Multiple sclerosis disease activity, a multi-biomarker score of disease activity and response to treatment in multiple sclerosis.

Regular assessment of disease activity in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) is required to optimize clinical outcomes. Biomarkers can be a valuable tool for measuring disease activity in multiple sclerosis (MS) if they reflect the pathological processes underlying MS pathogenicity. In this pilot study, we combined multiple biomarkers previously analyzed in RRMS patients into an MS disease activity (MSDA) score to evaluate their ability to predict relapses and treatment response to glatiramer acetate (GA). Response Gene to Complement 32 (RGC-32), FasL, IL-21, SIRT1, phosphorylated SIRT1 (p-SIRT1), and JNK1 p54 levels were used to generate cut-off values for each biomarker. Any value below the cutoff for RGC-32, FasL SIRT1, or p-SIRT1 or above the cutoff for IL-21 or JNK1 p54 was given a +1 value, indicating relapse or lack of response to GA. Any value above the cutoff value for RGC-32, FasL, SIRT1, p-SIRT1 or below that for IL-21 or JNK1 p54 was given a -1 value, indicating clinical stability or response to GA. An MSDA score above +1 indicated a relapse or lack of response to treatment. An MSDA score below -1 indicated clinical stability or response to treatment. Our results showed that the MSDA scores generated using either four or six biomarkers had a higher sensitivity and specificity and significantly correlated with the expanded disability status scale. Although these results suggest that the MSDA test can be useful for monitoring therapeutic response to biologic agents and assessing clinically challenging situations, the present findings need to be confirmed in larger studies.

Real-World Effectiveness and Safety of Cladribine in Multiple Sclerosis: Longitudinal Data From the Nationwide Registry in Argentina.

OBJECTIVE: The aim was to evaluate patient profiles, effectiveness and safety of cladribine (CLAD) in patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis in Argentina. METHODS: This was a substudy included in RelevarEM (MS and neuromyelitis optica registry in Argentina, NCT03375177). Patients with MS who received CLAD tablets and were followed up for at least 24 months were included. Clinical evaluations every 3 months collect information about: a) clinical relapses; b) progression of physical disability, evaluated through Expanded Disability Status Scale, and c) new lesions found in the magnetic resonance imaging. Lymphopenia was evaluated during the follow-up and defined as grade 1: absolute lymphocyte count (ALC) 800-999/µL; grade 2: ALC 500-799/µL; grade 3: ALC 200-499/µL and grade 4: ALC <200/µL. RESULTS: A total of 240 patients were included from 19 centers from Argentina. The mean annualized relapse rate during the 12-month pre-CLAD initiation was 1.19 ± 0.56 versus 0.22 ± 0.18 at month 12 and 0.19 ± 0.15 at month 24 ( P < 0.001). A total of 142 (59.2%) fulfilled the criteria of disease activity during the 12 months before treatment initiation, whereas 27 (11.3%) fulfilled it at month 12 and 38 (15.8%) at month 24, P < 0.001. Regarding no evidence of disease activity (NEDA), 202 (84.2%) patients achieved NEDA status at month 12 and 185 (77%) at month 24. The most frequent incidence density of lymphopenia for course 2 observed was also for grade 1, 6.1 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 5.5-7.1). The overall incidence density of lymphopenia grade 4 was 0.1 (95% CI = 0.06-0.19). CONCLUSION: This information will help when choosing the best treatment option for Argentinean patients.

Clinical and biological predictors of Cladribine effectiveness in Multiple Sclerosis: A real-world, single Centre study considering a two-year interval from year-2 dosing.

OBJECTIVES: Cladribine tablets (CLAD) for adult patients with highly active relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) have been available in Italy since 2018. We aimed to assess predictors of no-evidence-of-disease-activity-3 (NEDA-3) status after 24 months of the last dose of CLAD. RESULTS: We included 88 patients (70.5% female, mean age at CLAD start 35.4 ± 11.4). Eighteen patients were treatment naïve, 48 switched to CLAD from a First line Disease Modifying Drug (DMD), and 22 from Second line DMDs. All patients were observed for a median follow-up time of 2.4 (1-4) years after the last dose of CLAD. Forty-nine patients (55.7%) showed NEDA at the last available follow-up. Naïve patients (p = 0.001), those with a lower number of previous DMDs (p < 0.001) and, even though not significantly, those switching from first line DMDs (p = 0.069) were more likely NEDA3 at the last available follow-up. In a subgroup of 30 patients (34%), Serum Light Neurofilaments (sNFL) levels showed a decrease from baseline to the 24 months of follow-up, statistically significant from baseline to the sixth month, and from the first to the second year detection. sNFL levels at 12th month showed a strong inverse correlation with the time to NEDA3 loss. CONCLUSIONS: Our experience provides information for the 2-years after the last dose of CLAD, confirming a higher effectiveness of CLAD when placed early in the treatment algorithm. Given the ongoing expansion of the therapeutic landscape in MS, sNfL could support individualized decision-making, used as blood-based biomarker for CLAD responses in clinical practice.

Influence of personalized extended interval dosing on the natalizumab wearing-off effect - a sub-study of the NEXT-MS trial.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Wearing-off symptoms during natalizumab treatment in multiple sclerosis are characterized by an increase of MS-related symptoms prior to natalizumab administration. The influence of extended interval dosing (EID) on wearing-off symptoms are important to consider, as this might cause hesitancy in initiating or continuing EID. METHODS: Participants of the NEXT-MS trial, in which treatment intervals are adjusted based on drug concentrations, were divided into two groups: an extended group containing participants with at least one week of additional interval extension, and a group with a fixed interval during the trial (range 4-7 weeks). Changes in the occurrence, frequency, onset, and severity of wearing-off symptoms were evaluated. RESULTS: 255 participants were included (extended group n = 171, fixed group n = 84). The odds on occurrence of wearing-off symptoms in the extended group did not increase after extending the treatment interval. Additional analyses for frequency, onset, and severity of wearing-off symptoms showed no changes over time. Mean decrease in natalizumab drug concentration did not influence the frequency of wearing-off symptoms. DISCUSSION: Wearing-off symptoms were not reinforced by further extending the natalizumab interval. Wearing-off symptoms might increase in a minority of patients after EID, although our data support the view that wearing-off symptoms appear to be unrelated to the decrease in natalizumab trough drug concentrations.

A two-years real-word study with fingolimod: early predictors of efficacy and an association between EBNA-1 IgG titers and multiple sclerosis progression.

Background: Although fingolimod, a sphingosine 1-phosphate receptor agonist, has shown to be an effective treatment reducing relapse rate and also slowing down the disability progression in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) patients, it is important to quickly identify those suboptimal responders. Objective: The main objective was to assess different clinical, radiological, genetic and environmental factors as possible early predictors of response in MS patients treated with fingolimod for 24 months. The secondary objective was to analyze the possible contribution of the environmental factors analyzed to the progression and activity of the disease along the 2-years of follow-up. Methods: A retrospective study with 151 patients diagnosed with MS, under fingolimod treatment for 24 months, with serum samples at initiation and six months later, and with clinical and radiological data at initiation and 24 months later, were included in the study. Clinical and radiological variables were collected to establish NEDA-3 (no evidence of disease activity: patients without relapses, disability progression and new T2 lesions or Gd+ lesions) and EDA (evidence of disease activity: patients with relapses and/or progression and/or new T2 lesions or gadolinium-positive [Gd+] lesions) conditions. Human leukocyte antigen II (HLA-II), EBNA-1 IgG and VCA IgG from Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) and antibody titers against Human herpesvirus 6A/B (HHV-6A/B) were also analyzed. Results: A total of 151 MS patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria: 27.8% was NEDA-3 (37.5% among those previously treated with high efficacy therapies >24 months). The following early predictors were statistically significantly associated with NEDA-3 condition: sex (male; p=0.002), age at baseline (older; p=0.009), relapses 2-years before fingolimod initiation ≤1 (p=0.010), and absence of Gd+ lesions at baseline (p=0.006). Regarding the possible contribution of the environmental factors included in the study to the activity or the progression of the disease, we only found that EBNA-1 IgG titers decreased in 20.0% of PIRA (progression independent from relapse activity) patients vs. 73.3% of RAW (relapse-associated worsening) patients (p=0.006; O.R. = 11.0). Conclusion: MS patients that are male, older, and with a low clinical and radiological activity at fingolimod initiation have a greater probability to reach NEDA-3 condition after two years with this therapy. An intriguing association of EBV with the progression of the disease has also been described, but it should be further study in a larger cohort to confirm these results.

Framework for personalized prediction of treatment response in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: a replication study in independent data.

BACKGROUND: Individualizing and optimizing treatment of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients is a challenging problem, which would benefit from a clinically valid decision support. Stühler et al. presented black box models for this aim which were developed and internally evaluated in a German registry but lacked external validation. METHODS: In patients from the French OFSEP registry, we independently built and validated models predicting being free of relapse and free of confirmed disability progression (CDP), following the methodological roadmap and predictors reported by Stühler. Hierarchical Bayesian models were fit to predict the outcomes under 6 disease-modifying treatments given the individual disease course up to the moment of treatment change. Data was temporally split on 2017, and models were developed in patients treated earlier (n = 5517). Calibration curves, discrimination, mean squared error (MSE) and relative percentage of root MSE (RMSE%) were assessed by external validation of models in more-recent patients (n = 3768). Non-Bayesian fixed-effects GLMs were also applied and their outcomes were compared to these of the Bayesian ones. For both, we modelled the number of on-therapy relapses with a negative binomial distribution, and CDP occurrence with a binomial distribution. RESULTS: The performance of our temporally-validated relapse model (MSE: 0.326, C-Index: 0.639) is potentially superior to that of Stühler's (MSE: 0.784, C-index: 0.608). Calibration plots revealed miscalibration. Our CDP model (MSE: 0.072, C-Index: 0.777) was also better than its counterpart (MSE: 0.131, C-index: 0.554). Results from non-Bayesian fixed-effects GLM models were similar to the Bayesian ones. CONCLUSIONS: The relapse and CDP models rebuilt and externally validated in independent data could compare and strengthen the credibility of the Stühler models. Their model-building strategy was replicable.

Alterations of Thymus-Derived Tregs in Multiple Sclerosis.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is considered a prototypic autoimmune disease of the CNS. It is the leading cause of chronic neurologic disability in young adults. Proinflammatory B cells and autoreactive T cells both play important roles in its pathogenesis. We aimed to study alterations of regulatory T cells (Tregs), which likely also contribute to the disease, but their involvement is less clear. METHODS: By combining multiple experimental approaches, we examined the Treg compartments in 41 patients with relapsing-remitting MS and 17 healthy donors. RESULTS: Patients with MS showed a reduced frequency of CD4+ T cells and Foxp3+ Tregs and age-dependent alterations of Treg subsets. Treg suppressive function was compromised in patients, who were treated with natalizumab, while it was unaffected in untreated and anti-CD20-treated patients. The changes in natalizumab-treated patients included increased proinflammatory cytokines and an altered transcriptome in thymus-derived (t)-Tregs, but not in peripheral (p)-Tregs. DISCUSSION: Treg dysfunction in patients with MS might be related to an altered transcriptome of t-Tregs and a proinflammatory environment. Our findings contribute to a better understanding of Tregs and their subtypes in MS.

Spinal cord MRI activity in multiple sclerosis: Predictive value for relapses and impact on treatment decisions.

INTRODUCTION: Emerging evidence suggests the prognostic value of spinal cord (SC) pathology in multiple sclerosis (MS). However, the 2021 MAGNIMS-CMSC-NAIMS guidelines don't recommend routine SC MRI for disease monitoring. This study investigates the frequency of new asymptomatic and isolated SC lesions, exploring their potential to predict clinical activity and guide treatment decisions. METHODS: We enrolled relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients who underwent brain and SC MRI at baseline and after 12 months. New, enlarged, or gadolinium-enhanced (Gd+) lesions on MRI were considered disease activity markers. Clinical relapses and treatment changes observed 3 months after the 12-month MRI were analyzed using regression analysis, evaluating their association with worsening SC findings. RESULTS: A total of 201 RRMS patients (56 males, 27.9%, mean age 42.5 ± 12.1 years, mean EDSS 2.7 ± 1.9) were included. Isolated worsening of T2 lesion burden in the SC occurred in 16 patients (8%), and 12 (6%) had Gd + lesions. Among patients without brain MRI activity (n = 138), regression analysis revealed a significant association between new Gd + SC lesions and clinical relapses within 3 months of the 12-month MRI (p = 0.024). Worsening SC findings (p = 0.021) and SC lesion enhancement (p = 0.046) emerged as key factors influencing disease-modifying therapy changes within 3 months in these patients. Notably, even without clinical symptoms, worsening SC findings significantly predicted treatment changes (p = 0.003). CONCLUSION: Our findings highlight the independent value of SC MRI findings in MS monitoring. Importantly, isolated and asymptomatic SC worsening significantly impacted treatment decisions.

Ocrelizumab and ofatumumab comparison: an Italian real-world propensity score matched study.

BACKGROUND: The management of Multiple Sclerosis (MS) has undergone transformative evolution with the introduction of high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (DMTs), specifically anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies, such as ocrelizumab (OCR) and ofatumumab (OFA). MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is an independent retrospective cohort study in Relapsing MS (RMS) patients followed at eight Italian MS centers who initiated treatment with OCR or OFA in the participating centers and with at least 12 months on therapy. A generalized linear regression model inverse probability of treatment weight (IPTW) PS-adjusted was performed to evaluate the relationship between annualized relapse rate (ARR) and treatment groups. No evidence of disease activity-NEDA-3 at 12-month score was also collected. Safety profile of the investigated DMTs was recorded. RESULTS: A total cohort of 396 RMS patients fulfilled the required criteria and were enrolled in the study. Out of them, 216 had a prescription of OCR and 180 of OFA. The mean follow-up was 13.2 ± 1.9 months. The estimated means for ARR did not show differences between the two groups, 0.059 for patients on OCR and 0.038 for patients on OFA (p = 0.185). The generalized regression model IPTW PS-adjusted did not reveal differences between patients on OCR and OFA (ExpBOFA 0.974, 95%CI 934-1.015, p = 0.207). NEDA-3 at 12 months was experienced by 199(92.1%) patients on OCR and 170(94.4%) patients on OFA (p = 0.368). Generally, both therapies exhibit good tolerability. CONCLUSIONS: The treatment with OCR and OFA resulted in comparable control of disease activity with good safety profile. Our results need further validation in larger multicentre studies with long-term follow-up.

Long-lasting severe anemia following treatment with natalizumab for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: a case report.

BACKGROUND: Natalizumab is a monoclonal antibody used to treat patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. Anemia is a recognized side effect, but it is usually mild and of a short duration when natalizumab is stopped. Here, we describe a case of a young woman with severe and especially long lasting anemia associated with treatment with natalizumab, persisting up to a year after treatment was stopped. CASE PRESENTATION: A 24 year-old Caucasian woman with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis developed severe transfusion dependent anemia after 27 infusions with natalizumab, which was her first and only treatment for her multiple sclerosis. Extensive hematologic diagnostics did not reveal any malignant cause or any other plausible non-malignant cause for her anemia. The bone marrow was found to be hypercellular, with a maturation arrest of the erythropoiesis and with grade 1-2 fibrosis. No specific treatment for the anemia was given. The hemoglobin level showed signs of spontaneous increase after nearly one year after natalizumab was discontinued. CONCLUSION: Severe anemia can be caused by treatment with natalizumab. This case adds information to the few other similar reported cases, demonstrating the potential duration of the anemia, as well as detailed description of hematologic findings. The mechanism is most likely due to inhibition of α4 subunit of the α4ß1-integrin, which is present on both lymphocytes and erythroid precursor cells.

[Treatment of multiple sclerosis]. / Behandelmogelijkheden bij multiple sclerose.

Multiple sclerosis is a chronic inflammatory disease of the central nervous system, caused by an autoimmune reaction. Treatment options have largely increased over the years. In this article, we present two clinical cases. Patient A has a classic relapsing remitting course of multiple sclerosis with satisfactory effect on second line therapy. Patient B had a stable disease course until a new relapse occurred after the initiation of TNF-alpha blocking therapy because of Crohn's disease. The co-occurrence of multiple auto-immune diseases creates challenges, but also opportunities in choosing the right treatment strategy.

Intact natalizumab pharmacokinetics is impacted by endogenous IgG4 concentration.

BACKGROUND: Natalizumab (NAT) pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics are complicated by arm exchange with endogenous IgG4, resulting in a mixture of a more potent intact, bivalent form and a less potent, functionally monovalent form. Total NAT and endogenous IgG4 concentrations vary considerably across patients. This study assessed the concentration of intact NAT, and how it relates to total NAT and endogenous IgG4 levels in blood and saliva. METHODS: Paired serum and saliva samples from a small cohort of relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis patients were measured for levels of intact NAT, total NAT, IgG and IgG4. RESULTS: Intact NAT concentration was dependent on both total NAT and endogenous IgG4 levels. Low endogenous IgG4 led to a higher ratio of intact NAT to total NAT, while the opposite was observed in subjects with high endogenous IgG4. Serum and saliva measurements show good concordance. CONCLUSIONS: Intact NAT concentration is influenced by both NAT pharmacokinetics and endogenous IgG4 levels. Patients with low IgG4 levels can have high concentrations of intact NAT even with lower levels of total NAT, which may explain cases of NAT-associated progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) in such patients. Monitoring both forms of NAT could better guide dosing, maximizing drug efficacy and safety.

The Effect of Interferon Beta and Natalizumab on miR-20b Expression in Patients with Relapsing-Remitting Multiple Sclerosis is Potentially Mediated by Modulation of the Jak-STAT Signaling Pathway: A Case-control Study.

Background: The mechanisms of the function of interferon beta (IFN-ß) and natalizumab (NTZ) in multiple sclerosis (MS) patients have not yet been fully understood. Over the past decades, many studies have been conducted to evaluate gene expression changes especially regulatory non-coding RNAs such as microRNAs (miRNAs) following therapy in MS patients. Objective: To assess the changes in the expression of miR-20b in MS patients treated with IFN-ß or NTZ. Methods: Sixty patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and 30 healthy controls (HCs) were enrolled. The patients were categorized as untreated (N=20), IFN-ß-treated (N=20), and NTZtreated (N=20). For the expression analysis, real-time PCR was performed on the whole blood. The bioinformatic tools were applied for signaling pathways enrichment analysis of miR-20b targetome. Results: The relative expression of miR-20b was significantly downregulated in the untreated patients compared with the HCs (-1.726-fold, p<0.001), while IFN-ß-treated and NTZ-treated patients showed no statistical difference compared with the HCs (0.733-fold, p=0.99 for IFN-ß and 1.025-fold, p=0.18 for NTZ). This indicates the restoration of miR-20b expression to normal level in the treated patients. Additionally, in silico analysis demonstrated that the Jak-STAT signaling pathway is enriched with miR-20b targets (p<0.0001). Conclusion: Our findings suggest that the positive effects of IFN-ß and NTZ in the RRMS patients could be potentially mediated by returning miR-20b expression to baseline.

Alemtuzumab treatment for multiple sclerosis in Austria: An observational long-term outcome study.

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVE: Observational real-world study to analyze the clinical effects of alemtuzumab (ALEM) and subsequent disease-modifying therapy (DMT) usage in multiple sclerosis (MS). METHODS: Data retrieved from the Austrian MS treatment registry (AMSTR) included baseline (BL) characteristics (at ALEM start), annualized relapse rate (ARR), 6-month confirmed progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA; ≥ 0.5-point Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score increase), 6-month confirmed disability improvement (CDI; ≥ 0.5-point EDSS decrease), and safety outcomes until initiation of a subsequent DMT. The EDSS was re-baselined at 30 days from ALEM start (BL EDSS). RESULTS: Eighty-seven ALEM-treated patients (median age: 32 years, 72% female, 14% treatment-naïve) were followed for a median of 55 (interquartile range 31-68) months. We found significant reductions in the ARR from 1.16 before ALEM to 0.15 throughout Years 1-9 (p < 0.001). Subsequent DMTs were initiated in 19 patients (22%, 74% anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies). At Year 5 (n = 53), more patients achieved CDI (58%, 95% confidence interval (CI) 45%-71%) than had experienced PIRA (14%, CI 7.5%-24%), and 58% remained relapse-free. Shorter MS duration (p < 0.001, hazard ratio (HR) 0.86 (CI 0.80-0.93)) and no previous high-efficacy treatment (p < 0.001, HR 5.16 (CI 2.66-10.0)) were the best predictors of CDI, while PIRA was associated with a higher number of previous DMTs (p = 0.04, HR 3.06, CI 1.05-8.89). We found no new safety signals. INTERPRETATION: ALEM had long-lasting beneficial effects on the ARR and disability improvement, especially when initiated early in the course of the disease. Only a subset of patients received subsequent DMTs.

Investigating the effects of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 on clinical outcomes in multiple sclerosis patients: A randomized, double-blind clinical trial- a pilot study.

BACKGROUND: The primary objective of this clinical trial was to assess whether administrating oral calcifediol (25(OH)D3) could enhance the clinical outcomes of patients diagnosed with multiple sclerosis. METHODS: This clinical trial was designed as a randomized, double-blind, two-arm study, with 25 participants receiving daily 50 µg of calcifediol and 25 people receiving daily 50 µg of cholecalciferol. The primary outcomes were serum levels of 25(OH)D3, number of relapses, changes in Kurtzke Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), the 25-foot walk, and cognitive function. RESULTS: At the end of the trial, delta serum concentrations of 25(OH)D3 were 85.32±40.94 ng/ml in the calcifediol group compared to 13.72±11.56 ng/ml in the cholecalciferol group; 84 % of the calcifediol group and none of the cholecalciferol group had circulating 25(OH)D3 concentrations exceeding 70 ng/ml. While both groups showed an overall trend towards improved cognitive function at the end of the study, the calcifediol group exhibited greater improvements in most cognitive tests. However, the trial had no significant beneficial effects on MS relapse, EDSS score, quality of life, or fatigue in either group, the calcifediol or cholecalciferol. CONCLUSIONS: The trial shows that calcifediol is more effective in rapidly increasing 25(OH)D3 levels in MS patients compared to cholecalciferol when administrated at a similar dosage.

NEDA-3 achievement in early highly active relapsing remitting multiple sclerosis patients treated with Ocrelizumab or Natalizumab.

BACKGROUND: in the early stages of Multiple Sclerosis (MS), initiating high-efficacy disease-modifying therapy (HE DMTs) may represent an optimal strategy for delaying neurological damage and long-term disease progression, especially in highly active MS patients (HAMS). Natalizumab (NAT) and Ocrelizumab (OCR) are recognized as HE DMTs with significant anti-inflammatory effects. This study investigates NEDA-3 achievement in treatment-naïve HAMS patients receiving NAT or OCR over three years. METHODS: we retrospectively enrolled treatment-naïve HAMS patients undergoing NAT or OCR, collecting demographic, clinical, and instrumental data before and after treatment initiation to compare with propensity score analysis disease activity, time to disability worsening, and NEDA-3 achievement. RESULTS: we recruited 281 HAMS patients with a mean age of 32.7 years (SD 10.33), treated with NAT (157) or OCR (124). After three years, the Kaplan-Meier probability of achieving NEDA-3 was 66.0 % (95 % CI: 57.3 % - 76.0 %) with OCR and 68.2 % (95 % CI: 59.9 % - 77.7 %) with NAT without significant differences between the two groups (p = 0.27) DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION: starting HE DMT with monoclonal antibodies for HAMS could achieve NEDA-3 in a high percentage of patients without differences between NAT or OCR.

Absence of JC polyomavirus in stool samples of patients with multiple sclerosis despite high anti-JCV antibodies in serum.

BACKGROUND: Natalizumab is an effective treatment for relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS). During therapy, individuals are at increased risk of developing progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML). So far, the relevant reservoir for PML-type JC polyomavirus (JCV) remains elusive. We here tested if the detection of JCV-DNA in stool of persons with MS treated with natalizumab could be a future tool for PML risk assessment. METHODS: The presence of JCV-DNA in stool, urine, and whole blood of MS patients treated with natalizumab and known serum anti-JCV antibodies index values (IV) was studied. Different DNA extraction methods, real-time (RT) and droplet digital (dd) PCR techniques were compared. JCV isolates were screened for PML-associated variants by sequencing. RESULTS: Thirty MS patients treated with natalizumab were screened. For 21 patients, blood, stool, and urine samples were available. These patients were stratified according to their serum anti-JCV antibody IV (high (>1.5, n = 12); medium (1.5-0.9, n = 2); low (<0.9, n = 1); negative (n = 6)). JCV-DNA could not be detected in the whole blood or stool samples. Four urine samples had measurable JCV-DNA, ranging from 1.71×104-1.07×108 international units (IU)/mL detected by RT-PCR, corresponding to 4.62×104-9.85×106 copies/mL measured by ddPCR. All JCV variants were wild-type and derived from patients with high antibody IV. CONCLUSION: Stool-specific DNA extraction methods provided the highest quality of DNA, while the sensitivity of ddPCR and RT- PCR was comparable. Our findings do not support assessing stool samples for PML risk stratification in persons with MS. Further studies are needed to explore where PML-associated viral variants arise.

Association of B-cell activating factor gene variants with serum anti-JCV antibody positivity in male patients with multiple sclerosis under natalizumab treatment: Implications for progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy risk stratification.

INTRODUCTION: Progressive multifocal leukoencephalopathy (PML) is a potentially life-threatening complication among Multiple Sclerosis (MS) patients under natalizumab treatment, with serum anti-JCV antibody titers being used for stratification risk. Given the critical role of interferon (IFN)/B-cell activating factor (BAFF) axis in humoral immune responses against viruses, we explored whether it is involved in the generation of serum anti-JCV antibodies among these patients. METHODS: 162 consecutive patients with relapsing-remitting MS under natalizumab treatment were included. Serum anti-JCV antibodies were measured at baseline, as well as 12 and 24 months after treatment initiation. Type I and II IFN-inducible genes and BAFF expression were quantitated in peripheral blood by qRT-PCR. Moreover, BAFF rs9514828, rs1041569, and rs9514827 gene variants were assessed by RFLP-PCR. RESULTS: While type I and II IFN inducible gene expression were not associated with anti-JCV serum titers, the latter were significantly correlated with BAFF gene expression. Of interest, the TTT haplotype of the studied BAFF variants was more frequently detected in male, but not female anti-JCV (+) MS patients compared to anti-JCV (-) counterparts at baseline, as well as at 12 months and 24 months of natalizumab treatment. Measures of clinical validity/utility for the BAFF TTT haplotype showed 88% specificity, 45%, positive predictive value, and sensitivity of 70% for the discrimination of anti-JCV (+) male MS patients after 24 months of treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Our study suggests an implication of the BAFF axis in the production of serum anti-JCV antibodies. Additionally, the BAFF TTT haplotype derived from the rs9514828, rs1041569, and rs9514827 variants may represent a novel risk factor for anti-JCV seropositivity and indirectly for PML development among male MS patients treated with natalizumab.

Adult and pediatric relapsing multiple sclerosis phase II and phase III trial design and their primary end points: A systematic review.

No systematic review of trial designs in patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS) was reported. This systematic review was conducted on the trial designs and primary end points (PEs) of phase II and III trials intended to modify the natural course of the disease in patients with RMS. The purpose of the study is to explore trends/topics and discussion points in clinical trial design and PE, comparing them to regulatory guidelines and expert recommendations. Three trial registration systems, ClinicalTrials.gov, the EU Clinical Trials Register, and the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials, were used and 60 trials were evaluated. The dominant clinical trial design was a randomized controlled parallel-arms trial and other details were as follows: in adult phase III confirmatory trials (n = 32), active-controlled double-blind trial (DBT) (53%) and active-controlled open-label assessor-masking trial (16%); in adult phase II dose-finding trials (n = 9), placebo- and active-controlled DBT (44%), placebo-controlled DBT (22%), and placebo-controlled add-on DBT (22%); and in pediatric phase III confirmatory trials (n = 8), active-controlled DBT (38%) and active-controlled open-label non-masking trial (25%). The most common PEs were as follows: in adult confirmatory trials, annual relapse rate (ARR) (56%) and no evidence of disease activity-3 (NEDA-3) (13%); in adult dose-finding trials, the cumulative number of T1 gadolinium-enhancing lesions (56%), combined unique active lesions (22%), and overall disability response score (22%); and in pediatric confirmatory trials, ARR (38%) and time to first relapse (25%). It was suggested that some parts of the regulatory guidelines and expert recommendations need to be revised.

Do efficacy results obtained from randomized controlled trials translate to effectiveness data from observational studies for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis?

BACKGROUND: Randomized controlled trials are considered the gold standard in regulatory decision making, as observational studies are known to have important methodological limitations. However, real-world evidence may be helpful in specific situations. This review investigates how the effect estimates obtained from randomized controlled trials compare to those obtained from observational studies, using drug therapy for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis as an example. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: A systematic review of randomized controlled trials and observational studies was conducted. The primary outcome was the annualized relapse rate. Using (network) meta-analysis together with posterior predictive distributions, the drug-specific rate ratios from the network of randomized controlled trials were compared with those from the network of observational studies. RESULTS: Effect estimates from 26 observational studies showed greater magnitudes and were less precise compared to estimates obtained from 21 randomized controlled trials. Twenty of the 28 treatment comparisons between designs had similar rate ratios. Seven inconsistencies in observed rate ratios could be attributed to two specific disease-modifying therapies. CONCLUSION: In this case study, estimates from observational studies predominantly agreed with estimates from randomized controlled trials given their posterior predictive distributions. Multiple observational studies together may therefore supplement additional pivotal randomized controlled trials in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis, for instance facilitating the extrapolation of trial results to the broader patient population.