Stochastic analysis of epidemics on adaptive time varying networks.

Many studies investigating the effect of human social connectivity structures (networks) and human behavioral adaptations on the spread of infectious diseases have assumed either a static connectivity structure or a network which adapts itself in response to the epidemic (adaptive networks). However, human social connections are inherently dynamic or time varying. Furthermore, the spread of many infectious diseases occur on a time scale comparable to the time scale of the evolving network structure. Here we aim to quantify the effect of human behavioral adaptations on the spread of asymptomatic infectious diseases on time varying networks. We perform a full stochastic analysis using a continuous time Markov chain approach for calculating the outbreak probability, mean epidemic duration, epidemic reemergence probability, etc. Additionally, we use mean-field theory for calculating epidemic thresholds. Theoretical predictions are verified using extensive simulations. Our studies have uncovered the existence of an "adaptive threshold," i.e., when the ratio of susceptibility (or infectivity) rate to recovery rate is below the threshold value, adaptive behavior can prevent the epidemic. However, if it is above the threshold, no amount of behavioral adaptations can prevent the epidemic. Our analyses suggest that the interaction patterns of the infected population play a major role in sustaining the epidemic. Our results have implications on epidemic containment policies, as awareness campaigns and human behavioral responses can be effective only if the interaction levels of the infected populace are kept in check.

Relative risks and approaches to biosecurity in the use of embryo technologies in livestock.

Embryo technologies have been integrated into production systems for a variety of livestock species. As relates to transmission of infectious diseases, our working hypothesis has been that use of embryo transfer for distribution of germ plasm within and between herds and flocks is likely safer than the movement of postnatal animals. Indeed, research and experience generally have been supportive of this hypothesis. However, the relative risks of transmitting infectious agents via embryo transfer vary among donor species. Further, different methods of producing embryos appear to present different risks. This paper provides a comparative overview of the risks of transmitting infectious diseases via transfer of both in vivo- and in vitro-derived embryos in common domesticated livestock species. Also discussed are universal approaches to biosecurity in embryo production and transfer.

[French training program for medical students in transfusion medicine. Transfusion Medicine Teachers' College]. / Programme en transfusion des étudiants en médecine. Collège des enseignants en transfusion sanguine.

In France, transfusion medicine training program has been updated. A national committee of professors in transfusion medicine propose a series of 13 items which represent the minimum knowledge that general practitioners should possess. This overview of transfusion medicine is far below the level that specialists should reach and they will need an additional specialized training. Several French universities have set up their own training program which is quite similar to the work of the committee of professors. The following recommendations are not strict guidelines but is a common basis which will be improved in 2005 according to new evidence based transfusion medicine.