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AMOC decline and recovery in a warmer climate.
Nobre, Paulo; Veiga, Sandro F; Giarolla, Emanuel; Marquez, André L; da Silva, Manoel B; Capistrano, Vinícius B; Malagutti, Marta; Fernandez, Julio P R; Soares, Helena C; Bottino, Marcus J; Kubota, Paulo Y; Figueroa, Silvio N; Bonatti, José P; Sampaio, Gilvan; Casagrande, Fernanda; Costa, Mabel C; Nobre, Carlos A.
Affiliation
  • Nobre P; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil. paulo.nobre@inpe.br.
  • Veiga SF; School of Atmospheric Sciences and Key Laboratory of Mesoscale Severe Weather/Ministry of Education, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China.
  • Giarolla E; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Marquez AL; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • da Silva MB; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Capistrano VB; Institute of Physics, Federal University of Mato Grosso do Sul (UFMS), Campo Grande, Mato Grosso do Sul, 79070-900, Brazil.
  • Malagutti M; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Fernandez JPR; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Soares HC; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Bottino MJ; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Kubota PY; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Figueroa SN; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Bonatti JP; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Sampaio G; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Casagrande F; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Costa MC; Center for Weather Forecasting and Climate Studies (CPTEC), National Institute for Space Research (INPE), Cachoeira Paulista, São Paulo, 12630-000, Brazil.
  • Nobre CA; Institute for Advanced Studies, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, São Paulo, 05508-050, Brazil.
Sci Rep ; 13(1): 15928, 2023 Sep 23.
Article in En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37741891
This study presents novel insight into the mechanisms of Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) reduction and its recovery under a warmer climate scenario. An one-thousand-year-long numerical simulation of a global coupled ocean-ice-atmosphere climate model, subjected to a stationary atmospheric radiative forcing, depict a coherent picture of the Arctic sea ice melting as a trigger for the initial AMOC reduction, along with decreases in the northward fluxes of salt and heat. Further atmospheric-driven ocean processes contribute to an erosion of the stable stratification of the fresher, yet colder waters in the surface layers of the North Atlantic, contributing to the recovery of a permanently altered AMOC.

Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Language: En Journal: Sci Rep Year: 2023 Document type: Article Affiliation country: Brazil Country of publication: United kingdom

Full text: 1 Collection: 01-internacional Database: MEDLINE Language: En Journal: Sci Rep Year: 2023 Document type: Article Affiliation country: Brazil Country of publication: United kingdom