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The effect of the infection within the individual host on its propagation in the population.
Azevedo, Franciane; Amaku, Marcos; Coutinho, Francisco Antonio Bezerra; Lopez, Luis Fernandez; Massad, Eduardo.
Afiliação
  • Azevedo F; Faculdade de Engenharia da Computação e Engenharia Elétrica, Universidade Federal do Sul e Sudeste do Pará, Marabá, PA, Brazil.
  • Amaku M; Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo e LIM01-HCFMUSP, Av. Dr. Arnaldo 455, São Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
  • Coutinho FAB; Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo e LIM01-HCFMUSP, Av. Dr. Arnaldo 455, São Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
  • Lopez LF; Faculdade de Medicina Veterinária e Zootecnia, Universidade de São Paulo, São Paulo, SP, 05508-270, Brazil.
  • Massad E; Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de São Paulo e LIM01-HCFMUSP, Av. Dr. Arnaldo 455, São Paulo, SP, 01246-903, Brazil.
Infect Dis Model ; 3: 345-361, 2018.
Article em En | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30839922
We consider nested or multiscale models to study the effect of the temporal evolution of the disease within the host in the population dynamics of the disease, for one and two infectious agents. We assumed a coupling between the within-host infection rate and the between-host transmission rate. The age of infection within each individual in a population affects the probability of transmission of the disease to a susceptible host and this will affect the temporal evolution of the disease in the host population. To analyze the infection within the host, we consider bacterial-like and viral-like infections. In the model for two infectious agents, we found that, when strain 2 has a basic reproduction number R 02 greater than the basic reproduction number R 01 of strain 1, strain 2 replaces strain 1 in the population. However, if R 02 > R 01 but the values are closer, the replacement does not occur immediately and both strains can coexist for a long time. We applied the model to a scenario in which patients infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV) are cleared of HCV when super-infected with the hepatitis A virus (HAV). We compared the time for the replacement of HCV by HAV in the population considering instantaneous and non-instantaneous replacement within the individuals. The model developed can be generalized for more than two infectious agents.
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Idioma: En Revista: Infect Dis Model Ano de publicação: 2018 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Brasil País de publicação: China

Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 01-internacional Base de dados: MEDLINE Idioma: En Revista: Infect Dis Model Ano de publicação: 2018 Tipo de documento: Article País de afiliação: Brasil País de publicação: China