Diagnosis and prognosis of 280 patients with pancreatic carcinoma / 中华胰腺病杂志

ABSTRACT

Objective To evaluate the factors influencing early diagnosis and prognosis in patients with pancreatic carcinoma.Methods The clinical data of 280 patients who had complete follow-up data with pancreatic carcinoma treated from January 2002 to January 2007 were reviewed retrospectively.The medical history and follow-up data were collected from all patients.Survival rate was calculated by the life table method and the Kaplan-Meier estimation.Log-rank test was used for univariate prognostic analysis and Cox regression was used for multivariate prognostic analysis.Results 91.8%of the patients were more than 40 years old and the peak age was 50～73 years old;the major presentations were abdominal pain and jaundice.Major imaging tests included B-ultrasound and CT,the sensitivity was 70.6%,95.3%,respectively;89.3%of patients had combined B-ultrasound and CT examination.The sensitivity of CA19-9 was 81.1%.The median survival time was(7.0±0.5)months.Overall survival rates at 1～5 year survival rates were 28%,9%,6%,2%,and 1%.Univariate analysis suggested that age＞65 years old,CA19-9＞mean value,TNM Ⅲ or Ⅳ stage,lymph nodes invasion,vascular invasion,and metastasis of two or more organs,non-surgical treatment,KPS score＜60 points,weight loss≥5 kg were poor prognostic factors;Cox multivariate analysis showed that treatment modalities,age,TNM stage,KPS score and ascites were independent risk factors for dismal prognosis.Conclusions The age,ascites,tumor stage and treatment modalities affected the prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer.Early diagnosis and treatment was important to improve the survival time of patients with pancreatic cancer.