Cost-efficiency and budget-neutral expanded access modeling of pembrolizumab versus the novel PD-1 inhibitor toripalimab in locally advanced or metastatic nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer.

ABSTRACT

AIMS: To estimate in a panel of patients with locally advanced/metastatic nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) treated with a programmed death receptor-1 inhibitor in the US in 2024 (1) the cost-efficiency of toripalimab regimens compared to pembrolizumab regimens; and (2) the budget-neutral expanded access to additional toripalimab cycles and regimens from accrued savings. METHODS: Simulation modeling of toripalimab + pemetrexed + carboplatin in nonsquamous NSCLC to a similar pembrolizumab regimen in a panel of 49,647 patients; utilizing two cost inputs (wholesale acquisition cost (WAC) at market entry and an estimated ex ante toripalimab price point of 80% of pembrolizumab average sales price (ASP)) plus administration costs over one and two years of treatment with treatment rates from 1%-10%. Scenario analyses with treatment durations equivalent to toripalimab and pembrolizumab trials' median PFS were also conducted. RESULTS: In the WAC-based models, toripalimab saves $2,223 per patient per cycle and $40,014 over 1 year of treatment ($77,805 over 2 years). Extrapolated to the 49,647-patient panel, estimated 1-year savings range from $19,865,840 (1% treatment rate) to $198,658,399 (10% rate). Reallocating these savings permits budget-neutral expanded access to an additional 1,753 (1% rate) to 17,533 (10% rate) toripalimab maintenance cycles or to an additional 97 (1% rate) to 972 (10%) full 1-year toripalimab regimens with all agents. Two-year savings range from $38,628,022 (1% rate) to $386,280,221 (10%). Reallocating these efficiencies provides expanded access ranging from 3,409 (1% rate) to 34,093 (10%) additional toripalimab cycles or to 97 to 973 full 2-year regimens. The ex ante ASP model showed similar results as did the scenario analyses but at a lower magnitude than the base case. CONCLUSION: Toripalimab generates significant savings that enable budget-neutral funding for up to 17,533 [34,093] additional maintenance cycles over one year [two years] with toripalimab + pemetrexed in nonsquamous NSCLC, or 972 [973] full one-year [two-year] regimens.

An estimated 49,647 patients with advanced or metastatic nonsquamous non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) will be treated with a PD-1 inhibitor in the US in 2024. Toripalimab, a PD-1 inhibitor recently approved by the US Food and Drug Administration for the treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma, has also been found to be beneficial in patients with nonsquamous NSCLC when used in combination with chemotherapy. We conducted an economic simulation of the costs of toripalimab + pemetrexed + carboplatin versus the costs of a similar regimen with the PD-1 inhibitor pembrolizumab in the treatment of patients with nonsquamous NSCLC. Our simulation models used two US cost inputs for toripalimab the wholesale acquisition cost or "list price" at market entry and, as no average sales price (ASP) will be available for toripalimab for several quarters, a hypothetical toripalimab price point of 80% of the pembrolizumab ASP. We compared the savings in each scenario when between 1% and 10% of the 49,647 nonsquamous NSCLC patients are treated with the toripalimab regimen. We then evaluated how these savings could be re-allocated, without requiring extra funding, to provide more patients with access to toripalimab treatment on a budget-neutral basis. We found that, if 1% of new cases of advanced/metastatic nonsquamous NSCLC were treated with toripalimab for 1 year, these savings are enough to purchase up to 1,753 additional toripalimab maintenance cycles; or these savings could provide up to an additional 97 patients with full one-year regimens with all agents (toripalimab + chemotherapy). If 10% of new cases were treated with toripalimab for 1 year, the savings are enough to purchase up to 17,533 additional toripalimab maintenance cycles; or these savings could provide up to an additional 972 patients with full one-year regimens with all agents.