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Geographically-targeted COVID-19 vaccination is more equitable than age-based thresholds alone
Elizabeth Wrigley-Field; Mathew V Kiang; Alicia R Riley; Magali Barbieri; Yea-Hung Chen; Kate A Duchowny; Ellicott C Matthay; David Van Riper; Kirrthana Jegathesan; Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo; Jonathon P Leider.
Affiliation
  • Elizabeth Wrigley-Field; University of Minnesota, Minneapolis
  • Mathew V Kiang; Stanford University
  • Alicia R Riley; University of California, San Francisco
  • Magali Barbieri; University of California, Berkeley
  • Yea-Hung Chen; University of California, San Francisco
  • Kate A Duchowny; University of California, San Francisco
  • Ellicott C Matthay; University of California, San Francisco
  • David Van Riper; University of Minnesota, Twin Cities
  • Kirrthana Jegathesan; University of Minnesota School of Public Health
  • Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo; University of California, San Francisco
  • Jonathon P Leider; University of Minnesota School of Public Health
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21254272
ABSTRACT
COVID-19 mortality increases dramatically with age and is also substantially higher among Black, Indigenous, and People of Color (BIPOC) populations in the United States. These two facts introduce tradeoffs because BIPOC populations are younger than white populations. In analyses of California and Minnesota--demographically divergent states--we show that COVID vaccination schedules based solely on age benefit the older white populations at the expense of younger BIPOC populations with higher risk of death from COVID-19. We find that strategies that prioritize high-risk geographic areas for vaccination at all ages better target mortality risk than age-based strategies alone, although they do not always perform as well as direct prioritization of high-risk racial/ethnic groups. One-sentence summaryAge-based COVID-19 vaccination prioritizes white people above higher-risk others; geographic prioritization improves equity.
License
cc_by_nc_nd
Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: medRxiv Type of study: Experimental_studies / Prognostic study / Rct Language: English Year: 2021 Document type: Preprint
Full text: Available Collection: Preprints Database: medRxiv Type of study: Experimental_studies / Prognostic study / Rct Language: English Year: 2021 Document type: Preprint
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