[Development and validation of a nomogram for predicting 3-month mortality risk in patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury].

OBJECTIVE: To develop and evaluate a nomogram prediction model for the 3-month mortality risk of patients with sepsis-associated acute kidney injury (S-AKI). METHODS: Based on the American Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care- IV (MIMIC- IV), clinical data of S-AKI patients from 2008 to 2021 were collected. Initially, 58 relevant predictive factors were included, with all-cause mortality within 3 months as the outcome event. The data were divided into training and testing sets at a 7 : 3 ratio. In the training set, univariate Logistic regression analysis was used for preliminary variable screening. Multicollinearity analysis, Lasso regression, and random forest algorithm were employed for variable selection, combined with the clinical application value of variables, to establish a multivariable Logistic regression model, visualized using a nomogram. In the testing set, the predictive value of the model was evaluated through internal validation. The receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve) was drawn, and the area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to evaluate the discrimination of nomogram model and Oxford acute severity of illness score (OASIS), sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), and systemic inflammatory response syndrome score (SIRS). The calibration curve was used to evaluate the calibration, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was performed to assess the net benefit at different probability thresholds. RESULTS: Based on the survival status at 3 months after diagnosis, patients were divided into 7 768 (68.54%) survivors and 3 566 (31.46%) death. In the training set, after multiple screenings, 7 variables were finally included in the nomogram model: Logistic organ dysfunction system (LODS), Charlson comorbidity index, urine output, international normalized ratio (INR), respiratory support mode, blood urea nitrogen, and age. Internal validation in the testing set showed that the AUC of nomogram model was 0.81 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.80-0.82], higher than the OASIS score's 0.70 (95%CI was 0.69-0.71) and significantly higher than the SOFA score's 0.57 (95%CI was 0.56-0.58) and SIRS score's 0.56 (95%CI was 0.55-0.57), indicating good discrimination. The calibration curve demonstrated that the nomogram model's calibration was better than the OASIS, SOFA, and SIRS scores. The DCA curve suggested that the nomogram model's clinical net benefit was better than the OASIS, SOFA, and SIRS scores at different probability thresholds. CONCLUSIONS: A nomogram prediction model for the 3-month mortality risk of S-AKI patients, based on clinical big data from MIMIC- IV and including seven variables, demonstrates good discriminative ability and calibration, providing an effective new tool for assessing the prognosis of S-AKI patients.

[Analysis of 28 day-mortality risk factors in sepsis patients and construction and validation of predictive model].

OBJECTIVE: To construct and validate a nomogram model for predicting the risk of 28-day mortality in sepsis patients. METHODS: A retrospective cohort study was conducted. 281 sepsis patients admitted to the department of intensive care unit (ICU) of the 940th Hospital of the Joint Logistics Support Force of PLA from January 2017 to December 2022 were selected as the research subjects. The patients were divided into a training set (197 cases) and a validation set (84 cases) according to a 7 : 3 ratio. The general information, clinical treatment measures and laboratory examination results within 24 hours after admission to ICU were collected. Patients were divided into survival group and death group based on 28-day outcomes. The differences in various data were compared between the two groups. The optimal predictive variables were selected using Lasso regression, and univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors influencing the mortality of sepsis patients and to establish a nomogram model. Receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), and clinical impact curve (CIC) were used to evaluate the nomogram model. RESULTS: Out of 281 cases of sepsis, 82 cases died with a mortality of 29.18%. The number of patients who died in the training and validation sets was 54 and 28, with a mortality of 27.41% and 33.33% respectively. Lasso regression, univariate and multivariate Logistic regression analysis screened for 5 independent predictors associated with 28-day mortality. There were use of vasoactive drugs [odds ratio (OR) = 5.924, 95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 1.244-44.571, P = 0.043], acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II (APACHE II: OR = 1.051, 95%CI was 1.000-1.107, P = 0.050), combined with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS: OR = 17.298, 95%CI was 5.517-76.985, P < 0.001), neutrophil count (NEU: OR = 0.934, 95%CI was 0.879-0.988, P = 0.022) and oxygenation index (PaO2/FiO2: OR = 0.994, 95%CI was 0.988-0.998, P = 0.017). A nomogram model was constructed using the independent predictive factors mentioned above, ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of the nomogram model was 0.899 (95%CI was 0.856-0.943) and 0.909 (95%CI was 0.845-0.972) for the training and validation sets respectively. The C-index was 0.900 and 0.920 for the training and validation sets respectively, with good discrimination. The Hosmer-Lemeshoe tests both showed P > 0.05, indicating good calibration. Both DCA and CIC plots demonstrate the model's good clinical utility. CONCLUSIONS: The use of vasoactive, APACHE II score, comorbid MODS, NEU and PaO2/FiO2 are independent risk factors for 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis. The nomogram model based on these 5 indicators has a good predictive ability for the occurrence of mortality in sepsis patients.

Clinical biomarker profiles reveals gender differences and mortality factors in sepsis.

Background: Sepsis is a major contributor to global morbidity and mortality, affecting millions each year. Notwithstanding the decline in sepsis incidence and mortality over decades, gender disparities in sepsis outcomes persist, with research suggesting higher mortality rates in males. Methods: This retrospective study aims to delineate gender-specific clinical biomarker profiles impacting sepsis progression and mortality by examining sepsis cases and related clinical data from the past three years. Propensity score matching was used to select age-matched healthy controls for comparison. Results: Among 265 sepsis patients, a significantly higher proportion were male (60.8%, P<0.001). While mortality did not significantly differ by gender, deceased patients were significantly older (mean 69 vs 43 years, P=0.003), more likely to have hypertension (54% vs 25%, P=0.019), and had higher SOFA scores (mean ~10 vs 4, P<0.01) compared to survivors. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) showed clear separation between sepsis patients and healthy controls. 48 serum biomarkers were significantly altered in sepsis, with Triiodothyronine, Apolipoprotein A, and Serum cystatin C having the highest diagnostic value by ROC analysis. Gender-stratified comparisons identified male-specific (e.g. AFP, HDLC) and female-specific (e.g. Rheumatoid factor, Interleukin-6) diagnostic biomarkers. Deceased patients significantly differed from survivors, with 22 differentially expressed markers; Antithrombin, Prealbumin, HDL cholesterol, Urea nitrogen and Hydroxybutyrate had the highest diagnostic efficiency for mortality. Conclusion: These findings enhance our understanding of gender disparities in sepsis and may guide future therapeutic strategies. Further research is warranted to validate these biomarker profiles and investigate the molecular mechanisms underlying these gender differences in sepsis outcomes.

Clinical predictive value of the CRP-albumin-lymphocyte index for prognosis of critically ill patients with sepsis in intensive care unit: a retrospective single-center observational study.

Background: Sepsis is a complex syndrome characterized by physiological, pathological, and biochemical abnormalities caused by infection. Its development is influenced by factors such as inflammation, nutrition, and immune status. Therefore, we combined C-reactive protein (CRP), albumin, and lymphocyte, which could reflect above status, to be the CRP-albumin-lymphocyte (CALLY) index, and investigated its association with clinical prognosis of critically ill patients with sepsis. Methods: This retrospective observational study enrolled critically ill patients with sepsis who had an initial CRP, albumin, and lymphocyte data on the first day of ICU admission. All data were obtained from the Affiliated Hospital of Jiangsu University. The patients were divided into quartiles (Q1-Q4) based on their CALLY index. The outcomes included 30-/60-day mortality and acute kidney injury (AKI) occurrence. The association between the CALLY index and these clinical outcomes in critically ill patients with sepsis was evaluated using Cox proportional hazards and logistic regression analysis. Results: A total of 1,123 patients (63.0% male) were included in the study. The 30-day and 60-day mortality rates were found to be 28.1 and 33.4%, respectively, while the incidence of AKI was 45.6%. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed a significant association between higher CALLY index and lower risk of 30-day and 60-day mortality (log-rank p < 0.001). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis indicated that the CALLY index was independently associated with 30-day mortality [HR (95%CI): 0.965 (0.935-0.997); p = 0.030] and 60-day mortality [HR (95%CI): 0.969 (0.941-0.997); p = 0.032]. Additionally, the multivariate logistic regression model showed that the CALLY index served as an independent risk predictor for AKI occurrence [OR (95%CI): 0.982 (0.962-0.998); p = 0.033]. Conclusion: The findings of this study indicated a significant association between the CALLY index and both 30-day and 60-day mortality, as well as the occurrence of AKI, in critically ill patients with sepsis. These findings suggested that the CALLY index may be a valuable tool in identifying sepsis patients who were at high risk for unfavorable outcomes.

Circulating bacterial peptides and linked metabolomic signatures are indicative of early mortality in pediatric cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with pediatric cirrhosis-sepsis (PC-S) attain early mortality. Plasma bacterial composition, the cognate metabolites, and their contribution to the deterioration of patients with PC-S to early mortality are unknown. We aimed to delineate the plasma metaproteome-metabolome landscape and identify molecular indicators capable of segregating patients with PC-S predisposed to early mortality in plasma, and we further validated the selected metabolite panel in paired 1-drop blood samples using untargeted metaproteomics-metabolomics by UHPLC-HRMS followed by validation using machine-learning algorithms. METHODS: We enrolled 160 patients with liver diseases (cirrhosis-sepsis/nonsepsis [n=110] and noncirrhosis [n=50]) and performed untargeted metaproteomics-metabolomics on a training cohort of 110 patients (Cirrhosis-Sepsis/Nonsepsis, n=70 and noncirrhosis, n=40). The candidate predictors were validated on 2 test cohorts-T1 (plasma test cohort) and T2 (1-drop blood test cohort). Both T1 and T2 had 120 patients each, of which 70 were from the training cohort. RESULTS: Increased levels of tryptophan metabolites and Salmonella enterica and Escherichia coli-associated peptides segregated patients with cirrhosis. Increased levels of deoxyribose-1-phosphate, N5-citryl-d-ornithine, and Herbinix hemicellulolytic and Leifsonia xyli segregated patients with PC-S. MMCN-based integration analysis of WMCNA-WMpCNA identified key microbial-metabolic modules linked to PC-S nonsurvivors. Increased Indican, Staphylobillin, glucose-6-phosphate, 2-octenoylcarnitine, palmitic acid, and guanidoacetic acid along with L. xyli, Mycoplasma genitalium, and Hungateiclostridium thermocellum segregated PC-S nonsurvivors and superseded the liver disease severity indices with high accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for mortality prediction using random forest machine-learning algorithm. CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals a novel metabolite signature panel capable of segregating patients with PC-S predisposed to early mortality using as low as 1-drop blood.

Delays to Antibiotics in the Emergency Department and Risk of Mortality in Children With Sepsis.

Importance: Pediatric consensus guidelines recommend antibiotic administration within 1 hour for septic shock and within 3 hours for sepsis without shock. Limited studies exist identifying a specific time past which delays in antibiotic administration are associated with worse outcomes. Objective: To determine a time point for antibiotic administration that is associated with increased risk of mortality among pediatric patients with sepsis. Design, Setting, and Participants: This retrospective cohort study used data from 51 US children's hospitals in the Improving Pediatric Sepsis Outcomes collaborative. Participants included patients aged 29 days to less than 18 years with sepsis recognized within 1 hour of emergency department arrival, from January 1, 2017, through December 31, 2021. Piecewise regression was used to identify the inflection point for sepsis-attributable 3-day mortality, and logistic regression was used to evaluate odds of sepsis-attributable mortality after adjustment for potential confounders. Data analysis was performed from March 2022 to February 2024. Exposure: The number of minutes from emergency department arrival to antibiotic administration. Main Outcomes and Measures: The primary outcome was sepsis-attributable 3-day mortality. Sepsis-attributable 30-day mortality was a secondary outcome. Results: A total of 19 515 cases (median [IQR] age, 6 [2-12] years) were included. The median (IQR) time to antibiotic administration was 69 (47-116) minutes. The estimated time to antibiotic administration at which 3-day sepsis-attributable mortality increased was 330 minutes. Patients who received an antibiotic in less than 330 minutes (19 164 patients) had sepsis-attributable 3-day mortality of 0.5% (93 patients) and 30-day mortality of 0.9% (163 patients). Patients who received antibiotics at 330 minutes or later (351 patients) had 3-day sepsis-attributable mortality of 1.2% (4 patients), 30-day mortality of 2.0% (7 patients), and increased adjusted odds of mortality at both 3 days (odds ratio, 3.44; 95% CI, 1.20-9.93; P = .02) and 30 days (odds ratio, 3.63; 95% CI, 1.59-8.30; P = .002) compared with those who received antibiotics within 330 minutes. Conclusions and Relevance: In this cohort of pediatric patients with sepsis, 3-day and 30-day sepsis-attributable mortality increased with delays in antibiotic administration 330 minutes or longer from emergency department arrival. These findings are consistent with the literature demonstrating increased pediatric sepsis mortality associated with antibiotic administration delay. To guide the balance of appropriate resource allocation with time for adequate diagnostic evaluation, further research is needed into whether there are subpopulations, such as those with shock or bacteremia, that may benefit from earlier antibiotics.

The Value of Systemic Immune-Inflammation Index and T Cell Subsets in the Severity and Prognosis of Sepsis.

Systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and T cell subsets show involvement in mortality risk in septic patients, and we explored their predictive value in sepsis. Subjects were categorized into the Sepsis (SP)/Septic Shock (SSP)/Septic Shock (SPS) groups. T cell subsets [T-helper (Th)1, Th2, regulatory T cells (Treg), Th17]/platelets (PLT)/neutrophils (NEU)/lymphocytes (LYM)/C-reactive protein (CRP)/procalcitonin (PCT)/interleukin (IL)-4/IL-10/fibrinogen (FIB) were measured by an automatic blood biochemical analyzer/flow cytometry/Countess II FL automatic blood cell analyzer, with SII calculated. The correlations between SII/T cell subsets with Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACH) II/Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores and the predictive value of SII/Th1/Th2 for septic diagnosis/prognosis were analyzed using Spearman/ROC curve/Kaplan-Meier. The three groups varied in PLT/NEU/LYM/CRP/PCT/IL-4/IL-10/FIB levels and APACH II/SOFA scores. Compared with the SP group, the other two groups showed elevated APACH II/SOFA scores and SII/Th1/Th2/Th17/Treg levels. SII/Th1/Th2 levels significantly positively correlated with APACH II/SOFA scores. SII/Th1/Th2 levels had high predictive value for septic diagnosis/prognosis, with their combination exhibiting higher predictive value. Septic patients with high SII/Th1/Th2 levels exhibited lower survival rates. Altogether, SII, Th1, and Th2 had good predictive value for the diagnosis and prognosis of patients with varying severity of sepsis, with their high levels increasing mortality in septic patients.

Relationship between the magnitude of haemoglobin changes and long-term mortality in patients with sepsis: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a common and severe disease with a high mortality rate in intensive care unit (ICU). The hemoglobin (HGB) level is a key parameter for oxygen supply in sepsis. Although HGB is associated with the progression of inflammation in sepsis patients, its role as a marker following sepsis treatment remains unclear. Here, we studied the correlation between early temporal changes in HGB levels and long-term mortality rates in septic patients. METHOD: In this retrospective study of data on patients with sepsis from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) IV database, the outcome was long-term mortality. Patients were divided based on the cut-off of the HGB percentage for receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve calculation. Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves and Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to analyse the associations between groups and outcomes. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used to verify the results. RESULTS: In this study, 2042 patients with sepsis and changes in HGB levels at day 4 after admission compared to day 1 were enrolled and divided into two groups: group 1 (n = 1147) for those with reduction of HGB < 7% and group 2 (n = 895) for those with dropping ≥ 7%. The long-term survival chances of sepsis with less than a 7% reduction in the proportion of HGB at day four were significantly higher than those of patients in the group with a reduction of 7% or more. After adjusting for covariates in the Cox model, the hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for long-term all-cause mortality in the group with a reduction of 7% or more were as follows: 180 days [HR = 1.41, 95% CI (1.22 to 1.63), P < 0.001]; 360 days [HR = 1.37, 95% CI (1.21 to 1.56), P < 0.001]; 540 days [HR = 1.35, 95% CI (1.20 to 1.53), P < 0.001]; 720 days [HR = 1.45, 95% CI (1.29 to 1.64), P < 0.001]. Additionally, the long-term survival rates, using Kaplan-Meier analysis, for the group with a reduction of 7% or more were lower compared to the group with less than 7% reduction at 180 days (54.3% vs. 65.3%, P < 0.001), 360 days (42.3% vs. 50.9%, P < 0.001), 540 days (40.2% vs. 48.6%, P < 0.001), and 720 days (35.5% vs. 46.1%, P < 0.001). The same trend was obtained after using PSM. CONCLUSION: A ≥ 7% decrease in HGB levels on Day 4 after admission was associated with worse long-term prognosis in sepsis patients admitted to the ICU.

Impact of P2Y12 inhibitors on clinical outcomes in sepsis-3 patients receiving aspirin: a propensity score matched analysis.

BACKGROUND: Sepsis is a life-threatening disease accompanied by disorders of the coagulation and immune systems. P2Y12 inhibitors, widely used for arterial thrombosis prevention and treatment, possess recently discovered anti-inflammatory properties, raising potential for improved sepsis prognosis. METHOD: We conducted a retrospective analysis using the data from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV database. Patients were divided into an aspirin-alone group versus a combination group based on the use of a P2Y12 inhibitor or not. Differences in 30-day mortality, length of stay (LOS) in intensive care unit (ICU), LOS in hospital, bleeding events and thrombotic events were compared between the two groups. RESULT: A total of 1701 pairs of matched patients were obtained by propensity score matching. We found that no statistically significant difference in 30-day mortality in aspirin-alone group and combination group (15.3% vs. 13.7%, log-rank p = 0.154). In addition, patients received P2Y12 inhibitors had a higher incidence of gastrointestinal bleeding (0.5% vs. 1.6%, p = 0.004) and ischemic stroke (1.7% vs. 2.9%, p = 0.023), despite having a shorter LOS in hospital (11.1 vs. 10.3, days, p = 0.043). Cox regression showed that P2Y12 inhibitor was not associated with 30-day mortality (HR = 1.14, 95% CI 0.95-1.36, p = 0.154). CONCLUSION: P2Y12 inhibitors did not provide a survival benefit for patients with sepsis 3 and even led to additional adverse clinical outcomes.

[Related factors of euthyroid sick syndrome in patients with sepsis].

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the prevalence of euthyroid sick syndrome (ESS) in sepsis patients and to explore its influencing factors. METHODS: In the study, 365 patients diagnosed with sepsis in the emergency critical care department of Shanghai First People's Hospital from January 2017 to January 2023 were retrospectively enrolled. The patients were divided into ESS and non-ESS groups based on whether the patients were complicated with ESS.Baseline variables and relevant clinical data of the enrolled patients were collected. The prevalence of ESS in sepsis patients and its influencing factors were evaluated by multivariate Logistic regression analysis, and the 30-day survival rates were compared between the two groups. The optimal cutoff value for free triiodothyronine (FT3) was explored to predict death in the patients with sepsis. RESULTS: There were 103 sepsis patients with ESS, accounting for 28.2% of the total cases. The severity of sepsis in ESS group was significantly higher than that in non-ESS group (P < 0.05). The acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡ(APACHEⅡ)score and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score of ESS group were significantly higher than those of non-ESS group (P < 0.05). C-reactive protein (CRP), procalcitonin (PCT), serum amyloid A (SAA) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) in ESS group were higher than those in non-ESS group. total cholesterol(TC)and high-density liptein cholesterol(HDL-C)in ESS group were lower than those in non-ESS group, and the differences were statistically significant (P < 0.05).Multivariate Logistic regression analysis showed that PCT, IL-6, CRP, SAA and activated partial thromboplatin time (APTT) were independent risk factors for ESS in the sepsis patients (OR values were 1.105, 1.006, 1.005, 1.009 and 1.033, respectively; 95% CI were 1.044-1.170, 1.001-1.012, 1.001-1.009, 1.005-1.014, 1.004-1.062, respectively, P < 0.05).The 30-day survival rate in ESS group was significantly lower than that in non-ESS group, the Long-rank chi-square test value was 16.611, and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0.05).The receiver operation characteristic area under the curve (AUCROC)of FT3 predicted death in the patients with sepsis was 0.924 (95% CI 0.894-0.954). The serum FT3 cutoff point was 3.705 pmol/L, the specificity was 0.868, and the sensitivity was 0.950. CONCLUSION: In this study, the incidence of ESS in sepsis patients was determined to be 28.2% with poor prognosis. The results showed that PCT, IL-6, CRP, SAA and APTT were independent risk factors for ESS in sepsis patients, while HDL-C was a protective factor (P < 0.05). FT3 is a novel potential biomarker for predicting death in patients with sepsis.

Thigh muscle mass evaluated by point-of-care ultrasound is associated with short-term mortality in patients with sepsis in the emergency department.

Muscle mass depletion is associated with mortality and morbidity in various conditions including sepsis. However, few studies have evaluated muscle mass using point-of-care ultrasound in patients with sepsis. This study aimed to evaluate the association between thigh muscle mass, evaluated using point-of-care ultrasound with panoramic view in patients with sepsis in the emergency department, and mortality. From March 2021 to October 2022, this prospective observational study used sepsis registry. Adult patients who were diagnosed with sepsis at the emergency department and who underwent point-of-care ultrasounds for lower extremities were included. The thigh muscle mass was evaluated by the cross-sectional area of the quadriceps femoris (CSA-QF) on point-of-care ultrasound using panoramic view. The primary outcome was 28 day mortality. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard model was performed. Of 112 included patients with sepsis, mean CSA-QF was significantly lower in the non-surviving group than surviving group (49.6 [34.3-56.5] vs. 63.2 [46.9-79.6] cm2, p = 0.002). Each cm2 increase of mean CSA-QF was independently associated with decreased 28 day mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 0.961, 95% CI 0.928-0.995, p = 0.026) after adjustment for potential confounders. The result of other measurements of CSA-QF were similar. The muscle mass of the quadriceps femoris evaluated using point-of-care ultrasound with panoramic view was associated with mortality in patients with sepsis. It might be a promising tool for determining risk factors for mortality in sepsis patients in the early stages of emergency department.

Association between intracellular adenosine triphosphate content of CD4+ T lymphocytes and mortality in sepsis patients: A prospective observational study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to link intracellular adenosine triphosphate content in CD4+ T lymphocytes (CD4+ iATP) with sepsis patient mortality, seeking a new predictive biomarker for outcomes and enhanced management. METHODS: 61 sepsis patients admitted to the Intensive Care Unit between October 2021 and November 2022 were enrolled. iATP levels were gauged using whole blood CD4+ T cells stimulated with mitogen PHA-L. Based on CD4+ iATP levels (<132.24 and ≥132.24 ng/mL), patients were categorized into two groups. The primary endpoint was all-cause mortality. To identify factors associated with mortality, both univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses were conducted. RESULTS: Of the patients, 40 had high CD4+ iATP levels (≥132.24 ng/mL) and 21 had low levels (<132.24 ng/mL). In a 28-day follow-up, 21 (34.4%) patients perished. Adjusting for confounders like SOFA score, APACHE II score, lactic acid, and albumin, those with low CD4+ iATP had three- to fivefold higher mortality risk compared to high CD4+ iATP patients (61.9% vs. 20.0%; hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], Model 1: 4.515 [1.276-15.974], p = .019, Model 2: 3.512 [1.197-10.306], p = .022). CD4+ iATP correlated positively with white blood cell and neutrophil counts but not with lymphocytes, CD3, and CD4 counts. CONCLUSIONS: Low CD4+ iATP levels were associated with a higher risk of mortality in sepsis patients. Measurement of CD4+ iATP may serve as a useful tool for identifying patients at a higher risk of mortality and could potentially provide a basis for clinical treatment. Further research is warranted to fully elucidate the underlying mechanisms of this association.

Prognostic value of red blood cell distribution width to albumin ratio for predicting mortality in adult patients meeting sepsis-3 criteria in intensive care units.

BACKGROUND: Patients with sepsis with low albumin levels and high red blood cell distribution width levels have poor prognoses. Red blood cell distribution width to albumin ratio (RAR) has recently attracted attention as an innovative inflammation biomarker. We aimed to explore the association between RAR and the prognosis of patients with sepsis. METHODS: This retrospective observational study included 402 patients meeting the sepsis-3 standards admitted to Yantai Yuhuangding Hospital's intensive care units (ICUs) between January 2020 and December 2022. The relationship between RAR and mortality in patients with sepsis was examined using regression analysis, Kaplan-Meier analyses, and a receiver operating characteristic curve. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the results' robustness. RESULTS: RAR, when considered as a continuous variable, was a significant independent in-hospital mortality risk factor (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 1.383; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.164-1.645; P < 0.001). When considering RAR as a categorical variable, the ORs (95% CIs) of hospital mortality for quartile 2 (Q2), Q3, and Q4 compared with Q1 were 1.027 (0.413-2.551), 3.632 (1.579-8.354), and 4.175 (1.625-10.729), respectively, P < 0.001. Similar outcomes were observed for 28- and 90-day mortalities. CONCLUSIONS: RAR may indicate clinical prognosis for patients with sepsis in the ICU, potentially providing a low-cost, easily repeatable, and accessible biomarker for risk categorization for these patients.

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio as a Marker for Diagnosis and Prognostication of Sepsis.

PURPOSE: Exploring the ideal marker for early diagnosis and prognosis of sepsis is crucial due to limitations of available sepsis indicators. Hence, we aimed to evaluate the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a diagnostic and prognostic marker of sepsis. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This prospective case-control study was conducted at a tertiary care teaching public hospital. NLR values among cases and controls were compared for diagnosis. Among cases, serial trends in NLR values, outcome (survival or death), and various parameters [such as Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, duration of intensive care unit (ICU) stay, etc.] were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors for prognosis. Analysis was performed using MS Excel and PSPP version 1.0.1. RESULTS: A total of 120 patients (60 cases and 60 controls) were analyzed. The NLR among cases was significantly higher (p = 1.31 × 10-16) than in controls. Using binary logistic regression, a high NLR was found to be a statistically significant predictor of sepsis category (p = 2.25 × 10-5). The association of various variables among survivors and nonsurvivors of cases showed statistically significant differences: NLR (p = 5.29 × 10-5), mean = 13.27, interquartile range (IQR) = 5.90, z-value = -4.042), C-reactive protein (CRP) (p = 4.80 × 10-7), mean = 74.40, IQR = 21.30, z-value = -5.034), D-dimer (p = 4.32 × 10-8), mean = 7.09, IQR = 0.88, z-value = -5.477), SOFA score (p = 0.00118, mean = 8.50, IQR = 3.00, z-value = -3.244), and duration of hospital stay (p = 0.03578, mean = 13.45, IQR = 8.00, z-value = -2.099). CONCLUSION: The NLR emerges as a valuable marker for both diagnosis and prognosis in sepsis. Elevated NLR levels aid in diagnosing sepsis at very early stages, and the trend of NLR demonstrates a dynamic course throughout the disease process. Persistently elevated NLR and high NLR values correlate with poor outcomes in sepsis. Additionally, NLR can be correlated with other prognostic markers of sepsis and mortality. Therefore, we recommend the utilization of NLR as a quick, easy, and cost-effective marker for both early diagnosis and regular prognostication of sepsis.

Development and validation of an interpretable model for predicting sepsis mortality across care settings.

There are numerous prognostic predictive models for evaluating mortality risk, but current scoring models might not fully cater to sepsis patients' needs. This study developed and validated a new model for sepsis patients that is suitable for any care setting and accurately forecasts 28-day mortality. The derivation dataset, gathered from 20 hospitals between September 2019 and December 2021, contrasted with the validation dataset, collected from 15 hospitals from January 2022 to December 2022. In this study, 7436 patients were classified as members of the derivation dataset, and 2284 patients were classified as members of the validation dataset. The point system model emerged as the optimal model among the tested predictive models for foreseeing sepsis mortality. For community-acquired sepsis, the model's performance was satisfactory (derivation dataset AUC: 0.779, 95% CI 0.765-0.792; validation dataset AUC: 0.787, 95% CI 0.765-0.810). Similarly, for hospital-acquired sepsis, it performed well (derivation dataset AUC: 0.768, 95% CI 0.748-0.788; validation dataset AUC: 0.729, 95% CI 0.687-0.770). The calculator, accessible at https://avonlea76.shinyapps.io/shiny_app_up/ , is user-friendly and compatible. The new predictive model of sepsis mortality is user-friendly and satisfactorily forecasts 28-day mortality. Its versatility lies in its applicability to all patients, encompassing both community-acquired and hospital-acquired sepsis.

Phoenix Sepsis Score and Risk of Attributable Mortality in Children With Cancer.

This prognostic study analyzes the accuracy of the Phoenix Sepsis Score for the classification of attributable mortality risk in children with cancer presenting to the intensive care.

The immune landscape of sepsis and using immune clusters for identifying sepsis endotypes.

Background: The dysregulated immune response to sepsis still remains unclear. Stratification of sepsis patients into endotypes based on immune indicators is important for the future development of personalized therapies. We aimed to evaluate the immune landscape of sepsis and the use of immune clusters for identifying sepsis endotypes. Methods: The indicators involved in innate, cellular, and humoral immune cells, inhibitory immune cells, and cytokines were simultaneously assessed in 90 sepsis patients and 40 healthy controls. Unsupervised k-means cluster analysis of immune indicator data were used to identify patient clusters, and a random forest approach was used to build a prediction model for classifying sepsis endotypes. Results: We depicted that the impairment of innate and adaptive immunity accompanying increased inflammation was the most prominent feature in patients with sepsis. However, using immune indicators for distinguishing sepsis from bacteremia was difficult, most likely due to the considerable heterogeneity in sepsis patients. Cluster analysis of sepsis patients identified three immune clusters with different survival rates. Cluster 1 (36.7%) could be distinguished from the other clusters as being an "effector-type" cluster, whereas cluster 2 (34.4%) was a "potential-type" cluster, and cluster 3 (28.9%) was a "dysregulation-type" cluster, which showed the lowest survival rate. In addition, we established a prediction model based on immune indicator data, which accurately classified sepsis patients into three immune endotypes. Conclusion: We depicted the immune landscape of patients with sepsis and identified three distinct immune endotypes with different survival rates. Cluster membership could be predicted with a model based on immune data.

Diastolic/systolic blood pressure ratio for predicting febrile children with sepsis and progress to septic shock in the emergency department.

OBJECTIVE: Given the scarcity of studies analyzing the clinical predictors of pediatric septic cases that would progress to septic shock, this study aimed to determine strong predictors for pediatric emergency department (PED) patients with sepsis at risk for septic shock and mortality. METHODS: We conducted chart reviews of patients with ≥ 2 age-adjusted quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score (qSOFA) criteria to recognize patients with an infectious disease in two tertiary PEDs between January 1, 2021, and April 30, 2022. The age range of included patients was 1 month to 18 years. The primary outcome was development of septic shock within 48 h of PED attendance. The secondary outcome was sepsis-related 28-day mortality. Initial important variables in the PED and hemodynamics with the highest and lowest values during the first 24 h of admission were also analyzed. RESULTS: Overall, 417 patients were admitted because of sepsis and met the eligibility criteria for the study. Forty-nine cases progressed to septic shock within 48 h after admission and 368 were discharged without progression. General demographics, laboratory data, and hemodynamics were analyzed by multivariate analysis. Only the minimum diastolic blood pressure/systolic blood pressure ratio (D/S ratio) during the first 24 h after admission remained as an independent predictor of progression to septic shock and 28-day mortality. The best cutoff values of the D/S ratio for predicting septic shock and 28-day mortality were 0.52 and 0.47, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The D/S ratio is a practical bedside scoring system in the PED and had good discriminative ability in predicting the progression of septic shock and in-hospital mortality in PED patients. Further validation is essential in other settings.

Preexisting Diabetes Mellitus and All-Cause Mortality in Adult Patients With Sepsis: A Population-Based Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVES: We assessed the association of preexisting diabetes mellitus with all-cause mortality and organ support receipt in adult patients with sepsis. DESIGN: Population-based cohort study. SETTING: Ontario, Canada (2008-2019). POPULATION: Adult patients (18 yr old or older) with a first sepsis-related hospitalization episode. INTERVENTIONS: None. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The main exposure of interest was preexisting diabetes (either type 1 or 2). The primary outcome was all-cause mortality by 90 days; secondary outcomes included receipt of invasive mechanical ventilation and new renal replacement therapy. We report adjusted (for baseline characteristics using standardization) risk ratios (RRs) alongside 95% CIs. A main secondary analysis evaluated the potential mediation by prior metformin use of the association between preexisting diabetes and all-cause mortality following sepsis. Overall, 503,455 adults with a first sepsis-related hospitalization episode were included; 36% had preexisting diabetes. Mean age was 73 years, and 54% of the cohort were females. Preexisting diabetes was associated with a lower adjusted risk of all-cause mortality at 90 days (RR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.80-0.82). Preexisting diabetes was associated with an increased risk of new renal replacement therapy (RR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.46-1.60) but not invasive mechanical ventilation (RR, 1.03; 95% CI, 1.00-1.05). Overall, 21% (95% CI, 19-28) of the association between preexisting diabetes and reduced risk of all-cause mortality was mediated by prior metformin use. CONCLUSIONS: Preexisting diabetes is associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality and higher risk of new renal replacement therapy among adult patients with sepsis. Future studies should evaluate the underlying mechanisms of these associations.