PIP: The 6 developing nations with the largest populations in mid-1993 were China with 1.18 billion people, India 897 million, Indonesia 188 million, Brazil 152 million, Pakistan 122 million, and Bangladesh 114 million. Successful expansion of population planning programs in these nations could help defuse the population bomb. China's fertility rate has hardly declined for several years, and the year 2000 projection had to be revised from 1.2 billion to 1.29 billion people. India's family planning efforts have also stalled, and even if it attains the two-child family by the year 2015, population growth will not level out before the total reaches 1.9 billion. In India, Kerala State's population density matches that of Bangladesh, and per-capita income is among the lowest in the country. Yet, life expectancy is one quarter above the national average, infant mortality less than half, and literacy almost twice. And the fertility rate is down to 2.3, contrasting strongly with India's average of 3.9. Indonesia's population growth rate has plunged from 2.3% per year in the mid-1960s to 1.97% in the mid-1980s and to 1.7% today. Women now have an average of only three children. Brazil has achieved an annual population growth rate of only 1.5% and a fertility rate of 2.6, but fewer than 3 married women in 5 use modern contraception. There are an estimated 2 million illegal abortions a year. Part of the problem is the gulf between poverty and affluence. As a result of this gulf, child mortality remains the fourth highest in Latin America. Pakistan's population is projected to grow to 275 million people by the year 2025. The current growth rate is 3.1% per year. Family size is 6.7 children, the desired size is 4 children, and only 9% of married women use modern contraception. In Bangladesh, in 1975, the family size was 7 children. In 1993, it was fewer than 5. The spread of family-planning facilities boosted contraceptive use from 3% in 1971 to 40% in 1991.^ieng
Key words
Americas; Asia; Bangladesh; Brazil; China; Demographic Factors; Developing Countries; Eastern Asia; Estimation Technics; Fertility; Fertility Decline; India; Indonesia; Latin America; Pakistan; Population; Population Dynamics; Population Forecast; Population Growth; Research Methodology; South America; Southeastern Asia; Southern Asia
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Collection:
01-internacional
Database:
MEDLINE
Main subject:
Birth Rate
/
Population Growth
/
Forecasting
Type of study:
Prognostic_studies
/
Risk_factors_studies
Country/Region as subject:
America do sul
/
Asia
/
Brasil
Language:
En
Journal:
People Planet
Year:
1993
Document type:
Article
Country of publication:
United kingdom