In vivo kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 infection and its relationship with a person's infectiousness.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A
; 118(49)2021 12 07.
Artículo
en Inglés
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-1550424
Preprint
Este artículo de revista científica es probablemente basado en un preprint previamente disponible, por medio del reconocimiento de similitud realizado por una máquina. La confirmación humana aún está pendiente.
Ver preprint
Este artículo de revista científica es probablemente basado en un preprint previamente disponible, por medio del reconocimiento de similitud realizado por una máquina. La confirmación humana aún está pendiente.
Ver preprint
ABSTRACT
The within-host viral kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 infection and how they relate to a person's infectiousness are not well understood. This limits our ability to quantify the impact of interventions on viral transmission. Here, we develop viral dynamic models of SARS-CoV-2 infection and fit them to data to estimate key within-host parameters such as the infected cell half-life and the within-host reproductive number. We then develop a model linking viral load (VL) to infectiousness and show a person's infectiousness increases sublinearly with VL and that the logarithm of the VL in the upper respiratory tract is a better surrogate of infectiousness than the VL itself. Using data on VL and the predicted infectiousness, we further incorporated data on antigen and RT-PCR tests and compared their usefulness in detecting infection and preventing transmission. We found that RT-PCR tests perform better than antigen tests assuming equal testing frequency; however, more frequent antigen testing may perform equally well with RT-PCR tests at a lower cost but with many more false-negative tests. Overall, our models provide a quantitative framework for inferring the impact of therapeutics and vaccines that lower VL on the infectiousness of individuals and for evaluating rapid testing strategies.
Palabras clave
Texto completo:
Disponible
Colección:
Bases de datos internacionales
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
SARS-CoV-2
/
COVID-19
Tipo de estudio:
Estudios diagnósticos
/
Estudio experimental
/
Estudio pronóstico
Tópicos:
Vacunas
Límite:
Humanos
Idioma:
Inglés
Año:
2021
Tipo del documento:
Artículo
Similares
MEDLINE
...
LILACS
LIS