Predictive value of combination of lung injury prediction score and receptor for advanced glycation end­products for the occurrence of acute respiratory distress syndrome.

ABSTRACT

The present study evaluated the predictive value of the combination of the lung injury prediction score (LIPS) and receptor for advanced glycation end-products (RAGE) for the occurrence of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) in critically ill patients with ARDS risk factors. A total of 551 patients with risk factors of ARDS were divided into an ARDS group and a non-ARDS group. LIPS was computed within 6 h of admission into the ICU, and the plasma concentration of RAGE was detected within 24 h of admission. Multivariate analysis was performed to identify independent associations, and the predictive values for ARDS occurrence were assessed with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Within 7 days after admission into the ICU, ARDS occurred in 176 patients (31.9%). Multivariate analysis demonstrated that LIPS [odds ratio (OR), 1.282; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.108-1.604], RAGE levels (OR, 2.359; 95% CI, 1.351-4.813) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II score (OR, 1.167; 95% CI, 1.074-1.485) were independently associated with ARDS occurrence. ROC curves demonstrated that the area under curve (AUC) of LIPS, RAGE levels and their combination was 0.714 [standard error (SE), 0.023; 95% CI, 0.670-0.759], 0.709 (SE, 0.025; 95% CI, 0.660-0.758) and 0.889 (SE, 0.014; 95% CI, 0.861-0.917), respectively. The AUC of LIPS combined with RAGE levels was significantly higher compared with those of LIPS (0.889 vs. 0.714; Z=6.499; P<0.001) and RAGE (0.889 vs. 0.709; Z=6.282; P<0.001) levels alone. In conclusion, both LIPS and RAGE levels were independently associated with ARDS occurrence in critically ill patients with ARDS risk factors, and had medium predictive values for ARDS occurrence. Combination of LIPS with RAGE levels increased the predictive value for ARDS occurrence.