Este articulo es un Preprint
Los preprints son informes de investigación preliminares que no han sido certificados por revisión por pares. No deben considerarse para guiar la práctica clínica o los comportamientos relacionados con la salud y no deben publicarse en los medios como información establecida.
Los preprints publicados en línea permiten a los autores recibir comentarios rápidamente, y toda la comunidad científica puede evaluar de forma independiente el trabajo y responder adecuadamente. Estos comentarios se publican junto con los preprints para que cualquiera pueda leer y servir como una revisión pospublicación.
Modelling the effectiveness and social costs of daily lateral flow antigen tests versus quarantine in preventing onward transmission of COVID-19 from traced contacts (preprint)
medrxiv; 2021.
Preprint
en Inglés
| medRxiv | ID: ppzbmed-10.1101.2021.08.06.21261725
ABSTRACT
Quarantining close contacts of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 for 10 to 14 days is a key strategy in reducing transmission. However, quarantine requirements are often unpopular, with low adherence, especially when a large fraction of the population has been vaccinated. Daily contact testing (DCT), in which contacts are required to isolate only if they test positive, is an alternative to quarantine for mitigating the risk of transmission from traced contacts. In this study, we developed an integrated model of COVID-19 transmission dynamics and compared the strategies of quarantine and DCT with regard to reduction in transmission and social/economic costs (days of quarantine/self-isolation). Specifically, we compared 10-day quarantine to 7 days of self-testing using rapid lateral flow antigen tests, starting 3 days after exposure to a case. We modelled both incomplete adherence to quarantine and incomplete adherence to DCT. We found that DCT reduces transmission from contacts with similar effectiveness, at much lower social/economic costs, especially for highly vaccinated populations. The findings were robust across a spectrum of scenarios with varying assumptions on the speed of contact tracing, sensitivity of lateral flow antigen tests, adherence to quarantine and uptake of testing. Daily tests would also allow rapid initiation of a new round of tracing from infected contacts.
Texto completo:
Disponible
Colección:
Preprints
Base de datos:
medRxiv
Asunto principal:
COVID-19
Idioma:
Inglés
Año:
2021
Tipo del documento:
Preprint
Similares
MEDLINE
...
LILACS
LIS