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The people yet to come; avoiding the demographic trap.
Dev Int ; 1(2): 22-6, 1987.
Article in En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12341670
PIP: The demographic trap is defined as the condition where a nation has passed through the process of lowering death rates, but has not been able to lower birth rates before ecological carrying capacity is exceeded. A minimal estimate predicts that by the year 2000, 63 countries, or 1.1 billion people, will be trapped by starvation, dependence on imported food, and resulting economic and political instability. Such a country that failed to complete the demographic transition will fall back to the original stage, of high death as well as birth rates. Most nations in Southeast Asia, Latin America, and Africa are at risk, notably Mexico, India, Nigeria, Ethiopia, because they already have falling living standards coupled with rapid growth rates. Most governments are unaware of the subtle signs that carrying capacity has been exceeded. Even those that are able to understand such events, often practice ineffective policies. For example, the U.S. has dropped U.N.F.P.A. support ostensibly because one nation, China, allowed forced abortions. On the other hand, some third world countries have initiated novel campaigns to reduce births, for example popular media campaigns in Mexico, free dissemination of birth control pills to all women in Brazil, and a separate family planning ministry in Zimbabwe.^ieng
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Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Population / Public Policy / Research Design / Sex Education / United Nations / Population Dynamics / Birth Rate / Mortality / Population Control / Population Density Type of study: Evaluation_studies / Guideline / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Aspects: Determinantes_sociais_saude / Equity_inequality Country/Region as subject: Africa / America do sul / Argentina / Asia / Brasil / Caribe / Cuba / Mexico / Uruguay Language: En Journal: Dev Int Year: 1987 Document type: Article Country of publication: United States
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Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Population / Public Policy / Research Design / Sex Education / United Nations / Population Dynamics / Birth Rate / Mortality / Population Control / Population Density Type of study: Evaluation_studies / Guideline / Prognostic_studies / Risk_factors_studies Aspects: Determinantes_sociais_saude / Equity_inequality Country/Region as subject: Africa / America do sul / Argentina / Asia / Brasil / Caribe / Cuba / Mexico / Uruguay Language: En Journal: Dev Int Year: 1987 Document type: Article Country of publication: United States