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1.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int ; 31(32): 45399-45413, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38963629

RESUMO

Water scarcity in arid regions poses significant livelihood challenges and necessitates proactive measures such as rainwater harvesting (RWH) systems. This study focuses on identifying RWH sites in Dera Ghazi Khan (DG Khan) district, which recently experienced severe water shortages. Given the difficulty of large-scale ground surveys, satellite remote sensing data and Geographic Information System (GIS) techniques were utilized. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) approach was employed for site selection, considering various criteria, including land use/land cover, precipitation, geological features, slope, and drainage. Landsat 8 OLI imagery, GPM satellite precipitation data, soil maps, and SRTM DEM were key inputs. Integrating these data layers in GIS facilitated the production of an RWH potential map for the region. The study identified 9 RWH check dams, 12 farm ponds, and 17 percolation tanks as suitable for mitigating water scarcity, particularly for irrigation and livestock consumption during dry periods. The research region was classified into four RWH zones based on suitability, with 9% deemed Very Good, 33% Good, 53% Poor, and 5% Very Poor for RWH projects. The generated suitability map is a valuable tool for hydrologists, decision-makers, and stakeholders in identifying RWH potential in arid regions, thereby ensuring water reliability, efficiency, and socio-economic considerations.


Assuntos
Sistemas de Informação Geográfica , Chuva , Paquistão , Abastecimento de Água , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos
2.
Huan Jing Ke Xue ; 45(7): 4044-4051, 2024 Jul 08.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39022952

RESUMO

The safety and security of stored rainwater quality is the key to improve the efficiency of rainwater resources storage, and roof rainwater is the best scenario for rainwater storage and utilization. Through long-term monitoring of the evolution of water quality during the roof rainwater storage process, different storage materials (PE and glass) and different DO regulation modes (sealing and aeration) were constructed, and 16S rRNA microbial diversity sequencing and environmental factor correlation methods were used to characterize the changes in water quality under microbial metabolism during the rainwater storage process, as well as the potential risks of utilization and health. The results showed that the degradation of COD occurred mainly in the first 10 days of the storage process, and the nutrients were transformed mainly by microbial metabolism. There were differences in the characteristics of water quality changes under different water storage conditions, with traditional PE materials promoting the propagation of some pathogenic Xanthobacter, Alternaria, Stachybotrys, and Cladosporium, which were negatively correlated with DO and pH. Aeration was beneficial in reducing the abundance of bacteria and fungi, whereas the sealed water storage method was beneficial in inhibiting the growth of pathogenic bacteria such as Legionella.


Assuntos
Chuva , Microbiologia da Água , Qualidade da Água , Bactérias/classificação , Bactérias/genética , Bactérias/metabolismo , Bactérias/crescimento & desenvolvimento , RNA Ribossômico 16S/genética
3.
J Environ Manage ; 365: 121692, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38968884

RESUMO

The non-stationary behavior of climatic variables has been increasingly recognized as a challenge that disrupts the equilibrium of human-defined climate-based stationary processes, including hydrological and agricultural practices, and irrigation systems. This study aims to investigate long-term trends and non-stationarity in climatic variables across 23 stations of the Krishna River basin, India. Prominent trends in rainfall, temperature, and their extreme indices were identified using the Modified Mann-Kendall (MMK), Bootstrapped Mann-Kendall (BMK), and Sen's Slope Estimator tests, while the Innovative Trend Analysis (ITA) test uncovered hidden trends and potential shifts in climatic patterns. This study addresses a critical research gap by exploring both significant and hidden trends in climatic variables, providing a better understanding of future dynamics. Traditional methods like MMK and Sen's Slope were insufficient to reveal these hidden trends, but ITA offered a more comprehensive analysis. The findings revealed an increase in total annual rainfall for almost 50% of the basin, which aligns with rising maximum temperatures, suggesting enhanced evaporation rates and subsequent fluctuations in rainfall patterns. Seasonal analysis indicated a shift towards decreased rainfall during winter and pre-monsoon seasons, contrasted by increased precipitation during the monsoon and post-monsoon periods, highlighting a clear alteration in rainfall distribution. The Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII) and other indices suggest intensified rainfall events despite a decrease in the number of rainy days, indicating fewer but more intense events. Temperature analysis showed an overall increase in maximum temperatures, with the Diurnal Temperature Range (DTR) significantly increasing across all stations, implying greater daily temperature variations and potential for intensified water cycles and extreme climatic events. Furthermore, the study simplifies these trends by classifying them into two attributes: intensity and frequency, aiding policymakers in site-specific management of water resources and planning for future climatic scenarios. The presence of non-stationarity in extreme rainfall was confirmed by the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF), Phillips-Perron (PP), and Kwiatkowski-Phillips-Schmidt-Shin (KPSS) tests. These findings are significant as they conclude how climate change is altering hydrological patterns at each station. The study emphasizes the necessity for adaptive management strategies to mitigate the adverse impacts on agriculture, infrastructure, and human safety.


Assuntos
Rios , Índia , Chuva , Temperatura , Estações do Ano , Mudança Climática , Clima
4.
Water Sci Technol ; 90(1): 156-167, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39007312

RESUMO

Model parameter estimation is a well-known inverse problem, as long as single-value point data are available as observations of system performance measurement. However, classical statistical methods, such as the minimization of an objective function or maximum likelihood, are no longer straightforward, when measurements are imprecise in nature. Typical examples of the latter include censored data and binary information. Here, we explore Approximate Bayesian Computation as a simple method to perform model parameter estimation with such imprecise information. We demonstrate the method for the example of a plain rainfall-runoff model and illustrate the advantages and shortcomings. Last, we outline the value of Shapley values to determine which type of observation contributes to the parameter estimation and which are of minor importance.


Assuntos
Teorema de Bayes , Modelos Teóricos , Chuva , Modelos Estatísticos
5.
Water Sci Technol ; 90(1): 124-141, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39007310

RESUMO

With the increasing frequency of extreme weather events and a deepening understanding of disasters, resilience has received widespread attention in urban drainage systems. The studies on the resilience assessment of urban drainage systems are mostly indirect assessments that did not simulate human behavior affected by rainfall or semi-quantitative assessments that did not build simulation models, but few research characterizes the processes between people and infrastructure to assess resilience directly. Our study developed a dynamic model that integrates urban mobility, flood inundation, and sewer hydrodynamics processes. The model can simulate the impact of rainfall on people's mobility behavior and the full process including runoff generation, runoff entering pipes, node overflow, flood migration, urban mobility, and residential water usage. Then, we assessed the resilience of the urban drainage system under rainfall events from the perspectives of property loss and urban mobility. The study found that the average percentage increase in commuting time under different return periods of rainfall ranged from 6.4 to 203.9%. Calculating the annual expectation of property loss and traffic obstruction, the study found that the annual expectation loss in urban mobility is 9.1% of the annual expectation of property loss if the rainfall is near the morning commuting peak.


Assuntos
Inundações , Hidrodinâmica , Modelos Teóricos , Cidades , Drenagem Sanitária , Chuva , Movimentos da Água , Esgotos
6.
Water Sci Technol ; 90(1): 190-212, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39007314

RESUMO

Numerous countries and regions have embraced implementing a separate sewer system, segregating sanitary and storm sewers into distinct systems. However, the functionality of these systems often needs to improve due to irregular interconnections, resulting in a mixed and malfunctioning system. Sewage collection is crucial for residential sanitation, but untreated collection significantly contributes to environmental degradation. Analyzing the simultaneous operation of both systems becomes vital for effective management. Using mathematical tools for precise and unified diagnosis and prognosis becomes imperative. However, municipal professionals and companies need more tools specifically designed to evaluate these systems in a unified way, mapping all the hydraulic connections observed in practice. This study proposes a unified simulation method for stormwater and sanitary sewer urban systems, addressing real-world scenarios and potential interferences. The primary goal is to develop a simulation method for both systems, considering system interconnections and urban layouts, involving hydrodynamic and water quality simulations. The practical application of this method, the Multilayer Hydrodynamic Simulation Method (MODCEL-MHUS), successfully identifies issues in urban water networks and suggests solutions, making it a valuable tool for urban water management and environmental engineering professionals.


Assuntos
Hidrodinâmica , Chuva , Esgotos , Drenagem Sanitária , Cidades , Modelos Teóricos , Eliminação de Resíduos Líquidos/métodos , Simulação por Computador , Movimentos da Água
7.
Water Sci Technol ; 90(1): 398-412, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39007327

RESUMO

In this study, we show that pollutants of emerging concern are, by nature, prone to the emergence of epistemic uncertainty. We also show that the current uncertainty quantification methods used for pollutant modelling rely almost exclusively on parameter uncertainty, which is not adequate to tackle epistemic uncertainty affecting the model structure. We, therefore, suggest a paradigm shift in the current pollutant modelling approaches by adding a term explicitly accounting for epistemic uncertainties. In a proof-of-concept, we use this approach to investigate the impact of epistemic uncertainty in the fluctuation of pollutants during wet-weather discharge (input information) on the distribution of mass of pollutants (output distributions). We found that the range of variability negatively impacts the tail of output distributions. The fluctuation time, associated with high covariance between discharge and concentration, is a major driver for the output distributions. Adapting to different levels of epistemic uncertainty, our approach helps to identify critical unknown information in the fluctuation of pollutant concentration. Such information can be used in a risk management context and to design smart monitoring campaigns.


Assuntos
Poluentes Químicos da Água , Incerteza , Poluentes Químicos da Água/análise , Medição de Risco/métodos , Chuva , Modelos Teóricos , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos
8.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(8): 734, 2024 Jul 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39008154

RESUMO

This study evaluates the performance of five satellite precipitation products (GPM IMERG, TRMM 3B42, ERA5, PERSIANN, and CHIRPS) compared to monthly observations from two weather stations (Laayoune and Essmara) over 2001-2017 using statistical metrics including correlation coefficient (CC) and mean square error (MSE). The results reveal notable differences between products. On a monthly timescale, GPM IMERG shows the best overall accuracy with a MSE of 16.8 mm/month. However, TRMM 3B42 exhibits higher temporal correlations with a CC around 0.83. The analysis provides insights into product capabilities and limitations for hydrological monitoring in data-sparse regions. Key findings include the superior performance of latest generation datasets like GPM alongside biases requiring localized calibration. The study delivers an assessment framework to guide integration of multiple satellite estimates for enhanced precipitation quantification and hydroclimatic modeling in water-stressed environments.


Assuntos
Clima Desértico , Monitoramento Ambiental , Chuva , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Marrocos , Hidrologia
9.
Radiat Prot Dosimetry ; 200(11-12): 1096-1100, 2024 Jul 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39016511

RESUMO

A study on the dynamics of Radon and meteorological parameters was conducted in Bengaluru (12056'44'' N, 77030'25″ E, 840 m AMSL) during monsoon of 2014. All measured parameters exhibited a clear diurnal pattern, except for pressure, and are attributed to morning temperature inversion and afternoon enhanced vertical mixing. Concentration of Radon is higher during north eastern monsoon compared with south western monsoon and is due to the presence of continental air mass from north east of India. Monthly average Radon activity has exhibited a positive link with long wave radiation while displaying a negative correlation with ambient temperature, accumulated rainfall and soil temperature. During the study, ambient gamma dose rate of 190.8 nSv hour-1, shortwave radiation of 184.4 Wm-2, longwave radiation of -40.4 Wm-2, soil temperature (at 10 cm) of 26.3°C, humidity of 62.9%, pressure of 918.1 mbar and radon activity of 8.4 ± 0.5 Bq m-3 were recorded.


Assuntos
Poluentes Radioativos do Ar , Monitoramento de Radiação , Radônio , Estações do Ano , Radônio/análise , Índia , Monitoramento de Radiação/métodos , Poluentes Radioativos do Ar/análise , Temperatura , Chuva
10.
PLoS One ; 19(7): e0305871, 2024.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39024381

RESUMO

In this paper, indoor model tests were conducted using image analysis, pore pressure, and displacement measurement methods to investigate the failure evolution process and modes of loess spoil slopes with various components under the influence of rainfall and artificial excavation. The results of the experiments reveal that, under the action of rainfall, there are two types of cracks-to-failure modes for pure loess spoil slopes. One involves the formation of a large gully through the dominant channel, while the other is characterized by step-by-step retreating soil damage between cracks. The failure exhibits three distinct stages, and after failure, the slope angle is relatively large (>45°). The process of rainfall-induced destruction affecting loess spoil containing 25% coarse-grained content similarly unfolds in three stages, ultimately resulting in the formation of a regional landslide. This landslide typically encompasses a broader damage range compared to pure loess spoil, albeit with a shallower depth of damage. After the landslide stops and stabilizes, a tiny slope (45°) is created (<45°). The excavation at the toe of the slope induces loess spoil damage in a progressive multi-stage receding manner. This study provides a reference and basis for disaster prevention and warning of spoiled ground in loess areas.


Assuntos
Engenharia , Chuva , Solo , Solo/química , Deslizamentos de Terra , Modelos Teóricos
11.
Environ Monit Assess ; 196(8): 701, 2024 Jul 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38965084

RESUMO

This study investigates the performance of CMIP6 models in reproducing historical temperature and precipitation data for Iran and neighboring countries (Afghanistan, Pakistan, Turkmenistan, Azerbaijan, Armenia, Turkey, and Iraq) from 1980 to 2014. Reanalysis data from the ECMWF database (ERA5) for temperature and precipitation were utilized as a reference for the period 1980-2014. Additionally, ten Atmosphere-Ocean General Circulation Models (AOGCMs) from CMIP6 were employed to simulate temperature and precipitation data for the study region based on the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report databases. The Kling-Gupta Efficiency (KGE) index was used to evaluate the accuracy of CMIP6 models in replicating daily temperature and precipitation. The results indicate that different CMIP6 models exhibit varying degrees of accuracy in simulating historical temperatures and precipitation, depending on the month and the country. For instance, the IPSL-CM6A-LR model demonstrated the best annual performance in estimating temperature in Azerbaijan (KGE = 0.5), while the HadGEM3-GC31-LL model showed the lowest annual performance in Pakistan (KGE = -1.4). Interestingly, the models were found to be more accurate in simulating temperatures during warm months compared to cold ones. Furthermore, the accuracy of different models in estimating annual precipitation varied significantly, ranging from -0.64 (MRI-EMS2-0 model in Afghanistan) to 0.05 (CMCC-ESM2 model in Armenia). Similar to temperature, the study found that models were generally more accurate in simulating precipitation during cold months compared to warm ones.


Assuntos
Monitoramento Ambiental , Chuva , Temperatura , Irã (Geográfico) , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Modelos Teóricos , Paquistão , Turquia , Iraque , Azerbaijão , Afeganistão
12.
Glob Chang Biol ; 30(7): e17404, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38967125

RESUMO

The fraction of net primary productivity (NPP) allocated to belowground organs (fBNPP) in grasslands is a critical parameter in global carbon cycle models; moreover, understanding the effect of precipitation changes on this parameter is vital to accurately estimating carbon sequestration in grassland ecosystems. However, how fBNPP responds to temporal precipitation changes along a gradient from extreme drought to extreme wetness, remains unclear, mainly due to the lack of long-term data of belowground net primary productivity (BNPP) and the fact that most precipitation experiments did not have a gradient from extreme drought to extreme wetness. Here, by conducting both a precipitation gradient experiment (100-500 mm) and a long-term observational study (34 years) in the Inner Mongolia grassland, we showed that fBNPP decreased linearly along the precipitation gradient from extreme drought to extreme wetness due to stronger responses in aboveground NPP to drought and wet conditions than those of BNPP. Our further meta-analysis in grasslands worldwide also indicated that fBNPP increased when precipitation decreased, and the vice versa. Such a consistent pattern of fBNPP response suggests that plants increase the belowground allocation with decreasing precipitation, while increase the aboveground allocation with increasing precipitation. Thus, the linearly decreasing response pattern in fBNPP should be incorporated into models that forecast carbon sequestration in grassland ecosystems; failure to do so will lead to underestimation of the carbon stock in drought years and overestimation of the carbon stock in wet years in grasslands.


Assuntos
Carbono , Secas , Pradaria , Chuva , Carbono/análise , Carbono/metabolismo , China , Ciclo do Carbono , Sequestro de Carbono
13.
Glob Chang Biol ; 30(7): e17430, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-39031432

RESUMO

The relationship between plant aboveground biomass and diversity typically follows a unimodal pattern, showing a positive correlation in resource-poor habitats and a negative correlation in resource-rich environments. Precipitation is a crucial resource for both plant biomass and diversity in terrestrial ecosystems. However, the impact of precipitation changes on the relationship between plant biomass and diversity remains unclear. We conduct a water addition field experiment in a semiarid grassland and identify a unimodal relationship between plant biomass and species richness under ambient conditions. Water addition delays the declining phase of this unimodal curve and shift it upward compared to ambient conditions. Our meta-analysis of water addition experiments conducted across major biomes worldwide (grassland, shrubland, desert, and forest) supports this finding, while water reduction does not alter the biomass-diversity relationship. Water addition increases biomass in all climate but only increases species richness in arid and semiarid climate. Similarly, water reduction decreases biomass in all climate but only reduces species richness in arid and semiarid climate. Species richness in dry subhumid and humid climate does not change significantly. Furthermore, our field experiment shows that water addition increases plant diversity while decreasing soil inorganic nitrogen levels. The increase in one resource, such as water, leads to the scarcity of another, such as nutrient, thus postponing the declining phase of the plant biomass-diversity relationship typically observed in resource-rich habitats. Our research contributes to predicting the plant biomass-diversity relationship under changing precipitation conditions and highlights the complex interplay between water availability, nutrient level, and plant diversity.


Assuntos
Biodiversidade , Biomassa , Água , Água/análise , Plantas , Solo/química , Pradaria , Nitrogênio/análise , Nitrogênio/metabolismo , Ecossistema , Chuva
14.
Planta ; 260(2): 40, 2024 Jul 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38954049

RESUMO

MAIN CONCLUSION: Rainwater most probably constitutes a relatively effective solvent for lichen substances in nature which have the potential to provide for human and environmental needs in the future. The aims were (i) to test the hypothesis on the potential solubility of lichen phenolic compounds using rainwater under conditions that partly reflect the natural environment and (ii) to propose new and effective methods for the water extraction of lichen substances. The results of spectrophotometric analyses of total phenolic metabolites in rainwater-based extracts from epigeic and epiphytic lichens, employing the Folin-Ciocalteu (F.-C.) method, are presented. The water solvent was tested at three pH levels: natural, 3, and 9. Extraction methods were undertaken from two perspectives: the partial imitation of natural environmental conditions and the potential use of extraction for economic purposes. From an ecological perspective, room-temperature water extraction ('cold' method) was used for 10-, 60-, and 120-min extraction periods. A variant of water extraction at analogous time intervals was an 'insolation' with a 100W light bulb to simulate the heat energy of the sun. For economic purposes, the water extraction method used the Soxhlet apparatus and its modified version, the 'tea-extraction' method ('hot' ones). The results showed that those extractions without an external heat source were almost ineffective, but insolation over 60- and 120-min periods proved to be more effective. Both tested 'hot' methods also proved to be effective, especially the 'tea-extraction' one. Generally, an increase in the concentration of phenolic compounds in water extracts resulted from an increasing solvent pH. The results show the probable involvement of lichen substances in biogeochemical processes in nature and their promising use for a variety of human necessities.


Assuntos
Líquens , Fenóis , Solubilidade , Espectrofotometria , Água , Líquens/química , Líquens/metabolismo , Fenóis/metabolismo , Fenóis/análise , Água/química , Solventes/química , Concentração de Íons de Hidrogênio , Chuva/química
15.
Plant Biol (Stuttg) ; 26(5): 868-877, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38967326

RESUMO

Detecting changes in the phenological responses of herbaceous species as a function of predicted climate change is important for forecasting future scenarios for the functioning of dry tropical forests, especially when predicting an increase in the frequency and intensity of extreme droughts. Because of the sensitivity of plants to water availability, our study hypothesizes that if years become drier or wetter, herbaceous plants will synchronously change the onset, duration, and intensity of their vegetative phenophases. We used a historical series of 60 years of precipitation observations for the Caatinga vegetation to define daily average of precipitation for rainy (Twet), median (Tcontrol), and dry (Tdry) years. We simulated past average daily rainfall (Twet, Tcontrol, and Tdry) while growing two herbaceous perennials and two herbaceous annuals. We monitored plant growth and measured the activity (absence or presence) and intensity of vegetative phenophases. We used circular statistical analysis to assess differences between treatments. Our results revealed that leaf production was seasonal but relatively uniform for perennial species and highly seasonal (wet season) for annual species. Simulated dry years induced lower leaf emergence concentrated over a few months in annual species, but this effect was more strongly significant in one of the two perennial species. Both annual and perennial species can experience delayed and less intense leaf abscission during the rainy season in years with below-average precipitation. In contrast, large voluminous rains in years with above-average precipitation can accelerate and intensify the process of leaf renewal. If future precipitation reductions occur, the changes in phenological response indicate that the cover of annual and perennial herbaceous species in this study will likely decrease, altering the landscape and functioning of dry tropical forests. However, the potential trade-offs observed may help populations of these species to persist during years of severe drought in the Caatinga.


Assuntos
Florestas , Chuva , Estações do Ano , Brasil , Mudança Climática , Folhas de Planta/fisiologia , Folhas de Planta/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Secas
16.
Huan Jing Ke Xue ; 45(6): 3375-3388, 2024 Jun 08.
Artigo em Chinês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38897759

RESUMO

The vegetation phenology of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau is changing significantly in the context of climate change. However, there are many hydrothermal factors affecting the phenology, and few studies have focused on the effects of multiple factors on the phenology of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau, resulting in a lack of understanding of the mechanisms underlying phenological changes on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. In this study, we used remote sensing data interpretation to analyze the spatial and temporal variability of grassland phenology on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau from 2002 to 2021, focusing on precipitation, temperature, altitude, soil, and other aspects to reveal the dominant factors of phenological variability using an interpretable machine learning method (SHAP) and to quantify the interactive effects of multiple factors on phenology. The results showed that:① The growing season start (SOS) of grasslands on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau mostly ranged from 110 to 150 d, with 56.32 % of grasslands showing an early SOS trend; the growing season end (EOS) mostly ranged from 290-320 d, with 67.65 % of grasslands showing a delayed EOS trend; and the growing season length (LOS) mostly ranged from 120 to 210 d, with 65.50 % of the grasslands showing a trend towards longer growing season lengths. ② SOS in grasslands on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau was mainly influenced by moisture conditions, in which soil moisture between 10 and 25 kg·m-2 in the 0-10 cm soil layer in March promoted the advancement of SOS and peaked at approximately 20 kg·m-2. EOS was mainly influenced by temperature, with higher temperatures in September and October having a stronger effect on EOS latency promotion and peaking at over 8 ℃ and -0.5 ℃, respectively. The main influencing factors of LOS were more consistent with SOS, in which soil moisture between 15 and 25 kg·m-2 in the 0-10 cm soil layer in March promoted the prolongation of LOS and peaked at approximately 18 kg·m-2. ③ There was an obvious interactive effect of water and heat and other factors on phenology; after soil moisture reached 20 kg·m-2 in the 0-10 cm soil layer in March, SOS was more advanced in low-precipitation and low-altitude areas. Better moisture conditions were more conducive to EOS delay at temperatures above 0 ℃ in October, and soil moisture in high precipitation areas promoted LOS prolongation more when soil moisture was between 12 and 22 kg·m-2 in 0-10 cm in March. The results also demonstrated that interpretable machine learning methods could provide a new approach to the analysis of the multifactorial effects of phenological change.


Assuntos
Mudança Climática , Pradaria , Aprendizado de Máquina , Estações do Ano , China , Altitude , Tecnologia de Sensoriamento Remoto , Monitoramento Ambiental/métodos , Solo/química , Temperatura , Chuva , Poaceae/crescimento & desenvolvimento
17.
Water Res ; 259: 121857, 2024 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38851116

RESUMO

Urban areas are built environments containing substantial amounts of impervious surfaces (e.g., streets, sidewalks, roof tops). These areas often include elaborately engineered drainage networks designed to collect, transport, and discharge untreated stormwater into local surface waters. When left uncontrolled, these discharges may contain unsafe levels of fecal waste from sources such as sanitary sewage and wildlife even under dry weather conditions. This study evaluates paired measurements of host-associated genetic markers (log10 copies per reaction) indicative of human (HF183/BacR287 and HumM2), ruminant (Rum2Bac), canine (DG3), and avian (GFD) fecal sources, 12-hour cumulative precipitation (mm), four catchment land use metrics determined by global information system (GIS) mapping, and Escherichia coli (MPN/100 ml) from seven municipal separate storm sewer system outfall locations situated at the southern portion of the Anacostia River Watershed (District of Columbia, U.S.A.). A total of 231 discharge samples were collected twice per month (n = 24 sampling days) and after rain events (n = 9) over a 13-month period. Approximately 50 % of samples (n = 116) were impaired, exceeding the local E. coli single sample maximum of 2.613 log10 MPN/100 ml. Genetic quality controls indicated the absence of amplification inhibition in 97.8 % of samples, however 14.7 % (n = 34) samples showed bias in DNA recovery. Of eligible samples, quantifiable levels were observed for avian (84.1 %), human (57.4 % for HF183/BacR287 and 40 % for HumM2), canine (46.7 %), and ruminant (15.9 %) host-associated genetic markers. Potential links between paired measurements are explored with a recently developed Bayesian qPCR censored data analysis approach. Findings indicate that human, pet, and urban wildlife all contribute to storm outfall discharge water quality in the District of Columbia, but pollutant source contributions vary based on 'wet' and 'dry' conditions and catchment land use, demonstrating that genetic-based fecal source identification methods combined with GIS land use mapping can complement routine E. coli monitoring to improve stormwater management in urban areas.


Assuntos
Escherichia coli , Fezes , Esgotos , Fezes/microbiologia , Animais , Humanos , Escherichia coli/genética , Tempo (Meteorologia) , Chuva , Cidades , Monitoramento Ambiental , Cães , Aves
18.
Water Res ; 259: 121873, 2024 Aug 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38852387

RESUMO

Since stormwater conveys a variety of contaminants into water bodies, green infrastructure (GI) is increasingly being adopted as an on-site treatment solution in addition to controlling peak flows. The purpose of this study was to identify differences in microbial water quality of stormwater in watersheds retrofitted with GI vs. those without GI. Considering stormwater is recently recognized as a contributor to the antibiotic resistance (AR) threat, another goal of this study was to characterize changes in the microbiome and collection of AR genes (resistome) of urban stormwater with season, rainfall characteristics, and fecal contamination. MinION long-read sequencing was used to analyze stormwater microbiome and resistome from watersheds with and without GI in Columbus, Ohio, United States, over 18 months. We characterized fecal contamination in stormwater via culturing Escherichia coli and with molecular microbial source tracking (MST) to identify sources of fecal contamination. Overall, season and storm event (rainfall) characteristics had the strongest relationships with changes in the stormwater microbiome and resistome. We found no significant differences in microbial water quality or the microbiome of stormwater in watersheds with and without GI implemented. However, there were differences between the communities of microorganisms hosting antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) in stormwater from watersheds with and without GI, indicating the potential sensitivity of AR bacteria to treatment. Stormwater was contaminated with high concentrations of human-associated fecal bacterial genes, and the ARG host bacterial community had considerable similarities to human feces/wastewater. We also identified 15 potential pathogens hosting ARGs in these stormwater resistome, including vancomycin-resistant Enterococcus faecium (VRE) and multidrug-resistant Pseudomonas aeruginosa. In summary, urban stormwater is highly contaminated and has a great potential to spread AR and microbial hazards to nearby environments. This study presents the most comprehensive analysis of stormwater microbiome and resistome to date, which is crucial to understanding the potential microbial risk from this matrix. This information can be used to guide future public health policy, stormwater reuse programs, and urban runoff treatment initiatives.


Assuntos
Microbiota , Microbiologia da Água , Chuva , Ohio , Fezes/microbiologia , Escherichia coli/genética , Escherichia coli/efeitos dos fármacos , Escherichia coli/isolamento & purificação , Resistência Microbiana a Medicamentos/genética , Qualidade da Água
19.
Int J Hyg Environ Health ; 260: 114403, 2024 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38830305

RESUMO

Environmentally-mediated protozoan diseases like cryptosporidiosis and giardiasis are likely to be highly impacted by extreme weather, as climate-related conditions like temperature and precipitation have been linked to their survival, distribution, and overall transmission success. Our aim was to investigate the relationship between extreme temperature and precipitation and cryptosporidiosis and giardiasis infection using monthly weather data and case reports from Colorado counties over a twenty-one year period. Data on reportable diseases and weather among Colorado counties were collected using the Colorado Electronic Disease Reporting System (CEDRS) and the Daily Surface Weather and Climatological Summaries (Daymet) Version 3 dataset, respectively. We used a conditional Poisson distributed-lag nonlinear modeling approach to estimate the lagged association (between 0 and 12-months) between relative temperature and precipitation extremes and the risk of cryptosporidiosis and giardiasis infection in Colorado counties between 1997 and 2017, relative to the risk found at average values of temperature and precipitation for a given county and month. We found distinctly different patterns in the associations between temperature extremes and cryptosporidiosis, versus temperature extremes and giardiasis. When maximum or minimum temperatures were high (90th percentile) or very high (95th percentile), we found a significant increase in cryptosporidiosis risk, but a significant decrease in giardiasis risk, relative to risk at the county and calendar-month mean. Conversely, we found very similar relationships between precipitation extremes and both cryptosporidiosis and giardiasis, which highlighted the prominent role of long-term (>8 months) lags. Our study presents novel insights on the influence that extreme temperature and precipitation can have on parasitic disease transmission in real-world settings. Additionally, we present preliminary evidence that the standard lag periods that are typically used in epidemiological studies to assess the impacts of extreme weather on cryptosporidiosis and giardiasis may not be capturing the entire relevant period.


Assuntos
Criptosporidiose , Giardíase , Tempo (Meteorologia) , Criptosporidiose/epidemiologia , Colorado/epidemiologia , Giardíase/epidemiologia , Humanos , Dinâmica não Linear , Temperatura , Chuva
20.
J Environ Manage ; 365: 121588, 2024 Aug.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38941851

RESUMO

There have been notable changes in precipitation patterns on the Loess Plateau (LP) of China in recent decades, and numerous attribution studies have focused on sea surface temperature anomalies and atmospheric circulation changes induced by aerosols and greenhouse gases emission. However, the influences of global land use and land cover change (LULCC) as an important forcing factor in the climate system on regional precipitation remains poorly understood. In this study, we quantified the impacts of LULCC on precipitation and the water vapor budget in the LP region, utilizing data from LULCC forcing experiments conducted by the sixth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). Although global LULCC forcing exerted a negative effect on long-term mean precipitation on the LP region from 1850 to 2014, the different response characteristics were detected during different time periods. The global LULCC caused a decrease of 14 mm in annual precipitation during the period of 1850-1960. Conversely, from 1961 to 2014, it led to an increase of 6.4 mm, which is largely attributed to the enhanced water vapor transport along the southern boundary and westerly belt of the LP region. Moreover, from the perspective of the net water vapor balance of the entire LP, although LULCC caused net water vapor export during both periods 1850-1960 and 1961-2014, the export during the latter period (0.20 × 104 kg s-1) was smaller than that during the former period (0.28 × 104 kg s-1), indicating that the global expansion of grassland and cropland, along with the continuous rise in the leaf area index from 1961 to 2014, contributed to retaining more water vapor within the LP, which in turn was more favorable for precipitation. These findings provide valuable insights into the reasons behind precipitation variations in the LP region, emphasizing that global vegetation restoration and greening play a significant role in improving precipitation in ecologically fragile areas.


Assuntos
Vapor , China , Mudança Climática , Chuva
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