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Quantifying political influence on COVID-19 fatality in Brazil
Leandro de Almeida; Pedro Carelli; Nara Gualberto Cavalcanti; José Dias do Nascimento Jr.; Daniel Felinto.
Afiliação
  • Leandro de Almeida; Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte
  • Pedro Carelli; Universidade Federal de Pernambuco
  • Nara Gualberto Cavalcanti; Universidade Federal de Pernambuco
  • José Dias do Nascimento Jr.; Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte
  • Daniel Felinto; Universidade Federal de Pernambuco
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22270714
ABSTRACT
The COVID-19 pandemic was severely aggravated in Brazil due to its politicization by the countrys central government. However, the impact of diffuse political forces on the fatality of an epidemic is commonly hard to quantify. Here we introduce a method to measure this effect in the Brazilian case, based on the inhomogeneous distribution throughout the national territory of political support to the central government. The correlation between fatality rate and political support grows as the governments misinformation campaign is developed, leading to the dominance of such political factor for the pandemic impact in Brazil in 2021. Once this dominance is established, this correlation allows for an estimation of the total number of deaths due to political influence as 350 {+/-} 70 thousands up to the end of 2021.
Licença
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Texto completo: Disponível Coleções: Preprints Base de dados: medRxiv Idioma: Inglês Ano de publicação: 2022 Tipo de documento: Preprint
Texto completo: Disponível Coleções: Preprints Base de dados: medRxiv Idioma: Inglês Ano de publicação: 2022 Tipo de documento: Preprint
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