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No Excess Mortality of COVID-19 in Japan until April, 2020
Junko Kurita; Tamie Sugawara; Yasushi Ohkusa.
Afiliação
  • Junko Kurita; Tokiwa University, Ibaraki, Japan
  • Tamie Sugawara; Infectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Shinjuku, Tokyo, Japan
  • Yasushi Ohkusa; Infectious Disease Surveillance Center, National Institute of Infectious Diseases, Shinjuku, Tokyo, Japan
Preprint em En | PREPRINT-MEDRXIV | ID: ppmedrxiv-20143164
ABSTRACT
BackgroundNo remarkable mortality attributable to COVID-19 confirmed by PCR test has been observed in Japan. ObjectWe sought to quantify excess mortality using the National Institute of Infectious Diseases (NIID) model. MethodWe applied the NIID model to deaths of all causes from 1987 up through October, 2021 for the whole of Japan and up through August, 2021 for Tokyo. ResultsResults in Japan show huge number of excess mortality, up to 10 thousands in the two months, in August and September, 2021. On the other hand, in Tokyo, 1323 excess mortality was detected Discussion and ConclusionWe detected substantial excess mortality in Japan in August and September, 2021 and in Tokyo in August, 2021. It might be important to continue to monitor excess mortality of COVID-19 carefully hereafter.
Licença
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Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 09-preprints Base de dados: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Preprint
Texto completo: 1 Coleções: 09-preprints Base de dados: PREPRINT-MEDRXIV Idioma: En Ano de publicação: 2020 Tipo de documento: Preprint