On the role of financial support programs in mitigating the SARS-CoV-2 spread in Brazil.
BMC Public Health
; 22(1): 1781, 2022 09 20.
Artículo
en Inglés
| MEDLINE | ID: covidwho-2038712
ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND:
During 2020, there were no effective treatments or vaccines against SARS-CoV-2. The most common disease contention measures were social distance (social isolation), the use of face masks and lockdowns. In the beginning, numerous countries have succeeded to control and reduce COVID-19 infections at a high economic cost. Thus, to alleviate such side effects, many countries have implemented socioeconomic programs to fund individuals that lost their jobs and to help endangered businesses to survive.METHODS:
We assess the role of a socioeconomic program, so-called "Auxilio Emergencial" (AE), during 2020 as a measure to mitigate the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in Brazil. For each Brazilian State, we estimate the time-dependent reproduction number from daily reports of COVID-19 infections and deaths using a Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovered-like (SEIR-like) model. Then, we analyse the correlations between the reproduction number, the amount of individuals receiving governmental aid, and the index of social isolation based on mobile phone information.RESULTS:
We observed significant positive correlation values between the average values by the AE and median values of an index accounting for individual mobility. We also observed significantly negative correlation values between the reproduction number and this index on individual mobility. Using the simulations of a susceptible-exposed-infected-removed-like model, if the AE was not operational during the first wave of COVID-19 infections, the accumulated number of infections and deaths could be 6.5 (90% CI 1.3-21) and 7.9 (90% CI 1.5-23) times higher, respectively, in comparison with the actual implementation of AE.CONCLUSIONS:
Our results suggest that the AE implemented in Brazil had a significant influence on social isolation by allowing those in need to stay at home, which would reduce the expected numbers of infections and deaths.Palabras clave
Texto completo:
Disponible
Colección:
Bases de datos internacionales
Base de datos:
MEDLINE
Asunto principal:
SARS-CoV-2
/
COVID-19
Tipo de estudio:
Estudio observacional
/
Estudio pronóstico
Tópicos:
Vacunas
Límite:
Humanos
País/Región como asunto:
America del Sur
/
Brasil
Idioma:
Inglés
Revista:
BMC Public Health
Asunto de la revista:
Salud Pública
Año:
2022
Tipo del documento:
Artículo
País de afiliación:
S12889-022-14155-z
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