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Initial analysis of the spatial correlation between the incidence of COVID-19 and human development in the municipalities of the state of Ceará, in Brazil / Análise inicial da correlação espacial entre a incidência de COVID-19 e o desenvolvimento humano nos municípios do estado do Ceará no Brasil
Preprint
in Portuguese
| SciELO Preprints
| ID: pps-584
Responsible library:
BR1.1
ABSTRACT
Objective:
To analyze the spatial distribution of the incidence of COVID-19 and its correlation with the municipal human development index (MHDI) of the municipalities of Ceará.Methods:
This is an ecological study with data recovered from the 15th to the 19th epidemiological week of the year 2020 using the MHDI and the COVID-19 incidence coefficient for each municipality as variables. The univariate and the bivariate spatial correlation were analyzed using the TerraView and GeoDa software.Results:
The incidence of COVID-19 has spatial dependence with moderate positive correlation and the formation of high-high clusters located in the metropolitan region of Fortaleza and municipalities in the North region. The lowest incidence was a low-low cluster in the South and West regions. There was a positive bivariate correlation between MHDI and the incidence of COVID-19 with the formation of a cluster in the metropolitan region of Fortaleza.Conclusion:
The uneven mapping of COVID-19 and its relationship with MHDI in Ceará can contribute with actions for the regional fight against the pandemic.RESUMO
Objetivo:
Analisar a distribuição espacial da incidência de Covid-19 e sua correlação com o índice de desenvolvimento humano municipal (IDHM) dos municípios do Ceará.Métodos:
Trata-se de um estudo ecológico com dados recuperados da 15ª e da 19ª semana epidemiológica do ano de 2020 utilizando como variáveis o IDHM e o coeficiente de incidência de Covid-19 para cada município. Foi analisada a correlação espacial uni e bivariada por meio dos softwares TerraView e GeoDa.Resultados:
A incidência da Covid-19 possui dependência espacial com correlação positiva moderada e formação de clusters do tipo alto-alto localizados na região metropolitana de Fortaleza e municípios da região norte. As menores incidências foram cluster tipo baixo-baixo na região sul e na região oeste. Houve correlação bivariada positiva entre IDHM e incidência de Covid-19 com formação de cluster na região metropolitana de Fortaleza.Conclusão:
O mapeamento desigual de Covid-19 e sua relação com IDHM no Ceará podem contribuir com ações de enfrentamento regional à pandemia.
Full text:
Available
Collection:
Preprints
Database:
SciELO Preprints
Type of study:
Incidence study
/
Risk factors
/
Screening study
Country/Region as subject:
South America
/
Brazil
Language:
Portuguese
Year:
2020
Document type:
Preprint