The role of COVID-19 vaccines in preventing post COVID-19 thromboembolic and cardiovascular complications: a multinational cohort study (preprint)

ABSTRACT

ImportanceThe overall effects of vaccination on the risk of cardiac, and venous and arterial thromboembolic complications following COVID-19 remain unclear. ObjectiveWe studied the association between COVID-19 vaccination and the risk of acute and subacute COVID-19 cardiac and thromboembolic complications. DesignMultinational staggered cohort study, based on national vaccination campaign rollouts. SettingNetwork study using electronic health records from primary care records from the UK, primary care data linked to hospital data from Spain, and national insurance claims from Estonia. ParticipantsAll adults with a prior medical history of [≥]180 days, with no history of COVID-19 or previous COVID-19 vaccination at the beginning of vaccine rollout were eligible. ExposureVaccination status was used as a time-varying exposure. Vaccinated individuals were classified by vaccine brand according to the first dose received. Main OutcomesPost COVID-19 complications including myocarditis, pericarditis, arrhythmia, heart failure (HF), venous (VTE) and arterial thromboembolism (ATE) up to 1 year after SARS-CoV-2 infection. MeasuresPropensity Score overlap weighting and empirical calibration based on negative control outcomes were used to minimise bias due to observed and unobserved confounding, respectively. Fine-Gray models were fitted to estimate sub-distribution Hazard Ratios (sHR) for each outcome according to vaccination status. Random effect meta-analyses were conducted across staggered cohorts and databases. ResultsOverall, 10.17 million vaccinated and 10.39 million unvaccinated people were included. Vaccination was consistently associated with reduced risks of acute (30-day) and subacute post COVID-19 VTE and HF e.g., meta-analytic sHR 0.34 (95%CI, 0.27-0.44) and 0.59 (0.50-0.70) respectively for 0-30 days, sHR 0.58 (0.48 - 0.69) and 0.71 (0.59 - 0.85) respectively for 90-180 days post COVID-19. Additionally, reduced risks of ATE, myocarditis/pericarditis and arrhythmia were seen, but mostly in the acute phase (0-30 days post COVID-19). ConclusionsCOVID-19 vaccination reduced the risk of post COVID-19 complications, including cardiac and thromboembolic outcomes. These effects were more pronounced for acute (1-month) post COVID-19 outcomes, consistent with known reductions in disease severity following breakthrough vs unvaccinated SARS-CoV-2 infection. RelevanceThese findings highlight the importance of COVID-19 vaccination to prevent cardiovascular outcomes after COVID-19, beyond respiratory disease. Key PointsO_ST_ABSQuestionC_ST_ABSWhat is the impact of COVID-19 vaccination to prevent cardiac complications and thromboembolic events following a SARS-CoV-2 infection? FindingsResults from this multinational cohort study showed that COVID-19 vaccination reduced risk for acute and subacute COVID-19 heart failure, as well as venous and arterial thromboembolic events following SARS-CoV-2 infection. MeaningThese findings highlight yet another benefit of vaccination against COVID-19, and support the recommendations for COVID-19 vaccination even in people at high cardiovascular risk.