Selection of patients for myocardial perfusion scintigraphy based on fuzzy sets theory applied to clinical-epidemiological data and treadmill test results

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is a worldwide leading cause of death. The standard method for evaluating critical partial occlusions is coronary arteriography, a catheterization technique which is invasive, time consuming, and costly. There are noninvasive approaches for the early detection of CAD. The basis for the noninvasive diagnosis of CAD has been laid in a sequential analysis of the risk factors, and the results of the treadmill test and myocardial perfusion scintigraphy (MPS). Many investigators have demonstrated that the diagnostic applications of MPS are appropriate for patients who have an intermediate likelihood of disease. Although this information is useful, it is only partially utilized in clinical practice due to the difficulty to properly classify the patients. Since the seminal work of Lotfi Zadeh, fuzzy logic has been applied in numerous areas. In the present study, we proposed and tested a model to select patients for MPS based on fuzzy sets theory. A group of 1053 patients was used to develop the model and another group of 1045 patients was used to test it. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to compare the performance of the fuzzy model against expert physician opinions, and showed that the performance of the fuzzy model was equal or superior to that of the physicians. Therefore, we conclude that the fuzzy model could be a useful tool to assist the general practitioner in the selection of patients for MPS.

Clinical signs of pneumonia in children: association with and prediction of diagnosis by fuzzy sets theory

The present study compares the performance of stochastic and fuzzy models for the analysis of the relationship between clinical signs and diagnosis. Data obtained for 153 children concerning diagnosis (pneumonia, other non-pneumonia diseases, absence of disease) and seven clinical signs were divided into two samples, one for analysis and other for validation. The former was used to derive relations by multi-discriminant analysis (MDA) and by fuzzy max-min compositions (fuzzy), and the latter was used to assess the predictions drawn from each type of relation. MDA and fuzzy were closely similar in terms of prediction, with correct allocation of 75.7 to 78.3 percent of patients in the validation sample, and displaying only a single instance of disagreement: a patient with low level of toxemia was mistaken as not diseased by MDA and correctly taken as somehow ill by fuzzy. Concerning relations, each method provided different information, each revealing different aspects of the relations between clinical signs and diagnoses. Both methods agreed on pointing X-ray, dyspnea, and auscultation as better related with pneumonia, but only fuzzy was able to detect relations of heart rate, body temperature, toxemia and respiratory rate with pneumonia. Moreover, only fuzzy was able to detect a relationship between heart rate and absence of disease, which allowed the detection of six malnourished children whose diagnoses as healthy are, indeed, disputable. The conclusion is that even though fuzzy sets theory might not improve prediction, it certainly does enhance clinical knowledge since it detects relationships not visible to stochastic models.

Serum cytokine profile in the subclinical form of visceral leishmaniasis

The factors determining the development or not of visceral leishmaniasis (VL) have not been completely identified, but a Leishmania-specific cellular immune response seems to play a fundamental role in the final control of infection. Few studies are available regarding the production of cytokines in the subclinical form of VL, with only the production of IFN-g and TNF-a known. The aim of the present study was to identify immunological markers for the oligosymptomatic or subclinical form of VL. A prospective cohort study was conducted on 784 children aged 0 to 5 years from an endemic area in the State of Maranhão, Brazil, between January 1998 and December 2001. During 30 consecutive months of follow-up, 33 children developed the oligosymptomatic form of the disease and 12 the acute form. During the clinical manifestations, serum cytokine levels were determined in 27 oligosymptomatic children and in nine patients with the acute form using a quantitative sandwich enzyme immunoassay. In the subclinical form of VL, variable levels of IL-2 were detected in 52.3 percent of the children, IL-12 in 85.2 percent, IFN-g in 48.1 percent, IL-10 in 88.9 percent, and TNF-a in 100.0 percent, with the last two cytokines showing significantly lower levels than in the acute form. IL-4 was not detected in oligosymptomatic individuals. Multiple discriminant analysis used to determine the profile or combination of cytokines predominating in the subclinical form revealed both a Leishmania resistance (Th1) and susceptibility (Th2) profile. The detection of both Th1 and Th2 cytokine profiles explains the self-limited evolution accompanied by the discrete alterations observed for the subclinical form of VL.

Deteccao de antigenos bacterianos em pneumonia aguda: metodos de preparacao das amostras de urina, soro e liquido pleural para os testes de imunodiagnostico / Detection of bacterial antigens in acute pneumonia: methods of preparing the urine, serum and pleural fluid samples for immunodiagnostic assays

Foi desenvolvido um metodo de precipitacao de antigenos polissacaridicos de S. pneumoniae e H influenzae tipo b na urina, atraves do tratamento com uma solucao de etnol-acetona 1:1 seguido de um tratamento a quente com EDTA 0,1M. Foram empregadas as tecnicas de contra-imunoeletroforese e latex aglutinacao para a deteccao de antigenos polissacarideos em amostras pareadas de urina e soro e ainda de liquido pleural, de criancas com diagnostico clinico e radiologico de pneumonia aguda. Contra-imunoeletroforese e latex aglutinacao apresentaram melhores indices de sensibilidade em urina do que em soro e tiveram otimo desempenho tanto para urina de volume inicial relativamente pequeno como de grande volume, colhidas antes ou durante os primeiros dias de antibioticoterapia. Os resultados obtidos em contra-imunoeletroforese e latex aglutinacao mostraram que a solucao etanol-acetona 1:1 fornece melhor rendimento na precipitacao de antigeno polissacaridico enquanto que o aquecimento com EDTA diminui a probabilidade de ocorrencia de resultados falso-positivos e de reatividade cruzada entre S. pneumoniae e H. influenzae tipo b. A urina mostrou-se como importante meio de deteccao de antigenos bacterianos no diagnostico de pneumonia bacteriana aguda, principalmente se a antibioticoterapia previa obstrui o crescimento bacteriano nos meios de cultura.