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Drought-Induced Civil Conflict Among the Ancient Maya.
Kennett, Douglas J; Masson, Marilyn; Lope, Carlos Peraza; Serafin, Stanley; George, Richard J; Spencer, Tom C; Hoggarth, Julie A; Culleton, Brendan J; Harper, Thomas K; Prufer, Keith M; Milbrath, Susan; Russell, Bradley W; González, Eunice Uc; McCool, Weston C; Aquino, Valorie V; Paris, Elizabeth H; Curtis, Jason H; Marwan, Norbert; Zhang, Mingua; Asmerom, Yemane; Polyak, Victor J; Carolin, Stacy A; James, Daniel H; Mason, Andrew J; Henderson, Gideon M; Brenner, Mark; Baldini, James U L; Breitenbach, Sebastian F M; Hodell, David A.
Affiliation
  • Kennett DJ; Department of Anthropology, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, 93106, USA. kennett@anth.ucsb.edu.
  • Masson M; Department of Anthropology, The University of Albany-SUNY, Albany, NY, 12222, USA.
  • Lope CP; Instituto Nacional de Antropología e Historia - Centro INAH Yucatán, Mérida, Yucatán, 97310, Mexico.
  • Serafin S; School of Medical Sciences and Earth and Sustainability Science Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, 2052, Australia.
  • George RJ; Department of Anthropology, University of California, Santa Barbara, CA, 93106, USA.
  • Spencer TC; Godwin Laboratory for Palaeoclimate Research, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 4EQ, UK.
  • Hoggarth JA; Department of Anthropology & Institute of Archaeology, Baylor University, Waco, TX, 76798, USA.
  • Culleton BJ; Institutes of Energy and the Environment, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA.
  • Harper TK; Department of Anthropology, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA.
  • Prufer KM; Department of Anthropology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, 87106, USA.
  • Milbrath S; Center for Stable Isotopes, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, 87106, USA.
  • Russell BW; Florida Museum of Natural History, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USA.
  • González EU; Department of Anthropology, The University of Albany-SUNY, Albany, NY, 12222, USA.
  • McCool WC; Instituto Nacional de Antropología e Historia - Centro INAH Yucatán, Mérida, Yucatán, 97310, Mexico.
  • Aquino VV; Department of Anthropology, University of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT, 84112, USA.
  • Paris EH; Department of Anthropology, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, 87106, USA.
  • Curtis JH; Department of Anthropology and Archaeology, University of Calgary, 2500 University Dr. NW, Calgary, Alberta, T2N 1N4, Canada.
  • Marwan N; Department of Geological Sciences, Land Use and Environmental Change Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USA.
  • Zhang M; Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Member of the Leibniz Association, Potsdam, 14473, Germany.
  • Asmerom Y; Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, NY, 11794, USA.
  • Polyak VJ; Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, 87106, USA.
  • Carolin SA; Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of New Mexico, Albuquerque, NM, 87106, USA.
  • James DH; Godwin Laboratory for Palaeoclimate Research, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 4EQ, UK.
  • Mason AJ; Godwin Laboratory for Palaeoclimate Research, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 4EQ, UK.
  • Henderson GM; Department of Earth Sciences, Oxford University, Oxford, OX1 3AN, UK.
  • Brenner M; Department of Earth Sciences, Oxford University, Oxford, OX1 3AN, UK.
  • Baldini JUL; Department of Geological Sciences, Land Use and Environmental Change Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USA.
  • Breitenbach SFM; Department of Earth Sciences, University of Durham, Durham, DH1 3LE, UK.
  • Hodell DA; Department of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Northumbria University, Newcastle upon Tyne, NE1 8ST, UK.
Nat Commun ; 13(1): 3911, 2022 07 19.
Article in En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35853849
The influence of climate change on civil conflict and societal instability in the premodern world is a subject of much debate, in part because of the limited temporal or disciplinary scope of case studies. We present a transdisciplinary case study that combines archeological, historical, and paleoclimate datasets to explore the dynamic, shifting relationships among climate change, civil conflict, and political collapse at Mayapan, the largest Postclassic Maya capital of the Yucatán Peninsula in the thirteenth and fourteenth centuries CE. Multiple data sources indicate that civil conflict increased significantly and generalized linear modeling correlates strife in the city with drought conditions between 1400 and 1450 cal. CE. We argue that prolonged drought escalated rival factional tensions, but subsequent adaptations reveal regional-scale resiliency, ensuring that Maya political and economic structures endured until European contact in the early sixteenth century CE.
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Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Climate Change / Droughts Type of study: Prognostic_studies Language: En Journal: Nat Commun Journal subject: BIOLOGIA / CIENCIA Year: 2022 Document type: Article Affiliation country: United States Country of publication: United kingdom
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Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Main subject: Climate Change / Droughts Type of study: Prognostic_studies Language: En Journal: Nat Commun Journal subject: BIOLOGIA / CIENCIA Year: 2022 Document type: Article Affiliation country: United States Country of publication: United kingdom