Prognostic awareness and prognostic information preferences among advanced cancer patients in Kenya

Background: Cancer is the third leading cause of death in Kenya. Yet, little is known about prognostic awareness and preferences for prognostic information. Aim: To assess the prevalence of prognostic awareness and preference for prognostic information among advanced cancer patients in Kenya. Setting: Outpatient medical oncology and palliative care clinics and inpatient medical and surgical wards of Moi Teaching and Referral Hospital (MTRH) in Eldoret, Kenya. Methods: The authors surveyed 207 adults with advanced solid cancers. The survey comprised validated measures developed for a multi-site study of end-of-life care in advanced cancer patients. Outcome variables included prognostic awareness and preference for prognostic information. Results: More than one-third of participants (36%) were unaware of their prognosis and most (67%) preferred not to receive prognostic information. Increased age (OR = 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.07) and education level (OR: 1.18, CI: 1.08, 1.30) were associated with a higher likelihood of preference to receive prognostic information, while increased symptom burden (OR= 0.94, CI: 0.90, 0.99) and higher perceived household income levels (lower-middle vs low: OR= 0.19; CI: 0.09, 0.44; and upper middle- or high vs low: OR= 0.22, CI: 0.09, 0.56) were associated with lower odds of preferring prognostic information. Conclusion: Results reveal low levels of prognostic awareness and little interest in receiving prognostic information among advanced cancer patients in Kenya. Contribution: Given the important role of prognostic awareness in providing patient-centred care, efforts to educate patients in Kenya on the value of this information should be a priority, especially among younger patients.

Causes de décès au service de médecine de l'hôpital régional de Sikasso / Causes of death in the medicine department of the regional hospital of Sikasso

Les causes de décès revêtent une grande importance dans l'évaluation de l'état de santé de la population et de la qualité des soins. Leur étude pourrait orienter les politiques de santé visant à accroître l'espérance de vie. Objectifs : C'était de déterminer les causes de mort ; d'étudier les caractéristiques sociodémographiques des défunts. Matériels et méthodes : Il s'agissait d'une étude rétrospective et descriptive portant sur tous les décès survenus dans le service de Médecine de l'hôpital de Sikasso de Janvier 2018 à Décembre 2020. Résultats : Parmi 265 décès recensés, l'âge moyen était de 45,12±17,5 ans. Le sex-ratio était de 1,59. Il s'agissait en majorité de citadins et 51,64% résidaient à Sikasso ville. La durée moyenne d'hospitalisation était 7,09 ± 6,38 jours. L'insuffisance rénale constituait le 1er motif d'hospitalisation. L'infection à VIH était la 1ère cause de décès (29,8%), suivie de l'insuffisance rénale (24,2%). Le sexe masculin était majoritaire dans toutes les causes de décès hormis l'infection à VIH et l'anémie. Les décès liés à l'insuffisance rénale ont quintuplé de 2018 à 2020. Conclusion : Les décès liés au VIH/SIDA reste en tête malgré leur forte réduction ; ceux liés à l'insuffisance rénale ont quintuplé

The causes of death are of great importance in assessing the health status of the population and care'squality. Their study could guide health policies aimed at increasing life expectancy. Objectives: It was to determine the causes of death; to study the socio-demographic characteristics of deceased. Materials and methods: This was a retrospective and descriptive study of all deaths that occurred in the Medical Department of Sikasso Hospital from January 2018 to December 2020. Results: Among 265 deaths recorded, the mean age was 45.12 ± 17.5 years. The sex ratio was 1.59. They were mostly city dwellers and 51.64% lived in Sikasso city. The mean length of hospitalization was 7.09 ± 6.38 days. Kidney failure was the first reason for hospitalization. HIV infection was the leading cause of death (29.8%), followed by renal failure (24.2%). The male sex was predominant in all causes of death except HIV infection and anemia. Deaths linked to kidney failure have increased fivefold from 2018 to 2020. Conclusion: Deaths related to HIV/AIDS remain in the lead despite their strong reduction; those related to kidney failure have increased fivefold

Tendance de la mortalité maternelle au Centre Hospitalo-Universitaire de Constantine entre 2012 et 2017 / Trend in maternal mortality at Constantine University Hospital between 2012 and 2017

Contexte et objectifs. Les données sur la tendance de la mortalité maternelle sont fragmentaires en Afrique Subsaharienne. La présente étude avait pour objectif de faire une analyse triennale de l'évolution du taux de mortalité maternelle et identifier les causes de décès. Méthodes : Il s'agissait d'une étude observationnelle documentaire, sur la mortalité maternelle enregistrée ; au Centre hospitalo universitaire de Constantine, entre le 1er Janvier 2012 et le 31 Décembre 2017. Résultats. Soixante-dix décès maternels ont été déplorés. Le taux de mortalité maternelle est de 101,3 décès pour 100 000 naissances vivantes. Les hémorragies obstétricales et les complications hypertensives de la grossesse sont les premières causes de mortalité. L'analyse des données triennales met en évidence une baisse importante de la mortalité par hémorragie et par complications de l'anesthésie. Conclusion. Cette étude a permis de dresser un profil des causes de la mortalité maternelle dont les niveaux restent inquiétants et requièrent une action globale.

Contributory factors to early neonatal deaths in the Upper East Regional Hospital in Ghana

Objective: This study examined factors identified during early neonatal death audits contributing to preventable newborn deaths at the Upper East Regional Hospital. Method: Data for this study was collected retrospectively from perinatal death audit forms using three data collectors. Data collection lasted two weeks, from 18th June to 2nd July 2021. The data collectors submitted 113 filled hard copy data collection forms. This was then entered into a designed Excel sheet and exported to STATA software version 15.0 for analysis. The analysis was descriptive statistics with cross-tabulation. The results were presented in charts and tables focusing on percentages. Results: Most of the 113 neonatal deaths were from birth asphyxia (63%). Forty-six (40.7%) of the deaths occurred within 24 hrs after birth. There were 38 factors reported 254 times in the audits as contributory to all the newborn deaths; 17 health personnel-related factors stated 141 (55.5%) times, four transportation and communication-related factors stated 43 (16.9%) times, seven health facility factors stated 31 (12.2%) times. Inappropriate care during transportation to the regional hospital was reported most - 21 times, followed by delay in referral - 18 times. Conclusion: The study identified many factors, such as medical personnel-related factors, transportation and communication factors, family-related factors, and health facility administration factors, contributing to early neonatal deaths. Effective implementation of neonatal death audit-based recommendations arising from these contributory factors is critical to preventing avoidable newborn deaths.

Causes de décès en milieu de réanimation polyvalente au Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Analakininina, Madagascar / Causes of death in the intensive care unit Of the Analakininina teaching hospital, Madagascar

Background: Intensive Care Unit unit is taking care the serious patients whose vital prognosis is engaged. Death remains the main fear of those patients who are admitted to intensive care. The main objective of our study was to identify the causes of death in the intensive care unit at the Analakininina teaching hospital, Toamasina, madagascar. Methods: This was a descriptive, retrospective study carried out from January 1, 2019 to June 30, 2019. Results: We had identified 110 cases of death with a high male prevalence and a sex ratio of 1.75. The average age was 48.73 +/- 17.60 years. The main reason for admission was disturbance of consciousness in 63.64% of cases with 24.45% of severe coma. Regarding the causes of death, a total of 25 diagnosis were made. The shock states represented 30% of the causes of death of which 69% were septic, 18% cardiogenic and 15.15% hypovolemic. Next, stroke accounted for 28%, cerebral malaria 7.27% and diabetic coma accounted for 5.45% of causes of death. The average length of hospital stay was 1.91 days. Conclusion: Our study provides a better understanding of the causes of death of patients in the intensive care unit. These data can point towards initiatives to improve the quality of care

Surveillance on pediatric bacterial meningitis in Gondar University Hospital, Ethiopia from 2012 to 2021: Retrospective analysis

Introduction: Acute Bacterial meningitis is still a major cause of death in under-five children. Surveillance on Pediatric Bacterial Meningitis has been set up by the World Health Organization to generate data on vaccine preventable causes of Meningitis in under-five children. Ethiopia is one of the countries conducting the surveillance and Gondar University Hospital is one of the sentinel surveillance sites. In this study we described the epidemiological data on Bacterial meningitis in under-five children at Gondar University Hospital from 2012-2021. Methods: Data were extracted directly from Gondar University Hospital surveillance database collected from under-five children admitted to the Hospital with suspected meningitis from January 1st, 2012 to December 31st , 2021. Socio-demographic and clinical characteristics were collected using standard pretested questioners. All under-five children with suspected meningitis over the 10-years period were included and descriptive statistics like frequency, percentage, mean, median and standard deviations were used for the characteristics of under-five Children with Suspected Bacterial Meningitis. Results: In this study, a total of 4311 under-five admitted with suspected bacterial meningitis from 2012 to 2021 were enrolled. The majority, 71% of suspected meningitis were reported in infants. The mortality rate in suspected meningitis during the study period was 1%. The majority (92.4 %) had fever at presentation followed by seizure (62.7 %), altered consciousness (58.9 %) and bulged fontanel in 48.3 %, respectively. The commonest bacteria identified by CSF culture and Polymerase Chain Reaction was Streptococcus pneumonia (SPN). There was a reduction of confirmed meningitis cases from 2012 to 2021 (26 cases in 2012 and 6cases in 2021). Conclusions: Streptococcus pneumoniae was the commonest cause of PBM. Bacterial detection by culture was low which showed that Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) test should be encouraged to improve bacterial detection.

Mortalité maternelle chez les adolescentes au service de Gynécologie-Obstétrique de l'Hôpital National Ignace Deen / Maternal mortality among adolescents in the Gynecology-Obstetrics department of Ignace Deen National Hospital

Introduction. L'objectif de cette étude était de contribuer à l'étude de la mortalité maternelle chez les adolescentes. Méthodes. Il s'agissait d'une étude retro-prospective descriptive et analytique cas témoin, d'une durée de trois ans. La collecte rétrospective avait porté sur deux (2) ans allant du 1er Janvier 2018 au 31 Décembre 2019 et celle prospective sur un (1) an allant du 1er Janvier 2020 au 31 Décembre 2020. Résultats. Durant la période d'étude nous avons enregistré 38 cas de décès maternels sur 16175 naissances vivantes soit un ratio de 235 décès pour 100000 naissances vivantes. Le décès concerne l'adolescente de 18-19 ans (65,8%), mariée (63,2%), non scolarisé (42,1%), et nullipare (65,8%). La majorité des adolescentes avait effectué 1-3 CPN (44,7%), et provenait d'une maternité périphérique (84,2%) et avait accouché par voie basse (78,4%). Le moyen de transport le plus utilisé était le transport en commun (63,2%). La cause de décès était dominée par l'hémorragie (44,7%). Le post-partum a été la période la plus pourvoyeuse de décès (52,6%). Conclusion. La mortalité maternelle constitue un problème de santé majeure dans notre pays, sa réduction nécessite la mobilisation de tous les acteurs de la société et implique une bonne éducation pour la santé, l'amélioration de la qualité du suivi prénatal et celle des soins obstétricaux d'urgence.

Introduction. The objective of this study was to contribute to the study of adolescent maternal mortality. Methods. This was a retrospective descriptive and analytical case-control study, lasting three years. The retrospective data collection covered two (2) years from January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2019 and the prospective one over one (1) year from January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020. Results. During the study period we recorded 38 cases of maternal deaths out of 16,175 live births, ie a ratio of 235 deaths per 100,000 live births. The death concerns an adolescent girl aged 18-19 (65.8%), married (63.2%), out of school (42.1%), and nulliparous (65.8%). The majority of adolescent girls had performed 1-3 ANC (44.7%), and had come from a peripheral maternity hospital (84.2%) and had given birth vaginally (78.4%). The most used mode of transportation was public transit (63.2%) The cause of death was dominated by hemorrhage (44.7%). The postpartum period was the most significant period of death (52.6%). Conclusion: Maternal mortality is a major health problem in our country, its reduction requires the mobilization of all actors in society and involves good health education, improving the quality of prenatal care and that of obstetric care emergency

Causes of death and post-mortem testing for SARS-CoV-2 in a tertiary hospital during the COVID-19 pandemic in Ghana

Background: Causes of death during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic ranhttp://crossmark.crossref.org/dialog/?doi=10.4102/ajlm.v11i1.1766=pdf&date_stamp=2022-11-23ge from direct consequences of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection to deaths unrelated to SARS-CoV-2. Another feature of the pandemic is the post-mortem testing for SARS-CoV-2. Understanding these aspects of COVID-19 are essential in planning and limiting the impact of SARS-CoV-2 virus on healthcare systems. Objective: This study investigated the underlying causes of death and the presence of SARS-CoV-2 in bodies received at the 37 Military Hospital, Accra, Ghana, during the COVID-19 pandemic. Methods: The study was conducted from 4­27 May 2020. Deceased patients that met the inclusion criteria were prospectively selected during the expanded surveillance period for SARS-CoV-2 testing, autopsy and determination of underlying and immediate cause of death. Results: A total of 161 deceased patients were analysed with 53 autopsies. The overall positive test rate for SARS-CoV-2 was 14.9% (24/161 patients), with a positive rate of 5.0% (8/161 patients) for nasopharyngeal samples and 30.2% (16/161 patients) for bronchopulmonary samples. The underlying causes of death were not related to SARS-CoV-2 infection in 85.1% (137/161) of patients, SARS-CoV-2-associated 12.4% (20/161) and SARS-CoV-2-induced in 2.5% (4/161). Cardiovascular complications formed the most common cause of death in patients with or without SARS-CoV-2. Conclusion: There was a high positive rate of SARS-CoV-2 in post-mortem cases. However, most deaths were not caused by SARS-CoV-2 but by cardiovascular complications. The high rate of bronchopulmonary positive results for SARS-CoV-2 requires that autopsies be done in suspicious cases with negative nasopharyngeal sampling.

The profile and causes of death among medical doctors and dental surgeons in Uganda: 1986 to 2016

Background: The loss of health workers through death is of great importance and interest to the public, media and the medical profession as it has very profound social and professional consequences on the delivery of health services. Objective: To describe the profile, causes and patterns of death among medical doctors and dental surgeons in Uganda between 1986 and 2016. Methods: We conducted a retrospective descriptive study of mortality among registered medical doctors and dental surgeons. Information on each case was collected using a standard questionnaire and analyzed. Cause of death was determined using pathology reports, and if unavailable, verbal autopsies. We summarized our findings across decades using means and standard deviations, proportions and line graphs as appropriate. Cuzick's test for trend was used to assess crude change in characteristics across the three decades. To estimate the change in deaths across decades adjusted for age and sex, we fit a logistic regression model, and used the margins command with a dy/dx option. All analyses were done in Stata version 14.0 (Stata Corp, College Station, TX). Results: There were 489 deaths registered between 1986 and 2016. Of these, 59 (12.1%) were female. The mean age at death was 48.8 years (Standard Deviation (SD) 15.1) among male and 40.1 years (SD 12.8) among females. We ascertained the cause of death for 468/489 (95.7%). The most common causes of death were HIV/AIDS (218/468, 46.6%), cancer (68/468, 14.5%), non-communicable diseases (62/48, 13.3%), alcohol related deaths (36, 7.7%), road traffic accidents (34, 7.3%), gunshots (11, 2.4%), among others. After adjusting for age and sex, HIV/AIDs attributable deaths decreased by 33 percentage points between the decade of 1986 to1995 and that of 2006 to 2016 ­0.33 (­0.44, ­0.21. During the same period, cancer attributable deaths increased by 13 percentage periods 0.13 (0.05,0.20). Conclusion: The main causes of death were HIV/AIDS, cancer, non-communicable diseases, alcohol-related diseases and road traffic accidents. There was a general downward trend in the HIV/AIDS related deaths and a general upward trend in cancer related deaths. Doctors should be targeted for preventive and support services especially for both communicable and non-communicable diseases

Medico-social characteristics of patients with eclampsia in a metropolitan hospital in North western Nigeria: is there a changing pattern?

Background: Eclampsia is a recognized cause of maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality in North western Nigeria. It's a preventable obstetrics calamity were adequate antenatal care services are provided. Objective: To review medico-social characteristics of patients with eclampsia at a metropolitan Specialist Hospital in North-western Nigeria. Methodology: Eighty consecutive patients that presented with eclampsia at Murtala Mohammed Specialist Hospital were recruited for the study from 1st December, 2016 to 28th February, 2017. Data were collected using structured questionnaire, administered by research assistants. Information obtained included sociodemographic data, duration of fits before presentation and maternal-fetal outcome. Results: A total of 1931 patients delivered within the study period, among them 80 had eclampsia. This gives an incidence of 4.0%. Teenage pregnancy accounted for 35%. Forty-nine patients (61.2%) were primigravidae and up to 95% were booked. Majority of the patients 40(50%) had antepartum eclampsia while only 10(12.5%) had postpartum eclampsia. Most of the patients (73.8%) presented within 12 hours of convulsions and (87%) had vaginal delivery. There were 3 maternal deaths with case fatality rate of 3.8%. Live birth was achieved in 65%. Fresh still birth and Macerated still births were recorded in 20% and 12.5% respectively. Conclusion: The incidence of eclampsia is still high despite introduction of free maternity care services. Socio medical factors and poor quality of Antenatal Care services may be the contributing factors to development of eclampsia. There is need to review and improve the quality of antenatal care services offered at the primary health care centers

An autopsy study of pattern and yearly trend of homicide in Warri, Nigeria

Background: Homicide is a common cause of unnatural death and an index of the level of security of the state. The aim of this study was to analyze all autopsied unnatural homicide cases in Warri, Nigeria from 2003 to 2016 with emphasis on age, sex, regional distribution of injury, and circumstance of death. Materials and Methods: Six hundred and seventy-four cases were studied and relevant information extracted from police and autopsy records. These information were analyzed using SPSS 21. Results: Unnatural homicide cases accounted for 69.1% of 975 medicolegal deaths autopsied in this region, with a male to female distribution of 14:1. The mean age of the victims was 33.2 years with the highest incidence occurring in the 3rd decade. Firearms, sharp weapons, blunt weapons, suffocation, and burning were the methods used in 426 (63.2%), 162 (24.0%), 73 (10.8%), 11 (1.7%), and 2 (0.3%) cases, respectively. The chest, the head, and the neck were the most common parts of the body affected representing 275 (40.8%), 162 (24%), and 52 (7.7%) of cases. Conclusion: Unnatural death as a result of homicide is very common in the study area and mainly perpetrated using firearms and sharps with young males being the most vulnerable age group. The head, chest, and neck are more commonly affected regions of the body

Validation of verbal autopsy methods for assessment of child mortality in sub-Saharan Africa and the policy implication: a rapid review

Reliable data on the cause of child death is the cornerstone for evidence-informed health policy making towards improving child health outcomes. Unfortunately, accurate data on cause of death is essentially lacking in most countries of sub-Saharan Africa due to the widespread absence of functional Civil Registration and Vital Statistics (CRVS) systems. To address this problem, verbal autopsy (VA) has gained prominence as a strategy for obtaining Cause of Death (COD) information in populations where CRVS are absent. This study reviewed publications that investigated the validation of VA methods for assessment of COD. A MEDLINE PubMed search was undertaken in June 2018 for studies published in English that investigated the validation of VA methods in sub-Saharan Africa from 1990-2018. Of the 17 studies identified, 9 fulfilled the study inclusion criteria from which additional five relevant studies were found by reviewing their references. The result showed that Physician-Certified Verbal Autopsy (PCVA) was the most widely used VA method. Validation studies comparing PCVA to hospital records, expert algorithm and Inter VA demonstrated mixed and highly varied outcomes. The accuracy and reliability of the VA methods depended on level of healthcare the respondents have access to and the knowledge of the physicians on the local disease aetiology and epidemiology. As the countries in sub-Saharan Africa continue to battle with dysfunctional CRVS system, VA will remain the only viable option for the supply of child mortality data necessary for policy making

Postmortem forensic imaging: An essential tool in contentious cases

Background: Traditional autopsy (TA) is employed towards determining the cause and manner of death. Over the last decade, virtual autopsy (VA), involving the application of forensic imaging techniques have gained prominence and, with great precision in developed countries. Aim: This is to compare the findings at post-mortem using forensic imaging techniques and, those of TA. Materials and Methods: Post-mortem CT-Scan and MRI techniques were employed in the present case and for the first time in Nigeria, to identify the fatal injuries and determine their causation. The examination was done prior to the TA; the latter was done by a team of pathologists without the prior knowledge of the imaging findings. The results, using both methods, were subsequently compared. Results: Most of the VA and TA findings were the same except for the areas that were not readily accessible to the pathology team because of prior embalmment of the body. The inexperience of the radiologist in the area of post-mortem forensic imaging also contributed to the few discrepancies. Conclusion: This is the first virtopsy to be conducted in Nigeria and, with impressive results. The findings compare favourably with those of TA and, have the added advantage of identifying minor injuries that might easily be missed using TA method. Success is however hinged on the expertise of the forensic radiologist and forensic pathologist. While VA can be employed to solve the problems of religious opposition to TA, the cost of the former is astronomical

Applying the international classification of diseases to perinatal mortality data, South Africa

Objective:To examine the feasibility of applying the International Classification of Diseases-perinatal mortality (ICD-PM) coding to an existing data set in the classification of perinatal deaths.Methods One author, a researcher with a non-clinical public health background, applied the ICD-PM coding system to South Africa's national perinatal mortality audit system, the Perinatal Problem Identification Program. The database for this study included all perinatal deaths (n=26 810), defined as either stillbirths (of birth weight >1000 g and after 28 weeks of gestation) or early neonatal deaths (age 0­7 days), that occurred between 1 October 2013 and 31 December 2016. A clinical obstetrician verified the coding. Findings The South African classification system does not include the timing of death; however, under the ICD-PM system, deaths could be classified as antepartum (n=15 619; 58.2%), intrapartum (n=3725; 14.0%) or neonatal (n=7466; 27.8%). Further, the South African classification system linked a maternal condition to only 40.3% (10 802/26 810) of all perinatal deaths; this proportion increased to 68.9% (18 467/26 810) under the ICD-PM system. Conclusion The main benefit of using the clinically relevant and user-friendly ICD-PM system was an enhanced understanding of the data, in terms of both timing of death and maternal conditions. We have also demonstrated that it is feasible to convert an existing perinatal mortality classification system to one which is globally comparable and can inform policy-makers internationally

Mortalité pédiatrique au Centre Hospitalier Régional de Saint-Louis (Sénégal)

Introduction : La mortalité infantile notamment la mortalité infanto-juvénile demeure encore élevée en Afrique sub-saharienne malgré une baisse considérable. Les objectifs de notre étude étaient d'évaluer la mortalité hospitalière globale et spécifique en fonction des tranches d'âge (nouveau-né, enfants de moins de 5 ans et enfants âgés de 5 ans et plus) et d'identifier les principaux facteurs de mortalité dans ces différents âges. Matériel et méthodes : Il s'agissait d'une étude rétrospective, descriptive et analytique allant du 1er janvier 2015 au 31 décembre 2015. Elle portait sur l'exploitation des registres de consultation, d'hospitalisation et sur l'analyse des dossiers des enfants décédés âgés de 0 à 15 ans Résultats : Durant l'année 2015, le service avait enregistré 6487 consultations et le nombre d'hospitalisations s'élevait à 2458 enfants. Le nombre de décès enregistré était de 212, mais seuls 193 dossiers d'enfants décédés ont été colligés, le reste des dossiers n'a pas été retrouvés. La mortalité hospitalière globale était de 8,6% et la mortalité spécifique en fonction des tranches d'âge montrait une surmortalité néonatale de 13,9%, une mortalité infanto-juvénile de 8,6% et une mortalité chez les enfants de plus de 5 ans de 3,5%. Les facteurs de mortalité chez les nouveau-nés étaient dominés par la prématurité 32,5%, suivie par la Souffrance Néonatale (SNN) 27,1% et les infections néonatales (INN) 22,4%. Chez les enfants d'un mois à 5 ans, les facteurs de mortalité prédominants étaient la Malnutrition Aiguë Sévère (MAS) compliquée 30%, les Infections Respiratoires Aiguës (IRA) 30% et les méningites purulentes 14%. Conclusion : La réduction de la mortalité néonatale et infanto-juvénile dans notre contexte doit passer par le recrutement en personnels qualifiés (pédiatres, obstétriciens, sages-femmes…), la création d'unité de néonatologie au niveau des EPS de niveau 1, le relèvement du plateau technique des structures hospitalières et la lutte contre la pauvreté et l'amélioration du niveau de vie des populations

Comparison of statistical models used for assessing factors associated with infant mortality in Nigeria

Background: Infant mortality is a public health concern especially in developing countries, particularly Nigeria. Different models had been used independently to identify factors associated with infant mortality. Some of the used models sometimes violate the underlying assumption for the models. This study was designed to compare the models that have been previously used and identify the appropriate model using standard model selection criteria to analyse risk factors for infant mortality in Nigeria.Methods: The study utilised 2008 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) data with a sample size of 7107. The NDHS was a stratified two-stage cluster design where a questionnaire was used to collect data on the birth history of women aged 15-49 years. The models employed for this study were: Logit, Probit and Clog-log. The model selection criteria were Akaike Information Criterion (AIC), Residual Deviance and Vuong test. The model with the smallest criteria was considered to be the best fit.Results: The results showed that Infant Mortality in Nigeria can be appropriately modelled by Clog-log model. The models and corresponding AIC values were: Logit (6171.1), Probit (6212.6) and Clog-log (6126.6). The residual deviance included: Logit (6135.1), Probit (6176.6) and Clog-log (6090.6). Clog-log had the smallest AIC and residual deviance values; hence, it was of the best fit. Home delivery and delivery by professionals had negative significant associations with infant mortality while women's education (primary/no education) and birth order had positive significant association, (p < 0.05). Conclusion: The best model for infant mortality evaluation in Nigeria was Clog-log. Generally, improved women's education would significantly reduce Infant Mortality in Nigeria

Where do Children Die and what are the Causes? Under-5 Deaths in the Metro West Geographical Service Area of the Western Cape; South Africa; 2011

BACKGROUND:Accurate child mortality data are essential to plan health interventions to reduce child deaths.OBJECTIVES:To review the deaths of children aged etlt;5 years during 2011 in the Metro West geographical service area (GSA) of the Western Cape Province (WC); South Africa; from routine data sources.METHODSA retrospective study of under-5 deaths in the Metro West GSA was done using the WC Local Mortality Surveillance System (LMSS); the Child Healthcare Problem Identification Programme (Child PIP) and the Perinatal Problem Identification Programme (PPIP); and linking where possible.RESULTS:The LMSS reported 700 under-5 deaths; Child PIP 99 and PPIP 252; with an under-5 mortality rate of 18 deaths per 1 000 live births. The leading causes of death were pneumonia (25%); gastroenteritis (10%); prematurity (9%) and injuries (9%). There were 316 in-hospital deaths (45%) and 384 out-of-hospital deaths (55%). Among children aged etlt;1 year; there were significantly more pneumonia deaths out of hospital than in hospital (144 (49%) v. 16 (6%); petlt;0.001). Among children aged 1 - 4 years there were significantly more injury-related deaths out of hospital than in hospital (43 (47%) v. 4 (9%); petlt;0.001). In 56 (15%) of the cases of out-of-hospital death the child had visited a public healthcare facility within 1 week of death. Thirty-six (64%) of these children had died of pneumonia orgastroenteritis. CONCLUSIONS:Health interventions targeted at reducing under-5 deaths from pneumonia; gastroenteritis; prematurity and injuries need to be implemented across the service delivery platform in the Metro West GSA. It is important to consider all routine data sources in the evaluation of child mortality

La mortalité maternelle à l'hôpital régional de Kindia : facteurs épidémiologiques et axes stratégiques d'intervention

Objectifs. Calculer le ratio de la mortalité maternelle, identifier les caractéristiques épidémiologiques et proposer des axes stratégiques d'intervention. Méthodes. Il s'agit d'une étude descriptive et analytique à recrutement rétrospectif, réalisée du 1erJanvier 1998 au 31 Décembre 2001 à l'Hôpital Régional de Kindia (HRK). Elle a concerné tous les cas de décès maternels survenus au service de gynécologie obstétrique de l'Hôpital Régional de Kindia. Les caractéristiques épidémiologiques, la provenance, la période du décès et le caractère évitable ou non du décès ont été analysés. Le calcul statistique a été fait à l'aide du test de chi² avec une signifi cativité p < 0,05. Résultats. Il y a eu 128 cas de décès matériels pour 6586 naissances vivantes soit 1944 décès pour 100.000 nouveaux-nés. L'âge moyen de patientes était 28,2 ans avec un écart type de 10 ans et des extrêmes de 15 et 44 ans. Les patientes de la tranche d'âge 15-19 ans (31,3%) analphabètes (62,5%), primipares (42,9%), évacuées (76,6%) et celles n'ayant effectuées aucune CPN (56,3%) étaient les plus touchées. Conclusion. La réduction de la mortalité passerait par l'identification des causes de décès, l'offre des soins obstétricaux et néonataux d'urgences complets

HIV and/or AIDS-related deaths and modifiable risk factors: a descriptive study of medical admissions at Oshakati Intermediate Hospital in Northern Namibia

Background: High rates of HIV infection have decreased life expectancy in many African countries. Regardless of worldwide efforts to escalate treatment; care and prevention strategies; the number of deaths due to AIDS-related disorders is still high. Local healthcare workers suspect that there are modifiable factors in the care of HIV and/or AIDS patients which can be identified and improved. Aim: To describe the HIV and/or AIDS-related causes of adult mortality and identify modifiable factors amongst patients admitted to Oshakati Intermediate Hospital; northern Namibia. Methods: Data was extracted retrospectively and coded using the modified CoDe protocol for AIDS. Modifiable factors relating to the patient; health system or clinical care were identified using a standardised data collection tool.Results: A total of 177 HIV and/or AIDS patients were identified; 94 (53.1%) were male and 120 (68%) had a CD4 count of less than 200 cells/mL. The common HIV-related causes of death were tuberculosis (25.9%); renal failure (15.8%); Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia (11.3%); cryptococcal meningitis (9%); HIV wasting syndrome (7.9%) and AIDS-defining malignancy (7.9%). The analysis revealed 281 modifiable factors; patient-related factors were the most common (153 [54.4%]); followed by health system factors (97 [34.5%]) and healthcare personnel factors (31 [11%]).Conclusion: Our findings have highlighted the challenges in overall HIV and/or AIDS inpatient care and surrounding primary care facilities. The identification of specific modifiable factors can be used to reduce mortality by providing training as well as rational monitoring; planning and resource allocation

Etiologies de la mortalite maternelle a l'hopital gyneco-obstetrique et pediatrique de Yaounde: une serie de 58 deces

Objectifs: L'objectif de ce travail etait d'analyser les etiologies des deces maternels survenant dans un hopital de niveau tertiaire. Methodologie: Il s'agit d'une etude transversale avec collecte des donnees retrolective des deces maternels ayant eu lieu a l'Hopital Gyneco-Obstetrique et Pediatrique de Yaounde du 1er Janvier 2007 au 31 Decembre 2010. Tous les cas de deces maternels conformes a la definition de l'Organisation Mondiale de la Sante ont ete inclus. Les donnees ont ete analysees par les logiciels informatiques Epi info 3.5.1 et Excel 2007. Resultats: Cinquante-huit (58) deces maternels ont ete identifies pendant la periode de l'etude. Les principales causes de mortalite maternelle etaient : l'hypertension (22;4%); le VIH/SIDA (19;0%); les avortements septiques (17;2%); les hemorragies (13;8%); les cancers (10;3%) et la septicemie du post-partum (8;6%). Conclusion: L'hypertension; le VIH; et les avortements septiques sont les principales causes de mortalite dans cet hopital de niveau tertiaire. Les hemorragies ne sont responsables que d'une faible proportion des deces maternels. Nous recommandons la mise en place d'interventions visant a prevenir les deces maternels dus a l'hypertension en grossesse; a l'infection au VIH et aux avortements septiques. D'autre part; une politique hospitaliere basee sur la mise a disposition; sans frais exigibles en urgence; des paquets minimum pour les interventions obstetricales; de poches de sang et des equipes chirurgicales et anesthesiques; pourrait reduire efficacement la part des hemorragies dans la survenue des deces maternels en Afrique subsaharienne