Influence of environmental and demographic factors on the transmission and mortality rate of COVID19 in India

ABSTRACT

COVID-2019 has been declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) by the World Health Organization due to the global spread of 2019-nCOV at an exponential rate (WHO). Scientists have hypothesized the reduction in transmission rate at warm and humid environment whereas facilitate rapid transmission at cold and dry environment. Hence in this work, we examine the combined impact of environmental and demographic factors along with the implementation of lockdown by the Government of India on the transmission rate of 2019-nCoV. Our analyses indicated a lower mortality rate in spite of higher population density in India compared to other countries and lower exponential growth factor after lockdown compared to before lockdown. The containment of transmission and mortality rate may be attributed to the favorable environment and median population age, respectively. Even though, to significantly reduce the outbreak, individuals, the media, and healthcare organizations are necessary to work together. © 2023 Author(s).