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The potential contribution of face coverings to the control of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in schools and broader society in the UK: a modelling study
Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths; Cliff C Kerr; William Waites; Robyn Margaret Stuart; Dina Mistry; Derek Foster; Daniel J Klein; Russell M Viner; Chris Bonell.
Affiliation
  • Jasmina Panovska-Griffiths; UCL
  • Cliff C Kerr; Institute for Disease Modeling
  • William Waites; University of Edinburgh
  • Robyn Margaret Stuart; University of Copenhagen
  • Dina Mistry; Institute for Disease Modelling
  • Derek Foster; Rethink Priorities
  • Daniel J Klein; Institute for Disease Modelling
  • Russell M Viner; UCL Great Ormond St. Institute of Child Health
  • Chris Bonell; LSHTM
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-20202937
ABSTRACT
Recent findings suggest that an adequate test-trace-isolate (TTI) strategy is needed to prevent a secondary COVID-19 wave with the reopening of society in the UK. Here we assess the potential importance of mandatory masks in the parts of community and in secondary schools. We show that, assuming current TTI levels, adoption of masks in secondary schools in addition to community settings can reduce the size of a second wave, but will not prevent it; more testing of symptomatic people, tracing and isolating of their contacts is also needed. To avoid a second wave, with masks mandatory in secondary schools and in certain community settings, under current tracing levels, 68% or 46% of those with symptomatic infection would need to be tested if masks effective coverage were 15% or 30% respectively, compared to 76% and 57% if masks are mandated in community settings but not secondary schools.
License
cc_by_nc_nd
Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: medRxiv Language: English Year: 2020 Document type: Preprint
Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: medRxiv Language: English Year: 2020 Document type: Preprint
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