Determining bed needs from occupancy rates in hospitals of Alexandria health directorate

Means of duration of patient's stay, occupancy rate and bed turnover rate for the hospitals belonging to Alex and ria Health Directorate during the period from 1980 to 1988 were calculated. The appropriate number of beds using the st and ard deviation formula based on the Poisson distribution was estimated for each hospital. The study indicated overbedding among 12 out of these hospitals with subsequent over expenditure

Seasonal variation of births in Alexandria

A total of 92460 live births registered between January 1978 and December 1988 in Alex and ria, were examined for seasonal variation using a time series analysis. The monthly number registered births showed a significant pattern with peak in January and minimum in May. Computation of seasonal index, cyclical and irregular percentages were done using the multiplicative model of time series within the 11 years' period of study. The seasonal pattern may be attributed to the climatic conditions and the socioeconomic patterns during the period of study

Infant, neonatal and postneonatal mortalities in Egypt and Alexandria Governorate: trends and prediction

This study aimed at determining the trend of infant mortality, neonatal mortality, postneonatal mortality and the ratio of postnenonatal mortality to neonatal mortality% during the last 27 years for Egypt as a whole and Alexandria Governorate with investigation of the trend change after eliminating the effect of National Control of Diarrheal Diseases Project and Predicting the expected situation of infant mortality profile for future years. The rates of Egypt were obtained form CAPMAS while rates of Alexandria Governorate were calculated using the original data. Time Series Analysis using the method of least squares for determining the slope of the best fitting straight line was carried out to calculate the trend and predicted the expected rate values. An evident on-going declining trend in infant mortality rate, postneonatal mortality rate and ratio of postneonatal mortality to neonatal mortality% was experienced in Egypt and Alexandria and it was faster in Alexandria. On eliminating the effect of the rehydration program a delayed lowest expected rates wee detected. The neonatal mortality ate decline showed the same slope even after elimination of the program effect. Prediction of future rates showed better chance of child survival of Egyptian infants and it would be observed faster in Alexandria