An econometric study of the number of undernourished people in Colombia from 2000 to 2021

The importance of food (in)security has been one of the United Nations Sustainable Development's main goals. Over 828 million people worldwide cannot acquire enough food to meet the minimum daily dietary energy requirements (undernourished). Therefore, the present study examines the factors that affect the number of undernourished people in Colombia by assessing macroeconomic data for the period 2000-2021 including gross domestic product (GDP) per capita, unemployment, and inflation rates. A quantitative, empirical, correlation design was used to examine and describe the relationship among the variables. The findings showed that the proposed variables presented the correct signs, were statistically significant, and were in line with the economic theory Thus, the study concluded that although income shocks brought on by inflation and unemployment undoubtedly impact household food (in)security, other factors must also be considered for policy and practice to effectively reduce food insecurity for households.

La importancia de la (in)seguridad alimentaria ha sido uno de los principales objetivos del Desarrollo Sostenible de las Naciones Unidas y más de 820 millones de personas en el mundo no pueden adquirir suficientes alimentos para satisfacer los requerimientos mínimos diarios de energía dietética (subalimentadas). Por lo tanto, el presente estudio examina los factores que afectan el número de personas subalimentadas en Colombia mediante la evaluación de datos macroeconómicos para el período 2000-2021, incluido el producto interno bruto (PIB) per cápita, el desempleo y las tasas de inflación. Se utilizó un diseño cuantitativo, empírico y correlacional, para examinar y describir la relación entre las variables. Los hallazgos mostraron que las variables propuestas presentaron los signos correctos, fueron estadísticamente significativas y de acuerdo con el propuesto por la teoría económica. Por lo tanto, el estudio concluyó que, si bien los impactos en los ingresos causados por la inflación y el desempleo indudablemente afectan la inseguridad alimentaria de los hogares, también es importante considerar otros factores en los esfuerzos de políticas y prácticas para mitigar la inseguridad alimentaria de los hogares.

A importância da (in)segurança alimentar tem sido um dos principais objetivos do Desenvolvimento Sustentável das Nações Unidas e mais de 820 milhões de pessoas no mundo não podem adquirir alimentos suficientes para atender às necessidades energéticas diárias mínimas (subalimentadas). Por tanto o presente estudo examina os fatores que afetam o número de pessoas subalimentadas na Colômbia, avaliando dados macroeconômicos para o período 2000-2021, incluindo produto interno bruto (PIB) per capita, desemprego e taxas de inflação. Um desenho quantitativo, empírico e de correlação foi usado para examinar e descrever a relação entre as variáveis. Os achados mostraram que as variáveis propostas apresentaram os sinais corretos, foram estatisticamente significativas e em consonância com a teoria econômica. Assim, o estudo concluiu que, embora os choques de renda causados pela inflação e pelo desemprego indubitavelmente afetem a insegurança alimentar das famílias, outros fatores também são importantes a serem considerados nos esforços de políticas e práticas para mitigar a insegurança alimentar das famílias.

Dynamic relationship between changes of mortality rate and urban development level in Shanghai / 上海预防医学

ObjectiveTo analyze the dynamic response relationship between urban development and mortality rate in Shanghai， and to predict the trend of mortality rate changes. MethodsBy analyzing the total mortality rate （TMR）， gross domestic product （GDP） and socio-demographic index （SDI） in Shanghai from 1978 to 2017， a vector autoregressive （VAR） model was constructed to evaluate the impact of urban development on the mortality rate. ResultsThe fitted R2 of the VAR model was 0.92. The short-term effect of GDP on the improvement of death level was negative， while the long-term effect was positive， and the SDI was negative regardless of the short-term and long-term effects. By the tenth year， GDP and SDI contributed 10.61% and 27.25% to TMR changes， respectively. The model predicted that the mortality rate in Shanghai would be 9.17 per thousand by 2030. ConclusionLong-term economic growth can effectively promote a decline in population mortality. However， as the economy develops vigorously， the adverse effects of declining birth rates and population aging on population health during the era of high-level population development should not be ignored.

Relationship between GDP per capita and traffic accidents in Brazilian municipalities in 2005, 2010 and 2015 / A relação entre PIB per capita e os acidentes de transporte nos municípios brasileiros, em 2005, 2010 e 2015

ABSTRACT: Objective: The main objective of this paper was to analyze the relation between GDP and three variables linked to traffic accidents in Brazilian municipalities: traffic accident mortality, deaths per vehicle; and vehicles per inhabitant. Methods: 2005, 2010 and 2015 traffic accident (TA) mortality rates were estimated using a three-year moving average and were standardized; then, we applied the empirical Bayes estimator (EBE). Fatality rates (deaths per vehicle) were also based on EBE. The variable vehicles per inhabitant considered the ratio between the fleet and the population at municipal level. For every studied year, we estimated linear regression models between GDP and the interest variables. Results: The variables distribution indicates that, between 2005 and 2015, GDP and vehicles per inhabitant kept the same rising relationship. Fatality rates show a decreasing association with GDP. The distribution of mortality by TA had an inverted U-shaped pattern. The model coefficients practically did not change for the vehicle per inhabitant. Estimated association between deaths per vehicle and GDP kept the same sign, but diminished between 2005 and 2015. Model coefficient sign changed in 2015 for TA mortality. Conclusion: Similar to what was observed in developed countries, the relation between mortality by traffic accidents and GDP changed in the analyzed period.

RESUMO: Objetivo: O artigo pretende analisar a relação entre o produto interno bruto (PIB) per capita e três variáveis relacionadas aos acidentes de transporte (AT) nos municípios brasileiros: a mortalidade por AT, as mortes por veículo e o número de veículos por pessoa. Métodos: As taxas de mortalidade por AT foram estimadas (2005, 2010 e 2015) por meio do estimador bayesiano empírico (EBE). A taxa de mortalidade por veículo foi também estimada pelo EBE. O número de veículos por pessoa foi baseado na razão entre a frota de automóveis e a população residente. Para os três anos em análise, estimamos um modelo de regressão linear entre o PIB per capita municipal e as três variáveis de interesse. Resultados: A distribuição das variáveis mostra que a relação entre o PIB e o número de veículos por pessoa se manteve crescente ao longo dos anos e foi sempre negativa, considerando-se as mortes por veículo. A taxa de mortalidade por AT apresentou distribuição próxima a um U invertido. Os coeficientes do modelo de regressão praticamente não variaram para a relação entre PIB e os veículos por habitante. O sinal para o modelo com a taxa de mortalidade por veículo manteve-se o mesmo (negativo), mas apresentou diminuição. A taxa mortalidade por AT, por sua vez, apresentou inversão do sinal em 2015. Conclusão: De modo similar ao observado nos países desenvolvidos, parece ter havido inversão na relação entre mortalidade por AT e PIB nos municípios brasileiros entre 2005 e 2015.

Medical schools in Brasil: population, economic and historical analysis

SUMMARY BACKGROUND To describe the current distribution and historical evolution of undergraduate courses in medicine in Brasil. METHODS Analytical cross-sectional study of secondary data. Through the Ministry of Education, the data of the medical courses were obtained, and through the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics, the population and economic data of the Brazilian states were obtained. RESULTS In Brasil, there were 298 medical courses (1,42 courses / million inhabitants) in January 2018, totaling 31,126 vacancies per year, with 9,217 gratuitous vacancies (29.6%) and 17,963 vacancies in the hinterland (57, 7%). In Brazilian states, there are positive and statistically significant (p <0.001) correlations of the variables: "vacancies" and "population" (R 0.92); "vacancies" and "gross domestic product" ("GDP") (R 0.83); "percentage of vacancies in the hinterland" and "population in the hinterland" (R 0.71) and "percentage of vacancies in the hinterland" and "GDP" (R 0.64). There was a negative and statistically significant correlation between "gratuitous vacancy percentage" and "GDP" (R -0.54, p = 0.003). More paid courses than gratuitous courses and more courses in the hinterland than in the capitals have been created since 1964, in proportions that have remained similar since then, but in higher numbers since 2002. CONCLUSIONS The distribution of medical courses in Brasil correlates with the population and economical production of each state. The expansion of Brazilian medical education, which has been accelerated since 2002, is based mainly on paid courses in the hinterland, in the same pattern since 1964.

RESUMO OBJETIVO Descrever a distribuição e evolução histórica das vagas em cursos de graduação em medicina no Brasil. MÉTODOS Estudo transversal analítico de dados secundários. No Ministério da Educação obtiveram-se dados dos cursos de medicina e no Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística foram obtidos dados populacionais e econômicos dos estados. RESULTADOS Havia no Brasil, até janeiro de 2018, 298 cursos de medicina (1,42 curso/milhão de habitantes), totalizando 31.126 vagas anuais, com 9.217 vagas gratuitas (29,6%) e 17.963 vagas no interior do País (57,7%). Nos estados há correlações positivas e significativas (p<0,001) das variáveis: "vagas em medicina" e "população" (R 0,92); "vagas em medicina" e "produto interno bruto" ("PIB") (R 0,83); "percentual de vagas em medicina no interior" e "população no interior" (R 0,71) e "percentual de vagas em medicina no interior" e "PIB" (R 0,64). Há correlação negativa e significativa entre "percentual de vagas gratuitas" e "PIB" (R -0,54, p=0,003). Passaram a ser criados mais cursos pagos do que gratuitos e mais cursos no interior do que nas capitais a partir de 1964 (p <0,001), e a relação curso/milhão de habitantes aumentou a partir de 2002 (p<0,001). CONCLUSÕES A distribuição de vagas em cursos de medicina no Brasil correlaciona-se à população e à produção econômica de cada estado. A expansão do ensino médico brasileiro, acelerada além do crescimento populacional a partir de 2002, é baseada principalmente em cursos pagos no interior dos estados brasileiros, característica inalterada desde 1964.

Determining of agricultural credit impact on agricultural production value in Turkey / Determinação do impacto do crédito agrícola no valor da produção agrícola na Turquia

ABSTRACT: Agriculture is an indispensable activity for all countries. Depending on the increasing population, food needs can be met by increasing agricultural production. In this respect, it is of great importance to investigate the value of agricultural production and the factors affecting agricultural production. This study aimed to examine the impact on the agricultural production value of agricultural bank credit in Turkey. In the study, with the aim of examining the relationship between agricultural credit and agricultural production value in Turkey, 1998-2016 real agricultural loans and agricultural real gross domestic product annual data covering the period given above were used. The statistical analysis tool is ordinary least squares (OLS) techniques. According to OLS regression, the purposed model explains 83.94% of total variance. Regression coefficients show that effect of term is higher than effect of agricultural credits. The reason for this difference may be explained as dependency of credits on macroeconomic indicators and political structure of the country. This study proposes that agricultural credit mechanism in the country needs to be developed to increase the financing opportunities for the realization of technology and modernization investments by farmers.

RESUMO: A agricultura é uma atividade indispensável para todos os países. Dependendo do aumento da população, as necessidades alimentares podem ser atendidas através do aumento da produção agrícola. A esse respeito, é de grande importância investigar o valor da produção agrícola e os fatores que afetam a produção agrícola. Este estudo teve como objetivo examinar o impacto no valor da produção agrícola do crédito bancário agrícola na Turquia. No estudo, com o objetivo de examinar a relação entre crédito agrícola e valor da produção agrícola na Turquia, foram utilizados os empréstimos reais para 1998-2016 e os dados anuais do produto interno bruto agrícola real, cobrindo o período indicado acima. A ferramenta de análise estatística é uma técnica de mínimos quadrados ordinários (OLS). De acordo com a regressão OLS, o modelo proposto explica 83,94% da variância total. Os coeficientes de regressão mostram que o efeito do prazo é superior ao efeito dos créditos agrícolas. O motivo dessa diferença pode ser explicado como dependência de créditos em indicadores macroeconômicos e estrutura política do país. Este estudo propõe que o mecanismo de crédito agrícola no país precise ser desenvolvido para aumentar as oportunidades de financiamento para a realização de investimentos em tecnologia e modernização pelos agricultores.

Demographic Profile of India – Opportunity or Threat (Qualitative Systemic Review Literature)

The demographic dividend is an important aspect for any country to raise its gross domestic product and per capita income. Thisreview mainly focuses on exploring the current scenario of Indian population in terms of its dividend, skill set of population andinfluence of the various factors on the demographic dividend of India which is the deciding factor and plays an important role forthe country on in terms of its dividend, skill Skill sets the areas of improvement to make Indian demographic dividend productive

La contribución del sector de la construcción sobre el producto interno bruto PIB en Ecuador / The contribution of the construction sector on the gross domestic product gdp in Ecuador / A contribuição do sector da construção no produto interno bruto PIB no período do Equador

Resumen Introducción: La contribución del sector de la construcción en todos los países es crucial para el desarrollo económico y social. Por lo que se compara si en Ecuador se da el mismo comportamiento como se ha dado en países europeos y asiáticos. Objetivo: El presente trabajo pretende determinar la contribución del sector de la construcción sobre el Producto Interno Bruto PIB real (constante). Para ello, es fundamental realizar una revisión literaria sobre la relación entre las variables de entrada -salidas (inputs-outputs) IO. Sector construcción - Producto Interno Bruto. Métodos y materiales: se aplicó una metodología concluyente correlacional integral. Resultados: el sector de la construcción, contribuya de manera positiva en el total de producto interno bruto PIB real en Ecuador periodo 2010-2016. Conclusiones: este comportamiento no solo se da en países de primer mundo sino también en Ecuador.

Abstract Introduction: The contribution of the construction sector in all countries is crucial for economic and social development. For what it is compared if in Ecuador the same behavior occurs as has occurred in European and Asian countries. Objective: The present work tries to determine the contribution of the construction sector on the Gross Domestic Product Real GDP (constant). For this, it is essential to make a literary review about the relationship between the input variables-outputs (outputs-outputs) IO. Construction sector- Gross Domestic Product. Methods and materials: a comprehensive correlational conclusive methodology was applied. Results: the construction sector, contributes positively in the total gross domestic product Real GDP in Ecuador period 2010-2016. Conclusions: this behavior occurs not only in first world countries but also in Ecuador.

Resumo Introdução: A contribuição do setor da construção em todos os países é crucial para o desenvolvimento econômico e social. Para o que é comparado se no Equador o mesmo comportamento ocorre como ocorreu em países europeus e asiáticos. Objetivo: O presente trabalho procura determinar a contribuição do setor da construção no PIB real do Produto Interno Bruto (constante). Para isso, é essencial fazer uma revisão literária sobre a relação entre as variáveis de entrada-saídas (saídas-saídas) IO. Setor de Construção-Produto Interno Bruto. Métodos e materiais: aplicou-se uma metodologia conclusiva correlacional abrangente. Resultados: o setor de construção, contribui positivamente no produto interno bruto total do PIB real no período equatoriano 2010-2016. Conclusões: esse comportamento ocorre não apenas nos países do primeiro mundo, mas também no Equador.

Comparing definitions of spatial relations for the analysis of geographic disparities in mortality within a Bayesian mixed-effects framework / Comparação de definições de relações espaciais para a análise das desigualdades geográficas na mortalidade no quadro de efeitos mistos bayesiana

ABSTRACT: Objective: To analyze the conceptual and technical differences between three definitions of spatial relations within a Bayesian mixed-effects framework: classical multilevel definition, spatial multiple membership definition and conditional autoregressive definition with an illustration of the estimate of geographic disparities in early neonatal mortality in Colombia, 2011-2014. Methods: A registry based cross-sectional study was conducted. Births and early neonatal deaths were obtained from the Colombian vital statistics registry for 2011-2014. Crude and adjusted Bayesian mixed effects regressions were performed for each definition of spatial relation. Model fit statistics, spatial autocorrelation of residuals and estimated mortality rates, geographic disparity measures, relative ratios and relative differences were compared. Results: The definition of spatial relations between municipalities based on the conditional autoregressive prior showed the best performance according to both fit statistics and residual spatial pattern analyses. Spatial multiple membership definition had a poor performance. Conclusion: Bayesian mixed effects regression with conditional autoregressive prior as an analytical framework may be an important contribution to epidemiological design as an improved alternative to ecological methods in the analyses of geographic disparities of mortality, considering potential ecological bias and spatial model misspecification.

RESUMO: Objetivo: Analisar as diferenças conceptuais e técnicas entre três definições de relações espaciais dentro do quadro de efeitos mistos bayesiano: definição multinível clássica, definição de filiação múltipla espacial e definição condicional auto regressivo com uma ilustração da estimativa das disparidades geográficas na mortalidade neonatal precoce na Colômbia, 2011-2014. Métodos: Foi realizado um estudo transversal de base do registro. Nascimentos e mortes neonatais precoces foram obtidos a partir do registro de estatísticas vitais Colombiano para o período 2011-2014. Regressões mistas bayesianas brutos e ajustados foram realizadas para cada definição de relação espacial. As estatísticas de ajuste do modelo, autocorrelação espacial dos resíduos, as estimativas das taxas de mortalidade, as medidas de disparidade geográfica, as relações relativas e as diferenças relativas foram comparadas. Resultados: A definição das relações espaciais entre os municípios com base no priori condicional auto regressivo apresentou o melhor desempenho de acordo com as estatísticas de ajuste e a análises de padrão espacial dos resíduos. A definição de filiação múltipla espacial mostrou o mau desempenho. Conclusão: A regressão de efeitos mistos bayesiana com priori condicional auto regressivo como quadro analítico pode ser uma contribuição importante para desenho epidemiológico como uma alternativa melhorada aos métodos ecológicos nas análises das desigualdades geográficas, considerando e potencial viés ecológico e má especificação do modelo espacial.

Análisis de conglomerados para el estudio de las desigualdades sociales por enfermedades cardiovasculares / Analysis of conglomerates for the study of social inequalities due to cardiovascular diseases

RESUMEN Objetivo Establecer las desigualdades sociales en la mortalidad por enfermedades cardiovasculares en los municipios de los Departamentos del triángulo del café. Métodos Diseño ecológico que midió las desigualdades sociales en la mortalidad por hipertensión, isquemia cardiaca y accidente cerebrovascular, según indicadores económicos en los municipios de los Departamentos de Caldas, Quindío, y Risaralda. La mortalidad para el cálculo de las tasas y Necesidades Básicas Insatisfechas (NBI) se obtuvieron del Departamento Nacional de Estadística; el Producto Interno Bruto (PIB) se calculó para el estudio. Se utilizó la técnica multivariada análisis de conglomerados que agrupa los municipios en clases, según la similitud en sus características. Resultados Se identificaron tres clases: los municipios de la primera clase tienen el PIB per cápita más alto, el NBI más bajo, el promedio de la tasa de mortalidad por accidente cerebrovascular más alto y el promedio de la tasa de mortalidad por hipertensión más bajo. La clase dos presenta el PIB per cápita más bajo y el promedio de la tasa de mortalidad por isquemia cardiaca más alto. La clase tres presenta el NBI más alto, el promedio más alto en la mortalidad por hipertensión e isquemia cardiaca. La conformación de los conglomerados sugiere una relación entre un NBI alto con las tasas de mortalidad por hipertensión e isquemia cardiaca. Un PIB per cápita alto y NBI bajo con la tasa mortalidad por accidente cerebrovascular. Conclusión No se observaron diferencias significativas en las tasas de mortalidad por accidente cerebrovascular, isquemia cardiaca e hipertensión, entre los Departamentos.(AU)

ABSTRACT Objetive To establish social inequalities in mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the municipalities located in the "triángulo del café". Methods Ecological design that measured social inequalities in mortality due to hypertension, ischemia and stroke according to economic indicators in the municipalities located in Caldas, Quindío, and Risaralda. Mortality for calculating rates and Unsatisfied Basic Needs (NBI) were obtained from the National Statistics Department; the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was calculated for the study. A multivariate cluster analysis was used grouping the municipalities into classes according to the similarity in their characteristics. Results Three classes were identified: municipalities of the first class have the highest per capita GDP, the lowest BIN, the highest mortality rate for stroke, the lowest mortality rate for the lowest hypertension. Class two has the lowest per capita GDP and the highest mortality rate for ischemic. Class three has the highest NBI, the highest average in mortality due to hypertension and ischemic. The conglomerate conformation suggests a relationship between a high BIN and the mortality rates due to hypertensive and ischemic. A high per capita GDP and low NBI with the mortality rate for stroke. Conclusion No significant differences in the mortality rates due to stroke, ischemic or hypertension, in the various states under study were observed.(AU)

The Causal Relationship Between Infant Mortality Rate, Health Expenditure And Economic Growth In India

The Infant Mortality Rate defined as the risk for a live born child to die before its first birthday, is known to be one of the most sensitive and commonly used indicators of the social and economic development of a nation. This paper investigates the causal relationship between infant mortality rate, economic growth and private health expenditure [% Gross Domestic Product (GDP)] in India using the co-integration and Granger causality frameworks for the period from 1995 to 2013 using secondary data from various sources. We have examined the presence of a long-run equilibrium relationship using the bounds testing approach to co-integration within the Unrestricted Error- Correction Model (UECM). We have also examined the direction of causality between infant mortality rate, economic growth and private health expenditure (% GDP) in India using the Granger causality test within the Vector Error-Correction Model (VECM). As a summary of the empirical findings, we find the Infant Mortality Rate (IMR), Per-Capita Gross Domestic Product (PCGDP) and private health expenditure (% GDP) are co-integrated. The results of Granger Causality suggested that no short-run effect was existing between all the three variables. The error-correction term implies that the variable is non-explosive and long-run equilibrium relationship is attainable.​​

Distribution and Determinants of Out-of-pocket Healthcare Expenditures in Bangladesh / 예방의학회지

OBJECTIVES: As in many low-income and middle-income countries, out-of-pocket (OOP) payments by patients or their families are a key healthcare financing mechanism in Bangladesh that leads to economic burdens for households. The objective of this study was to identify whether and to what extent socioeconomic, demographic, and behavioral factors of the population had an impact on OOP expenditures in Bangladesh. METHODS: A total of 12 400 patients who had paid to receive any type of healthcare services within the previous 30 days were analyzed from the Bangladesh Household Income and Expenditure Survey data, 2010. We employed regression analysis for identify factors influencing OOP health expenditures using the ordinary least square method. RESULTS: The mean total OOP healthcare expenditures was US dollar (USD) 27.66; while, the cost of medicines (USD 16.98) was the highest cost driver (61% of total OOP healthcare expenditure). In addition, this study identified age, sex, marital status, place of residence, and family wealth as significant factors associated with higher OOP healthcare expenditures. In contrary, unemployment and not receiving financial social benefits were inversely associated with OOP expenditures. CONCLUSIONS: The findings of this study can help decision-makers by clarifying the determinants of OOP, discussing the mechanisms driving these determinants, and there by underscoring the need to develop policy options for building stronger financial protection mechanisms. The government should consider devoting more resources to providing free or subsidized care. In parallel with government action, the development of other prudential and sustainable risk-pooling mechanisms may help attract enthusiastic subscribers to community-based health insurance schemes.

Aportes del sector de la salud a la economía cubana (2004-2013) / Health care sector contributions to the Cuban economy 2004-2013

Introducción: el valor de los servicios ofrecidos por el sector de la salud pública retribuye el peso sustancial de sus asignaciones presupuestarias y el nivel de inversión en este sector del producto interno bruto, cuestión que repercute en los resultados económicos de la nación. Objetivo: describir la relación entre los resultados de la economía cubana y el aporte del sector de la salud. Métodos: estudio longitudinal de las asignaciones presupuestarias, nivel de inversión del producto interno bruto al sector de la salud y el aporte de la salud a este producto en el período 2004-2013. Resultados: durante el periodo estudiado, la economía cubana mantuvo un discreto crecimiento asociado, entre otros elementos, al aporte del sector de la salud a la formación del producto interno bruto según la metodología de cálculo establecida; de la misma manera, se comportaron los niveles de asignación presupuestaria a ese sector. Conclusiones: la existencia de una estrecha relación entre los resultados del producto interno bruto, el presupuesto total y su asignación al sector de la salud y el aporte de este sector, refleja la complementariedad que existe entre estos aspectos. La brecha entre los niveles de asignación presupuestaria y los aportes del sector de la salud a la economía, pueden explicar la capacidad de incremento de los niveles presupuestarios al sector, de forma tal que le permita perfeccionar los servicios prestados. El sector de la salud es uno de los líderes en la economía cubana actual(AU)

Introduction: the value of services offered by the public health sector repays the substantial weight of the budget allocations and the level of investment from the gross domestic product; this is an issue that affects the economic outcomes of the nation. Objective: to describe the relationship between the results of the Cuban economy and the contribution made by the health care sector in the 2004-2013 period. Methods: a longitudinal study of budgetary allocations, level of investment of the gross domestic product into the health care sector and the contribution of this sector to the said product from 2004 to 2013. Results: during the study period, the Cuban economy kept a modest growth associated, among other elements, to the contribution of the health care sector to the formation of the domestic gross product under the set estimation methodology, whereas the level of budget allocations to health have behaved the same. Conclusions: the close relationship among the results of gross domestic product, the total budget allocation to health and the contribution of the health care sector shows that these aspects complement each other. The gap between the levels of budget allocation and the contributions of the health sector accounts for the increased capacity of budget allocations to the sector in order to improve the rendered services. The health care sector is one of the leading areas in the present Cuban economy(AU)

Desigualdades en la mortalidad por enfermedades cardiovasculares en los municipios del Eje Cafetero, 2009-2011 / Inequalities in mortality by cardiovascular diseases in the Colombian Coffee Growing Region, 2009-2011

Introducción. El impacto de la mortalidad por enfermedades cardiovasculares requiere medir la relación entre las condiciones socioeconómicas locales y estas causas de muerte. Objetivo. Determinar la desigualdad en la mortalidad por enfermedades cardiovasculares en los municipios del Eje Cafetero (2009-2011). Materiales y métodos. Se hizo un estudio ecológico en el que se comparó la mortalidad por enfermedades cardiovasculares (hipertensivas, isquémicas, cerebrovasculares) en los municipios con base en su situación económica. Los datos de mortalidad y el índice de necesidades básicas insatisfechas se obtuvieron de las estadísticas vitales del Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (DANE), en tanto que el producto interno bruto municipal per cápita se calculó para el estudio. Los índices de desigualdad empleados se calcularon por rangos y en modelos de regresión, así como con los índices de concentración, y de Theil, utilizando el programa Epidat 3.1. Resultados. El riesgo de morir por enfermedad isquémica e hipertensiva resultó mayor en los municipios con el mayor índice de necesidades básicas insatisfechas. La mortalidad por enfermedad hipertensiva también tendió a concentrarse en dichos municipios. Se encontraron más muertes por enfermedad hipertensiva en los municipios con menor producto interno bruto per cápita en 2009 y 2010, y por enfermedad isquémica, en 2010 y 2011. No obstante, este indicador no mide la brecha entre las comunidades pobres. Conclusiones. Se carece de indicadores de desigualdad desagregados a nivel de municipio. Los sugeridos con este propósito se calculan para el nivel nacional y departamental, lo que no favorece la caracterización de las desigualdades sociales en salud a nivel territorial.

Introduction: The impact of mortality from cardiovascular diseases requires the measurement of the relationship between the local socioeconomic conditions and these death causes. Objective: To determine the inequality in mortality from cardiovascular diseases in the municipalities of the Colombian Coffee Growing Region (2009-2011). Materials and methods: We conducted an ecological study to compare the mortality from cardiovascular diseases (hypertensive, ischemic, cerebrovascular) in municipalities and their economic situation. Mortality rates and the index of unsatisfied basic needs were obtained from the Colombian Departamento Administrativo Nacional de Estadística (DANE) vital statistics, while the municipal gross domestic product per capita was estimated for this study. The inequality indices were calculated using regression models, and concentration and Theil indices with Epidat 3.1. Results: The death risk resulting from ischemic or hypertensive diseases was greater in those municipalities with a higher index of unsatisfied basic needs. Mortality due to hypertensive disease tended to concentrate in municipalities with a higher level of unsatisfied basic needs. The municipalities with a lower gross domestic product showed a higher rate of deaths due to hypertensive disease in years 2009 and 2010, and due to ischemic disease in years 2010 and 2011. Nevertheless, this indicator does not measure the gap existing among poor communities. Conclusions: Disaggregated inequality indicators at municipal level are lacking. Suggested indicators are estimated only for country and provincial levels and they do not favor the characterization of health social inequalities at territorial level.

The Japanese Decline in Secondary Sex Ratio Correlates with Percentage Change in GDP/Annum.

Background: Male births occur in excess of female births. The ratio of male:female births is commonly referred to as M/F and is expected to approximate 0.515. Stress has been shown to decrease M/F due to an increased rate of male spontaneous abortions. Since Japan’s economy declined after the mid-1970s, this study was carried out in order to ascertain whether there was any relationship between M/F and annual change in percentage gross domestic product (GDP) in Japan. Methods: Annual male and female live births were obtained from a World Health Organisation Mortality database. GDP data was downloaded as an Excel sheet from the website of the World Bank. Data for both variables was available for the period 1961-2009. Results: This study analysed 71878631 total live births. There was an overall and abrupt decline in M/F which commenced in 1975 (0.5149, from 0.5155 in 1974), one year after the decline in percentage annual GDP growth which fell from 8.0% to -1.22 from 1973 to 1974. M/F correlated with percentage annual GDP growth (r=0.4, p=0.005). Conclusion: M/F is increasing overall in Asia, but decreasing in Japan, as is the trend in developing countries. This country exhibits a rise in GDP change along with M/F in boom years, followed by a progressive fall in both values, which occurs almost in parallel, especially after 1980. To the author’s knowledge, this is the first time that M/F has been linked with percentage annual GDP.

Effects of the 2008 Global Economic Crisis on National Health Indicators: Results from the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey / 가정의학회지

BACKGROUND: The relationship between economics and health has been of great interest throughout the years. The accumulated data is not sufficient enough to carry out long-term studies from the viewpoint of morbidity, although Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) was carried out yearly since 1998 in Korea. Thus, we investigated the effect of the 2008 global economic crisis on health indicators of Korea. METHODS: Health indicators were selected by paired t-test based on 2007 and 2009 KNHANES data. Age, gender, body mass index (BMI), smoking, drinking, exercise, education, income, working status, and stress were used as confounding factors, which were analyzed with logistic and probit analyses. Validation was done by comparing gross domestic product (GDP) growth rates and probit analyses results of 2007-2012 KNHANES data. RESULTS: Among several health indicators, the prevalence of hypertension and stress perception was higher after the economic crisis. Factors related with higher hypertension prevalence include older age, male gender, higher BMI, no current tobacco use, recent drinking, lower education levels, and stress perception. Factors related with more stress perception were younger age, female gender, current smoking, lower education levels, and lower income. GDP growth rates, a macroeconomic indicator, are inversely associated with hypertension prevalence with a one-year lag, and also inversely associated with stress perception without time lag. CONCLUSION: The economic crisis increased the prevalence of hypertension and stress perception. In the case of GDP growth rate change, hypertension was an inversely lagging indicator and stress perception was an inversely-related coincident indicator.

Characteristic analysis for change in health for Han primary and secondary school students from 1985 to 2010 in Ningxia / 中华实用儿科临床杂志

Objective To analyze the dynamic trends of physical development,constitutional fitness,and prevalence of obesity among Han children and adolescents in Ningxia aged 7-18 years from 1985 to 2010.Methods Data were collected from the National Survey on Students Constitution and Health in 1985,1991,1995,2000,2005 and 2010,respectively.Height,weight and chest circumference were used to evaluate physical development,vital capacity,50-meter running and vital capacity versus weight ratio for the evaluation of constitutional fitness.Results 1.Weight and chest circumference increased faster than height.The average annual increase of weight among the urban girls was significantly faster than those in rural areas.2.The tempo per year of vital capacity in both boys and girls decreased during 25 years,especially after 2005.The rural students had a faster tempo than those in the urban students,and the rate in boys was higher than those in girls.Vital capacity to weight ratio in boys decreased from 2005 much more than before,and had a decreasing trend in each age group except for a few groups in girls.There was a decrease in the mean time of 50-meter running in both boys and girls from 1985 to 2005,whereas the decrease became slow during 1995-2005.The prolonged trend in 50-meter-run time existed during 2005-2010.The average prolonged speeds per decade in boys and urban students was higher than that in girls and rural areas.3.From 1985 to 2010 year,the increasing prevalence of overweight and obesity among boys and girls was 15.0％,25.0％ and 28.1％,12.4％,respectively.The average increasing rate was much higher in the obese than in the over-weighted children,and there were more in boys than in girls.There was a similar positive trend of increasing prevalence of overweight and obesity with the increased gross domestic product.Conclusions The physical growth and development among students in Ningxia increased rapidly,along with the descending trend of average annual rate of physical fitness as well as the rising trend of prevalence obesity.Some measures should be taken by the government to tackle with the situation,and the healthy intervention should be applied to the high risk population.

Analysis of the Total Health Expenditure in China Based on the State Space Model / 中国卫生经济

Objective: To predict the growth trend of total health expenditure in China based on the dynamic relationship between total health expenditure and economic growth. Methods: First, analyze the relationship between total health expenditure and economic growth from 1978 to 2011 with the state space model, evaluate the accuracy of the model and predict total health expenditure range from 2012 to 2016 with the status space mode. Results: Up to 2016, the total health expenditure would reach to 5.681 trillion yuan, and the ratio of the expenditure to gross domestic product(GDP) would increase to 5.692%. Conclusion: It is needed to balance the relationship between total health expenditure and economic growth.

Brazilian scientific funding agency budgets have not matched the country's economic growth

The growth of the Brazilian economy in recent years has created an atmosphere of optimism in various segments of Brazilian society, with several important international repercussions. In this paper, we analyze in detail how this economic growth is reflected in investments in science and technology made by major academic funding agencies. As a result, we observed a discrepancy in the growth of funding input and the growth of the Brazilian gross domestic product. This fact associated with an increased academic output entails negative consequences for the system. This may be a symptom of an academic community not fully understood by society and vice versa. Finally, we believe that a long-lasting important change in investment policy in science is necessary in order to ensure financial security for the academic system as a whole.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita and geographical distribution of ophthalmologists in Brazil / Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) per capita e a distribuição geográfica dos oftalmologistas no Brasil

PURPOSE: To assess the number of ophthalmologists in Brazil, their regional distribution, ophthalmologist/habitant ratio, and the relation between ophthalmologist and State Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita to aid public health policies. METHODS: An ecologic study was conducted. Data were obtained from the "Census 2011 Brazilian Ophthalmology Council", from "Demographic Census of Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) 2010 and from "Brazilian Regional Accounts, 2005-2009"- Ministry of Planning, Budget and Management - IBGE. RESULTS: The number of ophthalmologists in Brazil is 15,719. Considering the performance in more than one municipality, the number of ophthalmologists in service is 17,992, that is, one ophthalmologist for 10,601; the ophthalmologist/site ratio vary among the States from a minimum of 1/51,437 (Amapá) to a maximum of 1/4,279 (Distrito Federal). There is a correlation among State GDP per capita and the number of ophthalmologists/habitant: the higher the GDP per capita, the larger is the number of ophthalmologists acting in the State (p<0.0001). CONCLUSION: According to this study, there is no lack of Ophthalmologists in the country, but a distribution imbalance which leads to professional shortage in particular places. A higher concentration of ophthalmologists/inhabitants was noticed in States which the economic growth is higher, expressed by the GDP per capita.

OBJETIVO: Analisar o número de médicos que exercem a Oftalmologia no Brasil, sua distribuição regional; relação oftalmologista por habitante e Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) Estadual per capita, para auxiliar as políticas de saúde pública. MÉTODOS: Foi realizado um estudo ecológico. Os dados foram obtidos do "Censo 2011 - Conselho Brasileiro de Oftalmologia", do "Censo Demográfico do Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística (IBGE) 2010 e do "Contas Regionais do Brasil, 2005-2009"- Ministério do Planejamento, Orçamento e Gestão - Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística - IBGE. RESULTADOS: O número de oftalmologistas no Brasil é de 15.719. Considerando a atuação em mais de um município, o número de oftalmologistas em atendimento é de 17.992, isto é um oftalmologista para 10.601; as relações oftalmologista/local de atendimento, variam entre os Estados desde um mínimo de 1/51.437 (Amapá) e a um máximo de 1/4.279 (Distrito Federal). Há uma correlação entre PIB Estadual per capita e número de oftalmologistas/habitante: quanto maior o PIB per capita, maior o número de oftalmologistas atuando no Estado (p<0,0001). CONCLUSÃO: Nas condições deste estudo, observou-se que não há falta de Oftalmologistas no território Nacional e sim, uma desigualdade de distribuição que conduz a focos de escassez de profissionais em determinadas localidades. Verificou-se uma concentração de oftalmologista/habitantes em Estados cujo crescimento econômico é maior, expresso pelo PIB per capita.

Valoración económica de la mortalidad en la región amazónica de Colombia, 2004-2008 / Economic valuation of mortality in Colombia’s Amazon region, 2004-2008 / Avaliação econômica da mortalidade naregião amazônica da Colômbia, 2004-2008

El objetivo del presente estudio es estimar el valor económico de la mortalidad en la región amazónica de Colombia durante el periodo 2004-2008. Para ello se utiliza la metodología de procesamiento de información y el método de la suma de los Años Potenciales de Vida Perdidos (APVP). Además, se evidencia que la mortalidad se concentra en los departamentos de Caquetá, Guaviare y Putumayo, lo que se asocia principalmente a las causas externas, a todas las demás causas y a las enfermedades del sistema circulatorio. Los APVP y su valoración económica presentan una tendencia decreciente, dada la disminución en las defunciones de menores de un año y de aquellos entre 15 y 44 años. Las pérdidas regionales por mortalidad se encuentran alrededor de los 2,38 billones de pesos (del 2008), lo que en promedio establece que cada añode APVP tiene un valor de 476 mil millones de pesos...

The aim of this study was to estimate the economic value of mortality in the Amazon Region of Colombia during the period 2004-2008. It uses the information processing methodologyand the method of the sum of Years of Potential Life Lost (YPLL). In addition, evidence that mortality is concentrated in the departments of Caquetá, Guaviare and Putumayo; is mainly associated with external causes, all other causes and circulatory diseases. YPLL and economicevaluation show a downward trend, given the decline in deaths of children under 1 year and between 15 and 44. Regional mortality losses are around 2.38 billion pesos (2008), which onaverage, every year of YPLL has a value of 476 thousand million pesos...

O objetivo do presente estudo é estimar o valor econômico da mortalidade na região amazônica da Colômbia durante o período 2004-2008. Para isso utiliza-se a metodologia de processamentode informação e o método da suma dos Anos Potenciais de Vida Perdidos (APVP). Além, se evidencia que a mortalidade concentra-se nos departamentos de Caquetá, Guaviare e Putumayo, o que se associa principalmente a causas externas, a todas as outras causas e as doençasdo sistema circulatório. Os APVP e a sua avaliação econômica apresentam uma tendência decrescente, dada uma diminuição nos óbitos de menores de um ano e de aqueles entre 15 e 44aos. As perdas regionais por mortalidade encontram-se ao redor dos 2,38 bilhões de pesos (de 2008-um bilhão é um milhão de milhões), o que estabelece que, em média, cada ano de APVP tem um valor de 476 mil milhões de pesos...