ABSTRACT
BACKGROUND: Cuenca, a city in the Andean Region of southern Ecuador, has 591,996 inhabitants. A decade-old study showed the prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Cuenca was 0.75 cases per 100,000 inhabitants but no new epidemiological studies in this city have been performed since then. The aim of this study, conducted in 2016, was to update the prevalence records of multiple sclerosis in Cuenca. METHODS: We performed a descriptive cross-sectional study in which we investigated prevalence rates in November of 2016. We estimated the prevalence of multiple sclerosis by cross-matching registries from the two neurological referral hospitals in Cuenca. RESULTS: A total of 23 records were obtained from the two sources. The estimated prevalence was 3.88 per 100,000 inhabitants (95% confidence interval: 3.83-3.94). The disease was predominant among women (60%). The mean age of this cohort was 37 years (standard deviation ±12.4). Of the cases, 78% were relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis. The mean Expanded Disability Status Scale score was 2.5. CONCLUSIONS: This study is an update to the first study conducted 10 years ago and shows the prevalence of multiple sclerosis in Cuenca has increased. However, the prevalence of multiple sclerosis is still low and very similar to that reported in neighbouring countries.
ABSTRACT
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the usefulness of a questionnaire in primary health care services for establishing the diagnosis of epilepsy in children from 1 to 10 years old and for classifying their epileptic seizures. METHODS: This cross-sectional observational study was conducted in 2004. There were 204 children in the study (102 diagnosed with epilepsy and 102 without epilepsy). The children were randomly selected at the Regional Center of Epilepsies and the Vincent Corral Moscoso Hospital, which are both in the city of Cuenca, Ecuador. For the study, each child with epilepsy was matched with a child without epilepsy, in two age groups: 1 to 5 years old and 6 to 10 years old. Four students who were in their last academic year in the School of Medicine of Cuenca and who did not know the child's diagnosis utilized the questionnaire with a family member or other guardian of the child. The validity, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the questionnaire were calculated, with 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs). The clinical diagnosis carried out by specialists was used as the gold standard. RESULTS: The assessment showed that the questionnaire had good sensitivity (95.10%; 95% CI: 94.58%-95.61%) and good specificity (97.06%; 95% CI: 96.58%-97.59%). Validity was 96.08% (95% CI: 95.84%-96.36%), with a positive predictive value of 97.00% (95% CI: 96.48%-97.52%) and a negative predictive value of 95.19% (95% CI: 94.74%-95.74%). The level of agreement in the classification of the epileptic seizures carried out by the neurologists and by the medical students who used the questionnaire was satisfactory for the generalized seizures (kappa = 0.67). Upon testing for interobserver agreement among the specialists, the kappa value for the diagnoses was 0.80 among the neurologists and 0.89 among the pediatricians. CONCLUSIONS: The diagnostic questionnaire that was assessed has good sensitivity and adequate specificity, and, after brief training, primary health care general practitioners can use it to help them diagnose epileptic seizures.
Subject(s)
Epilepsy/classification , Epilepsy/diagnosis , Surveys and Questionnaires , Child , Child, Preschool , Confidence Intervals , Cross-Sectional Studies , Ecuador , Family Practice , Humans , Infant , Observer Variation , Primary Health Care , Reproducibility of Results , Sensitivity and Specificity , Time FactorsSubject(s)
Epilepsy , Early Diagnosis , Child , Surveys and Questionnaires , Primary Health Care , EcuadorABSTRACT
OBJETIVOS: Evaluar la utilidad de un cuestionario para establecer el diagnóstico de epilepsia en niños de 1 a 10 años de edad y clasificar las crisis epilépticas en los servicios de atención primaria. MÉTODOS: Estudio observacional transversal; participaron 204 niños de 1 a 10 años de edad (102 con diagnóstico de epilepsia y 102 sin epilepsia) escogidos al azar en el Centro Regional de Epilepsias y en el Hospital Vicente Corral Moscoso, ambos de la ciudad de Cuenca, Ecuador. Los niños fueron pareados por grupos de edad (de 1 a 5 y de 6 a 10 años). Cuatro estudiantes del último año de la Escuela de Medicina de esa ciudad que desconocían el diagnóstico del niño aplicaron el cuestionario a un familiar del niño o a su representante. Se evaluó el grado de discriminación diagnóstica (validez) del cuestionario, la sensibilidad, la especificidad y el valor diagnóstico de un resultado positivo o negativo, con un intervalo de confianza de 95 por ciento (IC95 por ciento). Como criterio de referencia se utilizó el diagnóstico clínico emitido por especialistas. RESULTADOS: La evaluación realizada demostró que el cuestionario de diagnóstico estudiado tiene buena sensibilidad (95,10 por ciento; IC95 por ciento: 94,58 a 95,61) y especificidad (97,06 por ciento; IC95 por ciento: 96,58 a 97,59). El índice de validez fue de 96,08 (IC95 por ciento: 95,84 a 96,36), con un valor pronóstico de un resultado positivo de 97,00 por ciento (IC95 por ciento: 96,48 a 97,52) y un valor pronóstico de un resultado negativo de 95,19 por ciento (IC95 por ciento: 94,74 a 95,74). El grado de concordancia de la clasificación de las crisis epilépticas realizadas por los neurólogos y los estudiantes de medicina que utilizaron el cuestionario fue satisfactorio para las crisis generalizadas (índice k: 0,67). Según la prueba de reproducibilidad de resultados entre observadores, el índice k para el diagnóstico de los neurólogos fue de 0,80 y para el diagnóstico de los pediatras de 0,89. CONCLUSIONES: El cuestionario de diagnóstico evaluado posee una buena sensibilidad y una adecuada especificidad y puede ayudar a los médicos generales, después de un breve entrenamiento, a diagnosticar las crisis epilépticas en los servicios de atención primaria.
