The application of the prospective space-time statistic in early warning of infectious disease / 中华预防医学杂志
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine
; (12): 155-158, 2007.
Artigo
em Chinês
| WPRIM (Pacífico Ocidental)
| ID: wpr-270515
Biblioteca responsável:
WPRO
ABSTRACT
<p><b>OBJECTIVE</b>To investigate the application of prospective space-time scan statistic in the early stage of detecting infectious disease outbreaks.</p><p><b>METHODS</b>The prospective space-time scan statistic was tested by mimicking daily prospective analyses of bacillary dysentery data of Chengdu city in 2005 (3212 cases in 102 towns and villages). And the results were compared with that of purely temporal scan statistic.</p><p><b>RESULTS</b>The prospective space-time scan statistic could give specific messages both in spatial and temporal. The results of June indicated that the prospective space-time scan statistic could timely detect the outbreaks that started from the local site, and the early warning message was powerful (P = 0.007). When the merely temporal scan statistic for detecting the outbreak was sent two days later, and the signal was less powerful (P = 0.039).</p><p><b>CONCLUSION</b>The prospective space-time scan statistic could make full use of the spatial and temporal information in infectious disease data and could timely and effectively detect the outbreaks that start from the local sites. The prospective space-time scan statistic could be an important tool for local and national CDC to set up early detection surveillance systems.</p>
Texto completo:
Disponível
Contexto em Saúde:
ODS3 - Saúde e Bem-Estar
Problema de saúde:
Meta 3.3: Acabar com as doenças tropicais negligenciadas e combater as doenças transmissíveis
Base de dados:
WPRIM (Pacífico Ocidental)
Assunto principal:
China
/
Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis
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Vigilância da População
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Epidemiologia
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Doenças Transmissíveis
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Estudos Prospectivos
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Modelos Estatísticos
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Métodos
Tipo de estudo:
Estudo observacional
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Estudo prognóstico
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Fatores de risco
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Estudo de rastreamento
Aspecto:
Determinantes sociais da saúde
Limite:
Humanos
País/Região como assunto:
Ásia
Idioma:
Chinês
Revista:
Chinese Journal of Preventive Medicine
Ano de publicação:
2007
Tipo de documento:
Artigo