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Assessing the plausibility of subcritical transmission of 2019-nCoV in the United States
Seth Blumberg; Phoebe Lu; Thomas M Lietman; Travis C Porco.
Affiliation
  • Seth Blumberg; University of California, San Francisco
  • Phoebe Lu; University of California, Los Angeles
  • Thomas M Lietman; University of California, San Francisco
  • Travis C Porco; University of California, San Francisco
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20021311
ABSTRACT
Rapid assessment of the transmission potential of an emerging or reemerging pathogen is a cornerstone of public health response. A simple approach is shown for using the number of disease introductions and secondary cases to determine whether the upper bound of the reproduction number exceeds the critical value of one.
License
cc_by_nc_nd
Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: medRxiv Language: English Year: 2020 Document type: Preprint
Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: medRxiv Language: English Year: 2020 Document type: Preprint
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