NIH conference. HIV vaccine development: a progress report.

The development of a safe, effective preventive vaccine for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection remains an area of vigorous research. Several highly innovative vaccine candidates are being developed, and more than 13 vaccine candidates have been tested in human phase I or II trials. All have produced antibody and several have produced modest neutralizing titers, but to date no reproducible evidence has suggested prolonged, high-titer neutralization across a diversity of HIV strains. Furthermore, only the live recombinant vector approaches have produced some evidence of cytotoxic T-cell responses. The principal obstacle to progress is the lack of definitive information on what constitutes a protective immune response. There is no animal model for HIV-induced disease. Hence, the identification of the correlates of immunity and more useful animal models is among the highest priorities for HIV vaccine research. Large-scale efficacy trials raise daunting scientific, ethical, and resource issues. Nonetheless, preparation in such trials is underway in order to be in a position to evaluate the most promising vaccine candidate.

Present status and future prospects for HIV therapies.

Since the discovery of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in 1983, significant progress has been made toward the discovery, development, and licensing of anti-HIV drugs. In vitro screens against whole virus are now being complemented by screens against specific viral targets, resulting in the development of clinical candidates acting at several critical stages of the viral life cycle. Despite these advances, clinical therapy remains largely palliative. In addition, it has recently been recognized that HIV resistance to most drugs may pose even greater obstacles. Moreover, emerging data on immunopathogenesis raise the possibility that even if virus was eliminated from an infected individual, the patient's immune system might not be capable of restoration to normal function. In the face of such obstacles, deeper insights into the pathogenic mechanisms of disease, aggressive exploitation of those mechanisms for therapeutic gain, and continued commitment of both public and private sectors to support and collaborate in this research are needed.

HIV vaccine trials: some design issues including sample size calculation.

Anticipating the availability of one or more candidate HIV vaccines for efficacy testing in the next few years, public health agencies are now planning for the conduct of large-scale efficacy trials. We expect these trials to be randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled studies with prevention of infection as the primary goal. We discuss in detail factors that influence sample size. Factors most influential are the incidence rate of HIV infection in the study population and the minimum efficacy at which a vaccine is still considered acceptable. The smaller either of these factors is, the larger the sample size will be. The desire to complete trials quickly, the gradual accrual of benefit from vaccination, the inaccuracies of assays to detect infection, the need to counsel participants to avoid exposure to HIV, and loss to follow-up all tend to drive up sample size. To illustrate, 83 subjects per study arm suffice to detect 90% efficacy in a population with a 7% annual risk of infection. This assumes a 3-year study with accrual completed in 1 year, no loss to follow-up, and Types I and II error rates of 5 and 10%, respectively. In contrast, 4,254 subjects per arm are required to identify a 60% effective vaccine in a population with a 1% annual risk. The study is also shortened to 2 years, assumes a 5% annual loss to follow-up, and supposes that the full benefit of vaccination is achieved in 6 months. The most realistic assumptions indicate that trials are very likely to require several thousand participants. Limitations of the proposed designs are also discussed.

The use of external monitoring committees in clinical trials of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases.

Randomized clinical trials are being conducted and/or sponsored by all scientific divisions of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID). External committees to review the progress of ongoing trials and to make recommendations to the Institute concerning continuation or termination are an integral part of many of these trials. These committees have evolved considerably from the ad hoc committees, called together when a need arose, which were used beginning in the mid 1970s. Currently, there are many monitoring committees operating for NIAID-sponsored trials. They function in a variety of ways, based partially on historical precedent and partially on the specialized requirements of the particular trial; there is no 'standard operating procedure' for the Institute, or even for divisions within the Institute. One of the major issues faced in establishing the data and safety monitoring board for AIDS treatment trials was access to the meetings of this board and to the reports of interim data that the board reviewed. After much discussion, procedures were established that restrict such access to a very limited group of programme and statistical centre staff. These procedures, while remaining controversial, appear necessary to ensure confidentiality and the integrity of the clinical trials process.

Current status of HIV therapy: II. Opportunistic diseases.

Infections and malignancies account for most deaths in patients with AIDS and will continue to do so as long as HIV-induced immunosuppression is progressive and irreversible. Co-trimoxazole has emerged as the preferred agent for prevention of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia. As appropriate broad-spectrum agents are developed, multiple opportunistic pathogen prophylaxis could become effective.

Current status of HIV therapy: I. Antiretroviral agents.

The clinician's armamentarium is no longer limited to zidovudine as the only antiretroviral agent that enhances both quality and length of life. ddI has shown clinical benefit in patients previously treated with zidovudine. Recently, the combination of zidovudine and ddC has been approved on the basis of surrogate marker activity; its clinical role awaits results of ongoing trials.

Current status of HIV therapy: II. Opportunistic diseases.

Infections and malignancies account for most deaths in patients with AIDS--and will continue to do so as long as HIV-induced immunosuppression is progressive and irreversible. Options available for prevention and improved management of such diseases are changing as new agents emerge, new combinations of agents are developed, and new indications for available agents are identified.

Current status of HIV therapy: I. Antiretroviral agents.

Zidovudine has proved to be an important palliative agent in all stages of HIV infection. It delays progression of disease in patients with asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic infection and decreases the frequency and severity of opportunistic disease in those with AIDS. The search for other, more effective antiretroviral agents goes on, with some promising possibilities.

How can epidemiology assist in guiding interventions for the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome/human immunodeficiency virus?

In a single decade, the pandemic of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection has become an international health, social, and economic emergency. Early and effective intervention is urgently needed for both prevention of HIV infection and for the amelioration of clinical disease. Results of therapeutic trials have suggested expanding the population for which chemotherapy is indicated. In this paper, we first review the findings from selected recent drug trials, using zidovudine and pentamidine as examples. We then discuss six issues that we believe to be crucial for future epidemiologic research in the service of vaccine and drug development: 1. To identify which complications of HIV infection most urgently require development of new therapies, we must characterize the frequency and severity of specific medical events (outcomes) in persons taking a variety of treatments. 2. Currently, acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) therapeutic trials gauge the effectiveness of new therapies by their impact on such clinical parameters as the time to development of AIDS or death. These approaches take too long to provide information. We urgently need to identify surrogate markers of clinical outcome that will be useful in the early assessment of treatment efficacy. 3. Progress in vaccine development is being retarded because we do not have enough data from natural history studies on host immunologic responses to suggest that a given response is protective. We therefore need to identify natural correlates of immunity, which can help set priorities in vaccine development. 4. Discovery that a therapy works in the setting of a clinical trial is only a first step in intervention. We must also assess the impact of new therapies on the health of the public, evaluating access to health care, compliance, and other barriers to treatment. 5. Clinical trials are usually associated with the effort to prevent disease in infected persons. However, other trials are needed to assess efforts to interrupt viral transmission through use of condoms, use of virucides, and treatment of sexually transmitted diseases, and by effecting specific behavioral changes. 6. Traditional methods of conducting clinical therapeutic research may not be adequate to address urgent questions in the AIDS/HIV epidemic. We must develop innovative clinical research methods, including better use of data from observational studies, to infer what we can about the effect of treatment on the clinical course.

Hypersensitivity reactions to deoxycoformycin.

Deoxycoformycin (dCF) is a promising new antineoplastic agent in the treatment of lymphoid malignancies, particularly hairy cell leukemia (HCL). Skin toxicity in the form of a maculopapular eruption has previously been reported but has not clearly been associated with idiosyncratic reactions. We present five cases of dCF-related hypersensitivity reactions in which additional systemic manifestations indicated an allergic etiology. The value of dCF in treating lymphoid neoplasms suggests that further study of the treatment of these reactions is indicated.

Pyrazole: preclinical reassessment.

Pyrazole (NSC-45410) is a low molecular weight, heterocyclic compound which has been considered for reevaluation in the clinic as a potential cytotoxic agent (Fig. 1). Discovered in 1893, pyrazole is best known as an inhibitor of liver alcohol dehydrogenase (ki = 0.2 uM), and as a result, has been used extensively in studies of alcohol metabolism. In 1960, pyrazole was identified as being active in preclinical antitumor models, which led to preliminary clinical testing. The early Phase I studies were not followed by disease specific Phase II trials, and the clinical activity of the drug has never been evaluated. This omission was noted by the National Cancer Institute's Project for the Review of Old Drugs (PROD), at which time it was also noted that pyrazole is selectively toxic to thyroid tissue in an animal model. Hence, interest in pyrazole was revived for two reasons: (a) failure to screen it for clinical activity in the 1960's, and (b) current interest in discovering drugs with selective toxicity to specific tissues for evaluation of their activity in malignancies arising in the target tissue. In this review, we summarize the evidence which has accumulated concerning pyrazole's potential role as an anticancer agent.

Development and testing of AIDS vaccines.

Recent advances in delineating the molecular biology of human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) have led to innovative approaches to development of a vaccine for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS). However, the lack of understanding of mechanisms of protective immunity against HIV-1, the magnitude of genetic variation of the virus, and the lack of effective animal models for HIV-1 infection and AIDS have impeded progress. The testing of AIDS vaccines also presents challenges. These include liability concerns over vaccine-related injuries; identification of suitable populations for phase 3 efficacy studies; balancing the ethical obligation to counsel research subjects to avoid high-risk behavior with the necessity to obtain vaccine efficacy data; and the effect of vaccine-induced seroconversion on the recruiting and welfare of trial volunteers. Several candidate AIDS vaccines are nevertheless currently under development, and some are undergoing phase 1 clinical trials. Rapid progress will depend on continued scientific advancement in conjunction with maximum use of resources, open information and reagent exchange, and a spirit of international collaboration.

Deoxycoformycin: an active new drug for indolent lymphomas and hairy cell leukemia.

Promising results in the treatment of indolent lymphomas have been reported with the use of 2'deoxycoformycin. This antimetabolite, an adenosine deaminase inhibitor, also shows particular efficacy in hairy cell leukemia. Of 65 patients treated to date, 44 have achieved complete and lasting remission after a limited course of deoxycoformycin. While results are not as striking as those in hairy cell leukemia, deoxycoformycin may also be a valuable adjunct to alkylating agents in the treatment of CLL. The drug also is being studied in the treatment of mycosis fungoides and other lymphoid neoplasms. Side effects in all neoplasms are dose- and schedule-dependent.

2'-Deoxycoformycin (pentostatin) for lymphoid malignancies. Rational development of an active new drug.

A new antimetabolite, 2'-deoxycoformycin (pentostatin), has striking antitumor activity in several lymphoid neoplasms. Isolated from cultured soil organisms, this purine analogue is a potent inhibitor of adenosine deaminase (ADA), and is thus selectively toxic to lymphocytes. Early clinical trials showed that high doses of pentostatin caused severe and unpredictable toxicity, but responses in refractory lymphoid malignancies were encouraging. Careful pharmacologic studies led to the definition of a safe and effective low weekly dose, at which protracted ADA inhibition occurs in neoplastic cells. The most sensitive tumor identified is hairy cell leukemia, in which durable remissions are achieved in more than 90% of patients with a relatively brief course of treatment. Other responsive diseases include chronic lymphocytic leukemia, prolymphocytic leukemia, mycosis fungoides, and acute T-cell lymphoma or leukemia. Response has been seen in acute lymphocytic leukemia, but the higher doses required are substantially more toxic. Pentostatin is valuable for treatment of indolent lymphoid malignancies and may be useful in non-cancer-related lymphocyte research.

N-methylformamide: cytotoxic, radiosensitizer, or chemosensitizer.

N-methylformamide (NMF), a polar solvent, is currently being evaluated by the National Cancer Institute (NCI) as an antineoplastic agent because of its activity against colon, mammary, and lung tumor xenografts. Results from preclinical studies suggest that it has radiosensitizing, chemosensitizing, and differentiating activity. Its mechanism of action remains unknown, but may involve cellular depletion of glutathione, cell membrane changes, or modulation of proto-oncogene expression. Preclinical toxicology studies conducted in mice, rats, and beagle dogs showed reversible hepatotoxicity to be dose-limiting. Clinically, NMF is administered both orally and by intravenous (IV) injection. The bioavailability with oral administration is 90% to 95%. The highest reported plasma concentration of NMF is approximately 4 mmol/L in a patient who received a dose of 2,000 mg/m2 of IV NMF. Biphasic elimination with IV NMF is seen on both the daily for five days and weekly for 3 weeks schedule. Approximately 5% to 7% of the total administered IV dose is excreted in the urine. In phase I studies, dose-limiting toxicities included reversible hepatotoxicity, a generalized malaise syndrome, and nausea and vomiting. One partial response has been reported in the 111 patients treated on phase II trials in colorectal, head and neck, and renal carcinomas. Suggestions for the future development of this drug are presented.

Teniposide in the treatment of leukemia: a case study of conflicting priorities in the development of drugs for fatal diseases.

Teniposide, a semisynthetic epipodophyllotoxin, was found to be highly active against murine leukemias, and the combination of teniposide with cytosine arabinoside (ara-C) was curative in murine leukemia models. The antitumor activity in preclinical models prompted introduction of teniposide into the clinic in 1971. Although teniposide as a single agent rarely produced a complete remission in heavily pretreated leukemia patients, teniposide plus ara-C produced complete remissions in some patients with refractory and relapsed acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). Innovative front-line and salvage regimens using teniposide have been developed that incorporate a multi-drug strategy with early intensification, rotation of drug combinations in maintenance, and regional therapy in an effort to improve the cure rate in leukemia. However, as the complexity of these regimens increases, the contribution of an individual component such as teniposide becomes less clear. Although some of these regimens for newly diagnosed and relapsed ALL are now thought to represent the best available therapy, teniposide remains an investigational agent. In this review, we outline and discuss the conflicts arising from the need to answer drug-specific issues, and, at the same time, facilitate the implementation of innovative, curative regimens.