Heteroscedastic partially linear model under skew-normal distribution with application in ragweed pollen concentration.

We introduce a new class of heteroscedastic partially linear model (PLM) with skew-normal distribution. Maximum likelihood estimation of the model parameters by the ECM algorithm (Expectation/Conditional Maximization) as well as influence diagnostics for the new model are investigated. In addition, a Likelihood Ratio test for assessing the homogeneity of the scale parameter is presented. Simulation studies for assessing the performance of the ECM algorithm and the Likelihood Ratio test statistics for homogeneity of variance are developed. Also, a study for misspecification of the structure function is considered. Finally, an application of the new heteroscedastic PLM to a real data set on ragweed pollen concentration is presented to show that it provides a better fit than the classic homocedastic PLM. We hope that the proposed model may attract applications in different areas of knowledge.

Flexible Bayesian modelling in dichotomous item response theory using mixtures of skewed item curves.

Most item response theory (IRT) models for dichotomous responses are based on probit or logit link functions which assume a symmetric relationship between the probability of a correct response and the latent traits of individuals taking a test. This assumption restricts the use of those models to the case in which all items behave symmetrically. On the other hand, asymmetric models proposed in the literature impose that all the items in a test behave asymmetrically. This assumption is inappropriate for great majority of tests which are, in general, composed of both symmetric and asymmetric items. Furthermore, a straightforward extension of the existing models in the literature would require a prior selection of the items' symmetry/asymmetry status. This paper proposes a Bayesian IRT model that accounts for symmetric and asymmetric items in a flexible but parsimonious way. That is achieved by assigning a finite mixture prior to the skewness parameter, with one of the mixture components being a point mass at zero. This allows for analyses under both model selection and model averaging approaches. Asymmetric item curves are designed through the centred skew normal distribution, which has a particularly appealing parametrization in terms of parameter interpretation and computational efficiency. An efficient Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is proposed to perform Bayesian inference and its performance is investigated in some simulated examples. Finally, the proposed methodology is applied to a data set from a large-scale educational exam in Brazil.

Information-Theoretic Aspects of Location Parameter Estimation under Skew-Normal Settings.

In several applications, the assumption of normality is often violated in data with some level of skewness, so skewness affects the mean's estimation. The class of skew-normal distributions is considered, given their flexibility for modeling data with asymmetry parameter. In this paper, we considered two location parameter (µ) estimation methods in the skew-normal setting, where the coefficient of variation and the skewness parameter are known. Specifically, the least square estimator (LSE) and the best unbiased estimator (BUE) for µ are considered. The properties for BUE (which dominates LSE) using classic theorems of information theory are explored, which provides a way to measure the uncertainty of location parameter estimations. Specifically, inequalities based on convexity property enable obtaining lower and upper bounds for differential entropy and Fisher information. Some simulations illustrate the behavior of differential entropy and Fisher information bounds.

On a new type of Birnbaum-Saunders models and its inference and application to fatigue data.

The Birnbaum-Saunders distribution is a widely studied model with diverse applications. Its origins are in the modeling of lifetimes associated with material fatigue. By using a motivating example, we show that, even when lifetime data related to fatigue are modeled, the Birnbaum-Saunders distribution can be unsuitable to fit these data in the distribution tails. Based on the nice properties of the Birnbaum-Saunders model, in this work, we use a modified skew-normal distribution to construct such a model. This allows us to obtain flexibility in skewness and kurtosis, which is controlled by a shape parameter. We provide a mathematical characterization of this new type of Birnbaum-Saunders distribution and then its statistical characterization is derived by using the maximum-likelihood method, including the associated information matrices. In order to improve the inferential performance, we correct the bias of the corresponding estimators, which is supported by a simulation study. To conclude our investigation, we retake the motivating example based on fatigue life data to show the good agreement between the new type of Birnbaum-Saunders distribution proposed in this work and the data, reporting its potential applications.