Prognostic analysis of MDA5-associated clinically amyopathic dermatomyositis with interstitial lung disease.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the prognostic factors of patients with anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA5) positive clinically amyopathic dermatomyositis (CADM) and interstitial lung disease (ILD). METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data of 125 patients with anti-MDA5 + CADM-ILD collected from 10 branches in eastern China between December 2014 and December 2022. Prognostic factors were analyzed using χ2 test, Log-rank test, COX and logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: In this cohort, 125 anti-MDA5 + CADM-ILD patients exhibited a rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RPILD) incidence of 37.6%, and an overall mortality rate of 24.8%. One patient was lost to follow-up. After diagnosis of RPILD, a mortality rate of 53.2% occurred in patients died within 3 months, and that of 5.6% appeared in those who survived for more than 3 months. Multiple factor analysis revealed that C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 10 mg/L (p = 0.01) and recombinant human tripartite motif containing 21 (Ro52) (+) (p = 0.003) were associated with a higher risk of RPILD in anti-MDA5 + CADM-ILD patients; CRP ≥ 10 mg/L (p = 0.018) and the presence of RPILD (p = 0.003) were identified as the factors influencing survival time in these patients, while arthritis was the protective factor (p = 0.016). CONCLUSION: Patients with anti-MDA5 + CADM-ILD will have a higher mortality rate, and the initial 3 months after diagnosis of RPILD is considered the risk window for the dismal prognosis. Patients with CRP ≥ 10 mg/L, Ro52 (+) and RPILD may be related to a shorter survival time, while patients complicated with arthritis may present with relatively mild conditions.

Radiomics based on HRCT can predict RP-ILD and mortality in anti-MDA5 + dermatomyositis patients: a multi-center retrospective study.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the effectiveness of HRCT-based radiomics in predicting rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD) and mortality in anti-MDA5 positive dermatomyositis-related interstitial lung disease (anti-MDA5 + DM-ILD). METHODS: From August 2014 to March 2022, 160 patients from Institution 1 were retrospectively and consecutively enrolled and were randomly divided into the training dataset (n = 119) and internal validation dataset (n = 41), while 29 patients from Institution 2 were retrospectively and consecutively enrolled as external validation dataset. We generated four Risk-scores based on radiomics features extracted from four areas of HRCT. A nomogram was established by integrating the selected clinico-radiologic variables and the Risk-score of the most discriminative radiomics model. The RP-ILD prediction performance of the models was evaluated by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, calibration curves, and decision curves. Survival analysis was conducted with Kaplan-Meier curves, Mantel-Haenszel test, and Cox regression. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up time of 31.6 months (interquartile range: 12.9-49.1 months), 24 patients lost to follow-up and 46 patients lost their lives (27.9%, 46/165). The Risk-score based on bilateral lungs performed best, attaining AUCs of 0.869 and 0.905 in the internal and external validation datasets. The nomogram outperformed clinico-radiologic model and Risk-score with AUCs of 0.882 and 0.916 in the internal and external validation datasets. Patients were classified into low- and high-risk groups with 50:50 based on nomogram. High-risk group patients demonstrated a significantly higher risk of mortality than low-risk group patients in institution 1 (HR = 4.117) and institution 2 cohorts (HR = 7.515). CONCLUSION: For anti-MDA5 + DM-ILD, the nomogram, mainly based on radiomics, can predict RP-ILD and is an independent predictor of mortality.

Pretreatment mortality risk prediction model in patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis-associated interstitial lung disease.

OBJECTIVES: Risk prediction for patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis-associated interstitial lung disease (PM/DM-ILD) is challenging due to heterogeneity in the disease course. We aimed to develop a mortality risk prediction model for PM/DM-ILD. METHODS: This prognostic study analysed patients with PM/DM-ILD admitted to Nanjing Drum Hospital from 2016 to 2021. The primary outcome was mortality within 1 year. We used a least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression model to identify predictive laboratory indicators. These indicators were used to create a laboratory risk score, and we developed a mortality risk prediction model by incorporating clinical factors. The evaluation of model performance encompassed discrimination, calibration, clinical utility and practical application for risk prediction and prognosis. RESULTS: Overall, 418 patients with PM/DM-ILD were enrolled and randomly divided into development (n=282) and validation (n=136) cohorts. LASSO logistic regression identified four optimal features in the development cohort, forming a laboratory risk score: C reactive protein, lactate dehydrogenase, CD3+CD4+ T cell counts and PO2/FiO2. The final prediction model integrated age, arthralgia, anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody status, high-resolution CT pattern and the laboratory risk score. The prediction model exhibited robust discrimination (area under the receiver operating characteristic: 0.869, 95% CI 0.811 to 0.910), excellent calibration and valuable clinical utility. Patients were categorised into three risk groups with distinct mortality rates. The internal validation, sensitivity analyses and comparative assessments against previous models further confirmed the robustness of the prediction model. CONCLUSIONS: We developed and validated an evidence-based mortality risk prediction model with simple, readily accessible clinical variables in patients with PM/DM-ILD, which may inform clinical decision-making.

Myositis-Associated Autoantibodies in Patients With Juvenile Myositis Are Associated With Refractory Disease and Mortality.

OBJECTIVE: Myositis-associated autoantibodies (MAAs) have been associated with overlap myositis, certain disease manifestations such as interstitial lung disease (ILD), and worse prognosis in the idiopathic inflammatory myopathies. MAAs overall remain largely uncharacterized in patients with juvenile-onset myositis. Moreover, it is unknown whether the number of MAAs is associated with disease severity. METHODS: Patients with juvenile myositis in cross-sectional natural history studies who underwent testing for myositis autoantibodies were included. Demographics, myositis autoantibodies, clinical characteristics, medications received, and outcomes of those with and without MAAs were compared. Multivariable logistic regression was performed to determine whether the number of MAAs detected was associated with severe disease features. RESULTS: Among 551 patients, 36% had an MAA and 13% had more than one MAA. Among those who were MAA positive, there was a higher frequency of overlap myositis (18% vs 5.9%, P < 0.001). MAA positivity was associated with certain clinical features, including Raynaud phenomenon (odds ratio [OR] 2.44, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.41-4.28) and ILD (OR 3.43, 95% CI 1.75-6.96), as well as a chronic disease course (OR 1.72, 95% CI 1.10-2.72) and mortality (OR 3.76, 95% CI 1.72-8.43). The number of MAAs was also associated with mortality (OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.16-2.86). CONCLUSION: MAAs were prevalent in a large cohort of patients with juvenile myositis. ILD, refractory disease, and mortality were associated with MAA positivity. Prospective studies are needed to determine whether early detection of MAAs may lead to improved outcomes for patients with juvenile myositis.

Risk factors for mortality in patients with anti-MDA5 antibody-positive dermatomyositis: A meta-analysis and systematic review.

OBJECTIVES: To determine the prognostic factors of dermatomyositis with anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA5) antibody, a rare disease and often complicated by life-threatening, rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease. METHODS: Herein, we searched the Medline, Embase, and Cochrane Library databases and extracted studies published before August 23, 2022. Pooled analysis of hazard ratios (HRs) or odds ratios was used to identify prognostic factors for mortality among patients with anti-MDA5 antibody-positive dermatomyositis (MDA5+ DM). RESULTS: Twenty-nine cohorts with 2,645 patients were included in this meta-analysis. Factors related to poor prognosis included old age (HR 1.54, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.41-1.69, p < 0.01), male sex (HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.34-3.18, p < 0.01), rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD) (HR 9.34, 95% CI 6.39-13.6, p < 0.01), high levels of ferritin (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.01-1.08, p < 0.01), C-reactive protein (CRP) (HR 1.12, 95% CI 1.06-1.19, p < 0.01), creatine kinase (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.07, p < 0.01), and lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.12-1.45, p < 0.01), whereas oxygen index (HR 0.990, 95% CI 0.988-0.992, p < 0.01), partial pressure of oxygen (HR 0.933, 95% CI 0.906-0.961, p < 0.01), forced vital capacity (HR 0.962, 95% CI 0.928-0.998, p = 0.038), and lymphocyte count (HR 0.421, 95% CI 0.282-0.629, p < 0.01) were associated with better outcomes. CONCLUSIONS: Old age, male sex, hypoxemia, low forced vital capacity, lymphocytopenia, and high levels of ferritin, CRP, creatine kinase, and LDH are risk factors for mortality in patients with MDA5+ DM. However, a cautious interpretation of these results and further quality investigation are warranted.

Long-term secular trends in dermatomyositis and polymyositis mortality in the USA from 1981 to 2020 according to underlying and multiple cause of death mortality data.

BACKGROUND: People with dermatomyositis (DM) or polymyositis (PM) often die from cancer, pulmonary, cardiac complications, or infections. In such cases, DM or PM might not be designated as the underlying cause of death (UCD) for mortality tabulation. In this study, we investigated DM/PM mortality trends in the USA from 1981 to 2020 with respect to UCD and multiple causes of death (MCD) data. METHODS: We used the MCD data to identify all deaths with DM or PM mentioned anywhere on the death certificate and as the UCD in the USA from 1981-1982 to 2019-2020. We calculated age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) and annual percentage changes (APCs) based on joinpoint regression analysis. RESULTS: We identified 12,249 (3985 with DM and 7097 with PM) and 23,608 (8264 with DM and 15,344 with PM) people who died between 1981 and 2020 according to the UCD and MCD data, respectively. For DM, the APC was - 6.7% (from 1981-1982 to 1985-1986), - 0.1% (from 1985-1986 to 2003-2004), and - 1.9% (from 2003-2004 to 2019-2020) according UCD and was - 1.2% (from 1981-1982 to 2003-2004), - 2.5% (from 2003-2004 to 2015-2016), and 2.8% (from 2015-2016 to 2019-2020) according MCD. For PM, the APC was 1.9% (from 1981-1982 to 1989-1990), - 2.3% (from 1989-1990 to 2005-2006), and - 5.2% (from 2005-2006 to 2019-2020) according UCD and was 1.3% (from 1981-1982 to 1991-1992) and - 4.1% (from 1991-1992 to 2019-2020) according MCD. CONCLUSION: We identified two times as many DM/PM deaths using the MCD as those identified using the UCD. Similar downward DM/PM mortality trends were noted according to UCD and MCD. However, the year of significant decline in PM mortality was about 10 years earlier according to MCD than those according to UCD.

Differences in the Clinical Characteristics and 1-Year Mortality Rates of Patients with Dermatomyositis with anti-Jo-1 and anti-MDA5 Antibodies.

Objective: Patients with anti-Jo-1 antibodies (Abs) and anti-melanoma differentiation-associated protein 5 (MDA5) Abs are at a higher risk of interstitial lung disease (ILD) and have a mortality rate higher than that of patients with anti-Jo-1 Abs. This study investigated differences in the clinical characteristics and prognosis of patients with anti-Jo-1 Abs and anti-MDA5 Abs with dermatomyositis (DM). Methods: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 38 patients with DM from January 2000 to December 2021. The patients were divided into anti-Jo-1 Abs and anti-MDA5 Abs groups. The basic demographic data, clinical manifestations, and 1-year mortality rates of the groups were compared. Results: Among the 38 patients, 30 were anti-Jo-1-Abs positive and 8 patients were anti-MDA5 Aba positive. The patients with anti-MDA5 Abs presented with more apparent cutaneous symptoms and aggressive pulmonary manifestations than did those with anti-Jo-1 Abs. The mortality rate in the anti-MDA5 Abs group (1.95/person-year (PY)) was much higher than that in anti-Jo-1 Abs group (0.094/PY), and most of the mortalities occurred within the first 1-3 months of follow-up. Conclusion: Distinct cutaneous and pulmonary manifestations were observed in the anti-Jo-1 Abs and anti-MDA5 Abs groups. The mortality rate in the anti-MDA5 Abs group was significantly higher than that in the anti-Jo-1 Abs group. Early recognition is crucial to ensuring higher chances of survival for patients with anti-MDA5 Abs.

Forced vital capacity predicts the survival of interstitial lung disease in anti-MDA5 positive dermatomyositis: a multi-centre cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA5) positive DM is a life-threatening disease often complicated with rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (ILD). This study aimed to establish and validate a clinical prediction model for 6-month all-cause mortality in Chinese patients with anti-MDA5 positive DM-ILD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective observational study using a single-centre derivation cohort and a multicentre validation cohort. Hospitalized DM patients with positive anti-MDA5 antibody and ILD course ≤3 months on admission were included. Patients' baseline characteristics were described and compared between the deceased and survivors by univariable Cox regression. Optimal cut-off values were defined by the 'survminer' R package for significant continuous variables. Independent prognostic factors were determined by the final multivariable Cox regression model chosen by backward stepwise algorithm, which could be reproduced in both cohorts. The Kaplan-Meier survival analyses based on the derived predictor were conducted. RESULTS: A total of 184 and 81 eligible patients were included with a cumulative 40.8 and 40.7% 6-month mortality in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Based on multivariable Cox regression, the prognostic factor at baseline was identified and validated as three-category forced vital capacity (FVC)%: FVC% ≥50%, FVC% <50%, unable to perform. This significantly distinguishes three risk stages with mortalities of 15.3, 46.8, 97.4% in the derivation cohort, and 14.9, 58.3, 86.4 in the validation cohort, respectively (all P <0.05). CONCLUSION: The validated FVC%-based categorical predictor in anti-MDA5 positive DM-ILD is helpful for risk stratification in clinical practice and might facilitate cohort enrichment for future trials.

Distribution of anti-melanoma differentiation associated gene 5 (MDA5) IgG subclasses in MDA5+ dermatomyositis.

OBJECTIVES: The anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA5) antibody is the main predictor of interstitial lung disease (ILD) in DM and clinically amyopathic DM (CADM). Nevertheless, a subset of MDA5+ patients have a favourable prognosis. We aimed to determine the possibility of using anti-MDA5 antibody isotypes and IgG subclasses for evaluating ILD risk. METHODS: The isotypes (IgG, IgA and IgM) of anti-MDA5 were detected in serum samples of 36 anti-MDA5+ patients with DM/CADM using ELISA. IgG subclasses of anti-MDA5 antibodies were further investigated. Laboratory findings and cumulative survival were analysed based on the isotypes of anti-MDA5 and subclasses of anti-MDA5 IgG. RESULTS: Among the MDA5+ patients with DM/CADM, the positive rates of anti-MDA5 IgG, IgA and IgM were 100, 97 and 6%, respectively. The positive rates of anti-MDA5 IgG1, IgG2, IgG3 and IgG4 were 72, 25, 0 and 28%, respectively. The incidence of acute interstitial pneumonia, mortality rate and serum ferritin were significantly higher in anti-MDA5 IgG1+ patients than in anti-MDA5 IgG1- patients with DM/CADM (P = 0.0027, 0.015, 0.0011, respectively). The sensitivity and specificity of anti-MDA5 IgG1 for predicting mortality were 100 and 41.7%, respectively. A combination of anti-MDA5 IgG1 and IgG4 for predicting mortality yielded better specificity (87.5%). CONCLUSION: IgA and IgG are the primary anti-MDA5 antibody isotypes. Anti-MDA5 IgG1 is the primary component of MDA5 IgG subclasses and anti-MDA5 IgG1 and IgG4 might serve as useful biomarkers for predicting mortality in DM-ILD.

Persistent premature mortality gap in dermatomyositis and polymyositis: a United Kingdom general population-based cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: DM and PM are associated with substantial morbidity and mortality. We aimed to examine recent trends. METHODS: Using The Health Improvement Network, we identified patients with incident DM/PM (defined by ≥1 Read diagnosis code) aged 18-89 years with ≥1 year of continuous enrolment prior to the cohort entry date and up to 10 comparators matched on age, sex and entry year. The cohort was divided in two based on the year of DM/PM diagnosis: the early cohort (1999-2006) and late cohort (2007-2014). We calculated multivariable hazard ratios (HR) for death using a Cox-proportional hazards model and multivariable rate differences (RD) using an additive hazard model. RESULTS: We identified 410 DM cases (mean age: 58 years, 66% female) and 407 PM cases (mean age: 59 years, 61% female). Both DM cohorts had excess mortality compared with the comparison cohorts (71.5 vs 12.9 deaths/1000 person-years [PY] in the early cohort and 49.1 vs 10.4 deaths/1000 PY in the late cohort). The multivariable HRs were 7.51 (95% CI: 4.20, 13.42) in the early cohort and 5.42 (95% CI: 3.11, 9.45) in the late cohort (P-value for interaction = 0.59), and multivariable RDs were 56.2 (95% CI: 31.8, 81.2) in the early cohort and 36.3 (95% CI: 19.6, 53.0) in the late cohort (P-value for interaction = 0.15). A similar trend existed in PM. CONCLUSION: The premature mortality gap in DM/PM has not considerably improved in recent years, highlighting an unmet need for therapeutic improvement.

Risk Prediction Modeling Based on a Combination of Initial Serum Biomarker Levels in Polymyositis/Dermatomyositis-Associated Interstitial Lung Disease.

OBJECTIVE: To establish predictive models for mortality in patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis-associated interstitial lung disease (PM/DM-ILD) using a combination of initial serum biomarker levels. METHODS: The Multicenter Retrospective Cohort of Japanese Patients with Myositis-Associated ILD (JAMI) database of 497 incident cases of PM/DM-ILD was used as a derivation cohort, and 111 cases were additionally collected as a validation cohort. Risk factors predictive of all-cause mortality were identified by univariate and multivariable Cox regression analyses using candidate serum biomarkers as explanatory variables. The predictive models for mortality were generated in patients with and those without anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA-5) antibody, using a combination of risk factors. Cumulative survival rates were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and were compared between subgroups using the Breslow test. RESULTS: In the derivation cohort, C-reactive protein (CRP) and Krebs von den Lungen 6 (KL-6) levels were identified as independent risk factors for mortality in both anti-MDA-5-positive and anti-MDA-5-negative patients. We then developed a prediction model based on anti-MDA-5 antibody status, CRP level, and KL-6 level, termed the "MCK model," to identify patients at low (<15%), moderate (15-50%), or high (≥50%) risk of mortality, based on the number of risk factors. The MCK model successfully differentiated cumulative survival rates in anti-MDA-5-positive patients (P < 0.01 for low versus moderate risk and P = 0.03 for moderate versus high risk) and in anti-MDA-5-negative patients (P < 0.001 for low versus moderate risk). The utility of the MCK model was replicated in the validation cohort. CONCLUSION: Our findings indicate that an evidence-based risk prediction model using CRP and KL-6 levels combined with anti-MDA-5 antibody status might be useful for predicting prognosis in patients with PM/DM-ILD.

Ultra-low dose rituximab as add-on therapy in anti-MDA5-positive patients with polymyositis /dermatomyositis associated ILD.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the efficacy and safety of ultra-low dose (100 mg) rituximab (RTX) administration in anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA5) positive patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis (PM/DM) associated interstitial lung disease. METHODS: This retrospective study included anti-MDA5 antibody positive ILD subjects in the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University from November 2017 to March 2019. Independent predictors for 180-day mortality were measured by Cox regression analysis. Patients were divided into 3 groups: Group 1 (non-cyclophosphamide (CTX)/RTX) (n = 10), Group 2 (CTX only) (n = 19) and Group 3 (RTX with/without CTX) (n = 11). The 180-day mortality was compared among 3 groups with Kaplan-Meier analysis. Post-RTX serological parameters as well as adverse events were evaluated. RESULTS: Forty patients were included with the mean age of 51.3 years. Elevated IL-10 level and CD4+/8+ ratio were considered as risk factors of 180-day mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a trend toward decrease, albeit non-significant, in 180-day mortality in Group 3 (P = 0.26). The administration of 100 mg RTX brought down B cell within 7 days that lasted for 180 days. There were 7 and 6 infection events observed within 2 months of CTX/RTX treatment in Group 2 and 3, with 5 and 2 fatal cases respectively. Cytomegalovirus infection accounted for half infection events in Group 3. CONCLUSION: We found a pronounced and prolonged B cell depletion following 100 mg RTX infusion and RTX add-on may be effective in anti-MDA5 positive ILD patients. However, infection, especially opportunistic infection, should be concerned during the treatment.

Mortality in Patients with Polymyositis and Dermatomyositis in an Israeli Population.

BACKGROUND: The reported mortality rates of patients with polymyositis and dermatomyositis are highly variable worldwide. The excess mortality of patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis has not been evaluated in an Israeli population. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the overall mortality in a large and well-established cohort of patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis as compared to the mortality expected in the matched general population in a tertiary medical center. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study, the mortality of 166 patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis was compared to age- and sex-matched control subjects in the general population. All-cause standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were estimated. RESULTS: Overall, 47 (28.3%) deaths were observed among patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis during a mean follow-up period of 5.8 ± 4.8 years, which was 7 times higher than in the control group (SMR 7.4, 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 5.5-9.8). The SMRs were comparable in patents with polymyositis (7.7, 95%CI 4.8-12.3) and dermatomyositis (7.2, 95%CI 5.0-10.3). The 1-, 5-, 10-, and 15-year overall survival rates were 90.0%, 82.8%, 51.5%, and 26.1%, respectively, in patients with polymyositis, and 80.3%, 59.6%, 40.0%, and 17.1%, respectively, in patients with dermatomyositis. CONCLUSIONS: The overall mortality among Israeli patients with polymyositis/dermatomyositis is 7.4 times greater than for the general population. Although long-term mortality was comparable between patients with dermatomyositis and polymyositis, patients in the former group died at a notably earlier stage.

Clinical characteristics and prognostic analysis of Chinese dermatomyositis patients with malignancies.

Although a strong association between idiopathic inflammatory myositis (IIM) and malignancy has been widely reported, few studies have solely focused on the concurrence of dermatomyositis (DM) and malignancies (DM-malignancy).We conducted a retrospective analysis of 37 DM-malignancy cases among 363 DM patients admitted to our hospital between January 2012 and December 2017.(1) The mean age at DM diagnosis was higher for DM-malignancy patients than for DM-non-malignancy patients [(54.76 ±â€Š9.77) years vs (48.57 ±â€Š12.82) years, t = 2.84, P = .005]. (2) Gynecological malignancies (35.90%/14 cases) were the most common malignancies. Malignancies were diagnosed before DM for 7 DM-malignancy patients. The interval between the DM and malignancy diagnoses for the remaining 32 DM-malignancy patients was less than 6 months for 18 patients (46.15%), less than 1 years for 23 patients (58.9%), and less than 2 years for 29 patients (74.26%). (3) There was no significant difference either in antinuclear antibody or anti-Ro-52 positivity between the 2 groups (P > .05). (4) Multivariate analysis demonstrated that DM onset age ≥50 years and concurrence with ILD increased the risk of death for DM patients [hazard ratio (HR): 1.62 and 2.72; 95% confidence interval (CI): (1.08-2.43) and (1.47-5.02); P = .02 and 0.001, respectively], and male gender decreased the risk of death [HR 0.66, 95% CI (0.44-0.98), P = .04]. DM-malignancy patients were older than DM-non-malignancy patients. Gynecological malignancies were the most common malignancies among these patients. A DM onset age ≥50 years, female sex and the presence of ILD were independent risk factors for death.

Evaluation of usefulness in surfactant protein D as a predictor of mortality in myositis-associated interstitial lung disease.

OBJECTIVE: Surfactant protein D (SP-D) is considered a serum biomarker of various forms of interstitial lung disease (ILD). In this study, we examined the utility of SP-D as a predictive biomarker for mortality in patients with ILD associated with polymyositis/dermatomyositis (PM/DM) using large-scale multicentre cohort data. METHODS: We enrolled 381 patients with incident PM/DM-associated ILD in a multicentre retrospective cohort based on the availability of serum SP-D at the baseline. Demographic and clinical characteristics as well as the presence of autoantibodies to melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA5) and aminoacyl tRNA synthetase were measured at the time of diagnosis, and follow-up survival data were collected prospectively. RESULTS: Seventy-eight patients died during the median observation period of 18 months, and the majority of patients died of ILD. The SP-D levels at baseline were significantly lower (P = 0.02) in a non-survivor subset than in a survivor subset among the entire enrolled patients. However, the SP-D levels were higher in the non-survivor subset than in the survivor subset based on the stratification by anti-MDA5-positive, anti-ARS-positive and, double-negativity, although there was an only statistically significant difference (P = 0.01) in the double-negative group. Surprisingly, the SP-D levels were within the upper limit of normal, 110 ng/mL, in 54 (87%) of 62 anti-MDA5-positive patients who died. In the double-negative group, the mortality rates were significantly higher (P = 0.002) in a subset with SP-D ≥127.6 ng/mL, the cut-off value for mortality calculated by the receiver operating characteristic curve, than the other subset. All of patients with SP-D <127.6 ng/mL survived. CONCLUSION: Serum SP-D levels behave differently among patients with stratified by anti-MDA5 antibody, anti-ARS antibody and both negativity in PM/DM-associated ILD. Its use in clinical practice should be applied with caution on the basis of the presence or absence of anti-MDA5 antibody or anti-ARS antibody.

Mortality Risk Prediction in Amyopathic Dermatomyositis Associated With Interstitial Lung Disease: The FLAIR Model.

BACKGROUND: The prognosis of amyopathic dermatomyositis (ADM)-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD) is poor. A mortality risk score model is needed to predict survival in patients with ADM-ILD and to guide clinical treatment. RESEARCH QUESTION: How to identify patients with ADM-ILD who are at high risk and to predict patient outcome based on a risk stratification model? STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS: We evaluated 207 patients with ADM-ILD in this prospective inception study. We used a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to identify the independent prognostic risk factors and created a risk score model according to patient data from January 2012 to December 2016. We used the index of prediction accuracy that uses the Brier score to reflect both discrimination and calibration of the model. The model was validated in an independent group of patients from January 2017 to June 2018. RESULTS: We developed a combined risk score, the FLAIR score, that included the following values and scores: ferritin (<636 ng/mL, 0; ≥636 ng/mL, 2), lactate dehydrogenase (<355 U/L, 0; ≥355 U/L, 2), antimelanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 antibody (negative, 0; +, 2; ++, 3; +++, 4), high-resolution CT imaging score (<133, 0; ≥133, 3), and rapidly progressive ILD (RPILD) (non-RPILD, 0; RPILD, 2). We divided patients into three risk groups according to the FLAIR score: low, 0 to 4; medium, 5 to 9; and high, 10 to 13. In both discovery and validation cohorts, high-risk patients had significantly higher mortality rates than low- and medium-risk patients (P < .001). INTERPRETATION: The FLAIR risk score model could help to predict survival in patients with ADM-ILD and to guide further clinical research on risk-based treatment.

Efficacy of plasma exchange in anti-MDA5-positive dermatomyositis with interstitial lung disease under combined immunosuppressive treatment.

OBJECTIVES: Rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD) with poor prognosis often accompanies anti-melanoma differentiation-associated gene 5 (MDA5)-positive DM. Combined immunosuppressive therapy, including glucocorticoids, calcineurin inhibitors and intravenous cyclophosphamide (IVCY) is reportedly effective in DM with RP-ILD, but some patients remain resistant to therapy. We examined the utility of plasma exchange (PE) in such intractable cases and investigated the prognostic factors of the disease. METHODS: Thirty-eight anti-MDA5-positive DM-ILD patients who received the combined immunosuppressive therapy were retrospectively reviewed. Their serum cytokines were evaluated by multiplex assay before treatment. The patients were divided into two groups: those who achieved remission without exacerbation of respiratory dysfunction (n = 25, group A) and those who progressed to hypoxemia during the treatment (n = 13, group B). RESULTS: PE was carried out in eight group B patients, but none of group A. Five of the eight treated with PE survived, while the five untreated patients died (P =0.04). Higher neutrophil lymphocyte ratio, higher serum ferritin, hypoxemia, high-resolution computed tomography (HRCT) score before treatment and increase of Krebs von Lungen-6 (KL-6) in the first 4 weeks of the treatment were the prognostic factors for disease progression. Serum cytokines such as IL-1, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p70, IL-18 and sCD163 levels were higher in group B than group A. CONCLUSION: PE should be an effective adjuvant treatment in anti-MDA5-positive DM with RP-ILD. Assessment of basal laboratory tests or monocyte/macrophage-derived cytokines and the increase of KL-6, HRCT score and hypoxemia may help us to predict intractable cases and to make early treatment decisions regarding PE in anti-MDA5-positive DM.