Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Assessing the impact of coordinated COVID-19 exit strategies across Europe.
Ruktanonchai, N W; Floyd, J R; Lai, S; Ruktanonchai, C W; Sadilek, A; Rente-Lourenco, P; Ben, X; Carioli, A; Gwinn, J; Steele, J E; Prosper, O; Schneider, A; Oplinger, A; Eastham, P; Tatem, A J.
Affiliation
  • Ruktanonchai NW; WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK. nrukt00@gmail.com jrf1g15@soton.ac.uk shengjie.lai@soton.ac.uk.
  • Floyd JR; Population Health Sciences, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, USA.
  • Lai S; WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK. nrukt00@gmail.com jrf1g15@soton.ac.uk shengjie.lai@soton.ac.uk.
  • Ruktanonchai CW; WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK. nrukt00@gmail.com jrf1g15@soton.ac.uk shengjie.lai@soton.ac.uk.
  • Sadilek A; WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
  • Rente-Lourenco P; Google, Mountain View, CA, USA.
  • Ben X; Vodafone Group, London, UK.
  • Carioli A; Google, Mountain View, CA, USA.
  • Gwinn J; WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
  • Steele JE; College of Public Health, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY, USA.
  • Prosper O; WorldPop, School of Geography and Environmental Science, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
  • Schneider A; Department of Mathematics, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN, USA.
  • Oplinger A; Google, Mountain View, CA, USA.
  • Eastham P; Google, Mountain View, CA, USA.
  • Tatem AJ; Google, Mountain View, CA, USA.
Science ; 369(6510): 1465-1470, 2020 09 18.
Article in En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32680881
As rates of new coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases decline across Europe owing to nonpharmaceutical interventions such as social distancing policies and lockdown measures, countries require guidance on how to ease restrictions while minimizing the risk of resurgent outbreaks. We use mobility and case data to quantify how coordinated exit strategies could delay continental resurgence and limit community transmission of COVID-19. We find that a resurgent continental epidemic could occur as many as 5 weeks earlier when well-connected countries with stringent existing interventions end their interventions prematurely. Further, we find that appropriate coordination can greatly improve the likelihood of eliminating community transmission throughout Europe. In particular, synchronizing intermittent lockdowns across Europe means that half as many lockdown periods would be required to end continent-wide community transmission.
Subject(s)

Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Pneumonia, Viral / Travel / Quarantine / Coronavirus Infections / Pandemics Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: Europa Language: En Journal: Science Year: 2020 Document type: Article Country of publication: United States

Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Pneumonia, Viral / Travel / Quarantine / Coronavirus Infections / Pandemics Limits: Humans Country/Region as subject: Europa Language: En Journal: Science Year: 2020 Document type: Article Country of publication: United States