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Modelling the Potential Health Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on a Hypothetical European Country
Preprint
in English
| medRxiv
| ID: ppmedrxiv-20039776
ABSTRACT
A SEIR simulation model for the COVID-19 pandemic was developed (http//covidsim.eu) and applied to a hypothetical European country of 10 million population. Our results show which interventions potentially push the epidemic peak into the subsequent year (when vaccinations may be available) or which fail. Different levels of control (via contact reduction) resulted in 22% to 63% of the population sick, 0.2% to 0.6% hospitalised, and 0.07% to 0.28% dead (n=6,450 to 28,228).
cc_by_nc_nd
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Preprints
Database:
medRxiv
Type of study:
Experimental_studies
Language:
English
Year:
2020
Document type:
Preprint
