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Differential contagiousness of respiratory disease across the United States
Abhishek Mallela; Yen Ting Lin; William S Hlavacek.
Afiliação
  • Abhishek Mallela; Los Alamos National Laboratory
  • Yen Ting Lin; Los Alamos National Laboratory
  • William S Hlavacek; Los Alamos National Laboratory
Preprint em Inglês | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22279948
ABSTRACT
The initial contagiousness of a communicable disease within a given population is quantified by the basic reproduction number, denoted R0. The value of R0 gives the expected number of new cases generated by an infectious person in a wholly susceptible population and depends on both pathogen and population properties. On the basis of compartmental models that reproduce Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) surveillance data, we estimated region-specific R0 values for 280 of 384 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs) in the United States (US), which account for 95% of the US population living in urban areas and 82% of the total population. Our estimates range from 1.9 to 7.7 and quantify the relative susceptibilities of regional populations to spread of respiratory diseases. One-Sentence SummaryInitial contagiousness of Coronavirus Disease 2019 varied over a 4-fold range across urban areas of the United States. LA-UR-22-29514
Licença
cc0
Texto completo: Disponível Coleções: Preprints Base de dados: medRxiv Idioma: Inglês Ano de publicação: 2022 Tipo de documento: Preprint
Texto completo: Disponível Coleções: Preprints Base de dados: medRxiv Idioma: Inglês Ano de publicação: 2022 Tipo de documento: Preprint
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