexternal values of 0.937, 0.892, and 0.759 were obtained for protein, dry matter, and total phenols, respectively. Higher RPD values were found for protein (3.982), followed by dry matter (3.041) and total phenolics (2.000), which indicates the excellent predictability of the models. A paired t-test confirmed that the differences between laboratory and predicted values are non-significant. This study presents the first multi-trait NIRS prediction model for Indian potato germplasm. The developed NIRS model effectively predicted the remaining genotypes in this study, demonstrating its broad applicability. This work highlights the rapid screening potential of NIRS for potato germplasm, a valuable tool for identifying trait variations and refining breeding strategies, to ensure sustainable potato production in the face of climate change.

Unrevealing the coupling coordination degree between atmospheric CO2 concentration and human activities from geospatial and temporal perspectives.

Anthropogenic activities exhibit intricate and significant relationships with atmospheric CO2 concentration. Dissecting the spatiotemporal patterns and potential drivers of their coupling coordination relationships from geospatial and temporal perspectives contributes to the benign coordinating development between the two. The coupling coordination degree (D) and types, and their potential influencing factors in China were explored using a coupling coordination model, emerging hotspot analysis, and Multiscale Geographically Weighted Regression model. Results revealed D was dominated by basic coordination in China with notable spatial disparities. Generally, D exhibited higher values in the eastern regions and lower values in the western regions divided by the Hu Line. Furthermore, Central and East China exhibited lower coordination degrees compared to other eastern regions. A total of 15 spatiotemporal dynamic patterns were identified across China. Hot spot patterns were concentrated in the eastern regions of the Hu Line, while cold spots were mainly observed in the western regions. The coupling coordination types exhibited a distinct pattern of "coordination in the east and incoherence in the west, divided by the Hu Line". Over time, there was a shift from lower-level to more benign coordinated types. Additionally, the D and coupling coordination types demonstrated significant spatial agglomeration characteristics, and intercity alliances and enhanced collaborations are essential for sustaining low-carbon improvements. The mechanisms and intensities of various factors on D exhibited spatiotemporal differences. The key drivers influencing coupling coordination types varied depending on the specific type. Additionally, the scales of these drivers affecting D changed over time. It is essential to consider natural and meteorological factors and their scaling effects when developing policies to enhance coupling coordination level. These results have significant implications for assessing the relationship between atmospheric CO2 and human activities and provide guidance for implementing effective low-carbon development policies.