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1.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22275323

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUNDThe BNT162b2 (Pfizer-BioNTech) 2-dose vaccine for children and the BNT162b2 3rd dose for adolescents were approved shortly before the Omicron outbreak in Israel. The effects of these vaccines on the rates of Omicron confirmed infection are not yet clear. METHODSWe extracted data for the Omicron-dominated (sub-lineage BA.1) period December 26, 2021 through January 8, 2022. We compared rates of confirmed Covid-19 infection between children 5-10 years old 14-35 days after receiving the 2nd dose to an internal control group of children 3-7 days after receiving the 1st dose (when the vaccine is not yet effective). Similarly, we compared confirmed infection rates in adolescents 12-15 years old 14-60 days after receiving a booster dose to an internal control group of adolescents 3-7 days after receiving the booster dose. We used Poisson regression, adjusting for age, sex, socioeconomic status, calendar week, and exposure. RESULTSIn the 5-10 age group, the estimated rate of confirmed infection was 2.3 fold (95% CI, 2.0 to 2.5) lower in the 2nd dose group than in the internal control group. In adolescents, the third dose decreased confirmed infection rates by 3.3-fold (95% CI, 2.8 to 4.0). CONCLUSIONSA recent 2-dose BNT162b2 vaccination in children and a recent booster dose in adolescents reduced the rate of confirmed infection compared to the respective internal control groups. Future studies are needed to assess the duration of this protection and protection against other outcomes such as PIMS and long-COVID.

2.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22274592

ABSTRACT

BackgroundTwo doses of the BNT162b2 vaccine yielded high effectiveness that wanes within several months. The third dose was effective in mounting a significant humoral and cellular immune response.. MethodsWe followed BNT162b2-vaccinated health-care workers monthly for IgG and neutralizing antibody (NeutAb) titers. Avidity, T-cell activation and microneutralization of sera against different variants of concern (VOC) were assessed for a sub-cohort. Linear mixed models were used to compare the durability of the second and third doses, and to assess if Omicron breakthrough infections were associated with waning dynamics. ResultsOverall 3972 participants with a third dose were followed, the rate of waning of IgG and NeutAb was slower after the third (1.32%/day and 1.32%/day, respectively) compared to the second (2.26%/per day and 3.34%/day) dose. Live-neutralization of Omicron VOC was lower compared to previous strains and demonstrated similar waning from 111 (95%CI:75-166) to 26 (95%CI:16-42) within 4 months. Mean T cell activity decreased from 98{+/-}5.4 T cells/106 PBMC to 59{+/-}9.3, within 3-5 months. Omicron breakthrough infections were associated with lower IgG peak (ratio of means 0.86 95%CI 0.80-0.91), and among participants over 65y with faster waning of both IgG and NeutAb (ratio of mean rates 1.40 95% CI 1.13-1.68 and 3.58 95% CI 1.92-6.67). No waining in IgG avidity was obsereved during 112 days after the 3rd dose. ConclusionThe third dose is more durable than the second dose, yet Omicron is relatively resistant to direct neutralization. The level of humoral response may predict breakthrough infections.

3.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22274647

ABSTRACT

Following a rise in cases due to the delta variant and evidence of waning immunity after 2 doses of the BNT162b2 vaccine, Israel began administering a third BNT162b2 dose (booster) in July 2021. Recent studies showed that the 3rd dose provides a much lower protection against infection with the omicron variant compared to the delta variant and that this protection wanes quickly. In this study, we used data from Israel to estimate the protection of the 3rd dose against severe disease up to 7 months from receiving the booster dose. The analysis shows that protection conferred by the 3rd dose against omicron did not wane over a 7-month period and that a 4th dose further increased protection, with a severe disease rate approximately 3-fold lower than in the 3-dose cohorts.

4.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-22270232

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUNDOn January 2, 2022, Israel began administering a fourth dose of BNT162b2 vaccine (Pfizer-BioNTech) to people aged over 60 years and at-risk populations, who had received a third dose of vaccine at least 4 months earlier. The effect of the fourth dose on confirmed coronavirus 2019 disease (Covid-19) and severe illness are still unclear. METHODSWe extracted data for the Omicron-dominated period January 15 through January 27, 2022, from the Israeli Ministry of Health database regarding 1,138,681 persons aged over 60 years and eligible for the fourth dose. We compared the rate of confirmed Covid-19 and severe illness between those who had received a fourth dose at least 12 days earlier, those who had received only three doses, and those 3 to 7 days after receiving the fourth dose. We used Poisson regression after adjusting for possible confounding factors. RESULTSThe rate of confirmed infection was lower in people 12 or more days after their fourth dose than among those who received only three doses and those 3 to 7 days after vaccination by factors of 2.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 2.0 to 2.1) and 1.9 (95% CI, 1.8 to 2.0), respectively. The rate of severe illness was lower by factors of 4.3 (95% CI, 2.4 to 7.6) and 4.0 (95% CI, 2.2 to 7.5). CONCLUSIONSRates of confirmed Covid-19 and severe illness were lower following a fourth dose compared to only three doses.

5.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21267114

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUNDInfection with SARS-CoV-2 provides substantial natural immunity against reinfection. Recent studies have shown strong waning of the immunity provided by the BNT162b2 vaccine. The time course of natural and hybrid immunity is unknown. METHODSData on confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections were extracted from the Israeli Ministry of Health database for the period August to September 2021 regarding all persons previously infected or vaccinated. We compared infection rates as a function of time since the last immunity-conferring event using Poisson regression, adjusting for possible confounding factors. RESULTSConfirmed infection rates increased according to time elapsed since the last immunity-conferring event in all cohorts. For unvaccinated previously infected individuals they increased from 10.5 per 100,000 risk-days for those previously infected 4-6 months ago to 30.2 for those previously infected over a year ago. For individuals receiving a single dose following prior infection they increased from 3.7 per 100,000 person days among those vaccinated in the past two months to 11.6 for those vaccinated over 6 months ago. For vaccinated previously uninfected individuals the rate per 100,000 person days increased from 21.1 for persons vaccinated within the first two months to 88.9 for those vaccinated more than 6 months ago. CONCLUSIONSProtection from reinfection decreases with time since previous infection, but is, nevertheless, higher than that conferred by vaccination with two doses at a similar time since the last immunity-conferring event. A single vaccine dose after infection helps to restore protection.

6.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21268037

ABSTRACT

In a prospective cohort study involving 12,413 Health Care Workers (HCW), we assessed immunogenicity, vaccine-effectiveness (VE) and safety of the third BNT162b2 vaccine dose. One month after third dose, anti-RBD-IgG were induced 1.7-folds compared to one month after the second. A significant increase in avidity from 61.1% (95%CI:56.1-66.7) to 96.3% (95%CI:94.2-98.5) resulted in a 6.1-folds neutralizing antibodies induction. Linear mixed model demonstrated that the third dose elicited a greater response among HCW[≥]60 or those with [≥]two comorbidities who had a lower response following the second dose. VE of the third dose relative to two doses was 85.6% (95% CI, 79.2-90.1%). No serious adverse effects were reported. These results suggest that the third dose is superior to the second dose in both quantity and quality of IgG-antibodies and safely boosts protection from SARS-CoV-2 infection by generating high avidity antibodies to levels that are not significantly different between healthy and vulnerable populations.

7.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21264626

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUNDFollowing administration to persons 60+ years of age, the booster vaccination campaign in Israel was gradually expanded to younger age groups who received a second dose >5 months earlier. We study the booster effect on COVID-19 outcomes. METHODSWe extracted data for the period July 30, 2021 to October 6, 2021 from the Israeli Ministry of Health database regarding 4,621,836 persons. We compared confirmed Covid-19 infections, severe illness, and death of those who received a booster [≥]12 days earlier (booster group) with a nonbooster group. In a secondary analysis, we compared the rates 3-7 days with [≥]12 days after receiving the booster dose. We used Poisson regressions to estimate rate ratios after adjusting for possible confounding factors. RESULTSConfirmed infection rates were {approx}10-fold lower in the booster versus nonbooster group (ranging 8.8-17.6 across five age groups) and 4.8-11.2 fold lower in the secondary analysis. Severe illness rates in the primary and secondary analysis were 18.7-fold (95% CI, 15.7-22.4) and 6.5-fold (95% CI, 5.1-8.3) lower for ages 60+, and 22.0-fold (95% CI, 10.3-47.0) and 3.2-fold (95% CI, 1.1-9.6) lower for ages 40-60. For ages 60+, COVID-19 associated death rates were 14.7-fold (95% CI, 9.4-23.1) lower in the primary analysis and 4.8-fold (95% CI, 2.8-8.2) lower in the secondary analysis. CONCLUSIONSAcross all age groups, rates of confirmed infection and severe illness were substantially lower among those who received a booster dose of the BNT162b2 vaccine.

8.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21262679

ABSTRACT

BackgroundOn July 30, 2021, a third (booster) dose of the Pfizer BNT162b2 vaccine was approved in Israel for individuals 60 years or older who had been fully vaccinated (i.e., received two doses) at least five months previously. Here, we estimate the reduction in relative risk for confirmed infection and severe COVID-19 provided by the booster dose. Methods1,144,690 individuals aged 60y and older who were eligible for a booster dose were followed between July 30 and August 22, 2021. We defined dynamic cohorts where individuals initially belong to the non-booster cohort, leave it when receiving the booster dose and join the booster cohort 12 days later. Rates of infection and severe COVID-19 outcomes per person-days at risk were compared between the cohorts using Poisson regression, adjusting for possible confounding factors. ResultsTwelve days or more after the booster dose we found an 11.4-fold (95% CI: [10.0, 12.9]) decrease in the relative risk of confirmed infection, and a >10-fold decrease in the relative risk of severe illness. Under a conservative sensitivity analysis, we find {approx}5-fold protection against confirmed infection. ConclusionsIn conjunction with safety reports, this study demonstrates the effectiveness of a third vaccine dose in both reducing transmission and severe disease and indicates the great potential of curtailing the Delta variant resurgence by administering booster shots.

9.
Preprint in English | medRxiv | ID: ppmedrxiv-21255670

ABSTRACT

Worldwide shortage of vaccination against SARS-CoV-2 infection while the pandemic is still uncontrolled leads many states to the dilemma whether or not to vaccinate previously infected persons. Understanding the level of protection of previous infection compared to that of vaccination is critical for policy making. We analyze an updated individual-level database of the entire population of Israel to assess the protection efficacy of both prior infection and vaccination in preventing subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection, hospitalization with COVID-19, severe disease, and death due to COVID-19. Vaccination was highly effective with overall estimated efficacy for documented infection of 92{middle dot}8% (CI:[92{middle dot}6, 93{middle dot}0]); hospitalization 94{middle dot}2% (CI:[93{middle dot}6, 94{middle dot}7]); severe illness 94{middle dot}4% (CI:[93{middle dot}6, 95{middle dot}0]); and death 93{middle dot}7% (CI:[92{middle dot}5, 94{middle dot}7]). Similarly, the overall estimated level of protection from prior SARS-CoV-2 infection for documented infection is 94{middle dot}8% (CI:[94{middle dot}4, 95{middle dot}1]); hospitalization 94{middle dot}1% (CI:[91{middle dot}9, 95{middle dot}7]); and severe illness 96{middle dot}4% (CI:[92{middle dot}5, 98{middle dot}3]). Our results question the need to vaccinate previously-infected individuals.

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