Towards efficient and accurate prediction of freeway accident severity using two-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.

Accurately predicting freeway accident severity is crucial for accident prevention, road safety, and emergency rescue services in intelligent freeway systems. However, current research lacks the required precision, hindering the effective implementation of freeway rescue. In this paper, we efficiently address this challenge by categorizing influencing factors into two levels: human and non-human, further subdivided into 6 and 36 categories, respectively. Furthermore, based on the above factors, an efficient and accurate Freeway Accident Severity Prediction (FASP) method is developed by using the two-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. The factor and evaluation sets are determined by calculating the fuzzy evaluation matrix of a single factor. The weight matrix is calculated through the entropy method to compute the final evaluation matrix. Based on the maximum membership principle, the severity of the freeway accident is predicted. Finally, based on the experiments conducted with the traffic accident datasets in China and the US, it is shown that FASP is able to accurately predict the severity of freeway traffic accidents with thorough considerations and low computational cost. It is noted that FASP is the first attempt to achieve freeway accident severity prediction using the two-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to the best of our knowledge.

Optimizing crash risk models for freeway segments: A focus on the heterogeneous effects of road geometric design features, traffic operation status, and crash units.

Traffic crash risk prediction models have been developed to investigate crash occurrence mechanisms and analyze the effects of various traffic operation factors, data on which are collected by densely deployed detectors, on crash risk. However, in China, freeway detectors are widely spaced (the spacing is usually more than 2 km) and the road geometries vary frequently, especially in mountainous areas. Moreover, many freeway sections are located in urban areas and serve commuting functions. Due to the different mechanisms of crash occurrence on road segments with different geometric design features and traffic operation status, it is necessary to consider these heterogeneities in crash risk prediction. In addition to considering observable heterogeneous effects, it is equally important to consider the existence of unobserved heterogeneities among crash units. This study focuses on the effects of different types of heterogeneities on crash risk for segments of the Yongtaiwen Freeway in Zhejiang Province, China, using crash, traffic flow, and road geometric design data. Latent class analysis (LCA), latent profile analysis (LPA), and a combination of both methods are respectively used to classify road segments into subgroups based on road geometric design features, the traffic operation status, and a combination of both. The results reveal that the binary logit model considering the heterogeneous effects of the combination of road geometric design features and the traffic operation status achieves the best performance. Furthermore, binary conditional logit models and grouped random parameter logit models are developed to analyze the unobserved heterogeneity among crash units, and the results show that the latter has a better goodness of fit. Finally, a paradigm of the crash risk prediction for freeway segments with widely-spaced traffic detectors and frequently-changing geometric features is provided for traffic safety management departments.

Enhancing multi-scenario applicability of freeway variable speed limit control strategies using continual learning.

Variable speed limit (VSL) control benefits freeway operations through dynamic speed limit adjustment strategies for specific operation scenarios, such as traffic jams, secondary crash prevention, etc. To develop optimal strategies, deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been employed to map the traffic operation status to speed limits with the corresponding control effects. Then, VSL control strategies were obtained based upon memories of these complex mapping relationships. However, under multi-scenario conditions, DRL trained VSL faces the challenge of performance decay, where the control strategy effects drop sharply for early trained "old scenarios". This so-called scenario forgetting problem is attributed to the fact that DRL would forget the learned old scenario mapping memories after new scenario trainings. To tackle this issue, a continual learning approach has been introduced in this study to enhance the multi-scenario applicability of VSL control strategies. Specifically, a gradient projection memory (GPM) based neural network parameter updating method was proposed to keep the mapping memories of old scenarios during new scenario trainings by imposing constraints on the direction of gradient updates for new tasks. The proposed method was evaluated using three typical freeway operation scenarios developed in the simulation platform SUMO. Experimental results showed that the continual learning approach has substantially reduced the performance decay in old scenarios by 17.76% (valued using backward transfer metrics). Furthermore, the multi-scenario VSL control strategies successfully reduced the speed standard deviation and average travel time by 28.77% and 7.25% respectively. Moreover, the generalization of the proposed continual learning based VSL approach were evaluated and discussed.

Study of the necessity of a speed monitoring display at the returning chicane on a freeway bypass.

OBJECTIVE: Roadwork zones represent a hazardous place within the highway system, with higher crash rates and injury severity, often due to excessive speed and noncompliance with speed limits. On freeways, a common layout is to close a full roadway and to divert traffic onto the opposite roadway, with one lane closed to accommodate the redirected traffic, by driving through the median strip. In this scenario, the second chicane can be a hazardous point if it is not correctly signaled. This paper examines the need to install a speed monitoring display (SMD) before the returning chicane on a bypass. METHODS: A two-phase study was conducted on a Spanish freeway where a roadway was temporarily closed. Two measurement points were established on the bypass, one in the middle and one at the end, prior to the return chicane through the median strip. During Phase 1, the portable SMD was installed and during Phase 2, it was removed. The average and the 85th percentile of the speed distribution at each point during both phases were compared. Additionally, mean difference tests were conducted and a speed prediction model was developed. RESULTS: With the SMD, drivers reduced their speed from the midpoint to the returning chicane, within the range of 7-10 km/h. Conversely, upon removal of the SMD, motorists increased their speed while driving through the bypass, resulting in excessive speed at the most hazardous point, the chicane leading back to the original roadway. The difference in mean speed between the two phases was 18 km/h at the returning chicane. CONCLUSIONS: In addition to the traffic calming measures implemented prior to entering roadwork zones on freeways, which are conveniently established in the standards; it is necessary to evaluate potentially dangerous areas of the layout and implement additional measures where required. Specifically, in the case of final chicanes of bypasses with reduced radii, it is recommended that a speed monitoring display be installed as a mandatory element in order to inform drivers of this challenging segment. Highway administrations around the world should maintain a SMD at the returning chicane of a bypass while roadworks last.

A freeway vehicle early warning method based on risk map: Enhancing traffic safety through global perspective characterization of driving risk.

In the era of rapid advancements in intelligent transportation, utilizing vehicle operating data to evaluate the risk of freeway vehicles and study on vehicle early warning methods not only lays a theoretical foundation for improving the active safety of vehicles, but also provides the technical support for reducing accident rate. This paper proposes a freeway vehicle early warning method based on risk map to enhance vehicle safety. Firstly, Modified Time-to-Collision (MTTC), a two-dimensional indicator that describes the risk of inter-vehicle travel, is used as an indicator of road traffic risk. This paper designs a transformation function to probabilistically transform MTTC into Risk Indicators (RI). The single-vehicle risk map is generated based on the mapping relationship between the risk values and the corresponding roadway segments. These single-vehicle risk maps of all vehicles on the road are superimposed to construct the risk map, which is used to describe the risk distribution in the freeway. Then, a vehicle early warning framework is built based on the risk map. The risk values in the risk map are compared with predefined early warning thresholds to alert the vehicle when it enters a high-risk state. Finally, VISSIM is used to carry out simulation experiments. The experiment simulates a freeway accident stopping situation. This scenario includes sub-scenarios such as unplanned stopping and lane-changing, continuous lane-changing, and adjacent lane overtaking. We analyze the risk map and vehicle warning results in different sub-scenarios, evaluate the risk changes of the vehicles before and after receiving the warning, and compare the warning results of the method in this paper with other alternative methods. The method is applied to 17 vehicles in the simulation to adjust their motion states. The results show that the total warning time is reduced by 29.6% and 73.3% of vehicles change lanes away from the accident vehicle. The overall results validate the effectiveness of the vehicle early warning method based on risk map proposed in this paper.

Analyzing the transition from two-vehicle collisions to chain reaction crashes: A hybrid approach using random parameters logit model, interpretable machine learning, and clustering.

Chain reaction crashes (CRC) begin with a two-vehicle collision and rapidly intensify as more vehicles get directly involved. CRCs result in more extensive damage compared to two-vehicle crashes and understanding the progression of a two-vehicle collision into a CRC can unveil preventive strategies that have received less attention. In this study, to align with recent research direction and overcome the limitations of econometric and machine learning (ML) modelling, a hybrid approach is adopted. Moreover, to tackle the existing challenges in crash analysis, addressing unobserved heterogeneity in ML, and exploring random parameter effects and interactions more precisely, a new approach is proposed. To achieve this, a hybrid random parameter logit model and interpretable ML, joint with prior latent class clustering is implemented. Notably, this is the first attempt at using a clustering with hybrid modeling. The significant risk factors, their critical values, distinct effects, and interactions are interpreted using both marginal effects and the SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) method across clusters. This study utilizes crash, traffic, and geometric data from eleven suburban freeways in Iran collected over a 5-year period. The overall results indicate an increased risk of CRC in congested traffic, higher traffic variation, and on horizontal curves combined with longitudinal slopes. Some parameters exhibit distinct or fluctuating effects, which are discussed across different conditions or considering interactions. For instance, during nighttime, heightened congestion on 2-lane freeways, increased traffic variation in less congested conditions, and adverse weather combined with horizontal curves and slopes pose risks. During daytime, increased traffic variation within highly congested sections, higher proportion of heavy vehicle traffic in moderately congested sections, and two lanes in each direction coupled with curves, elevate the levels of risk. The results of this study provide a better understanding of risk factors impact across different conditions, which are usable for policy makers.

A variable speed limit control approach for freeway tunnels based on the model-based reinforcement learning framework with safety perception.

To improve the traffic safety and efficiency of freeway tunnels, this study proposes a novel variable speed limit (VSL) control strategy based on the model-based reinforcement learning framework (MBRL) with safety perception. The MBRL framework is designed by developing a multi-lane cell transmission model for freeway tunnels as an environment model, which is built so that agents can interact with the environment model while interacting with the real environment to improve the sampling efficiency of reinforcement learning. Based on a real-time crash risk prediction model for freeway tunnels that uses random deep and cross networks, the safety perception function inside the MBRL framework is developed. The reinforcement learning components fully account for most current tunnels' application conditions, and the VSL control agent is trained using a deep dyna-Q method. The control process uses a safety trigger mechanism to reduce the likelihood of crashes caused by frequent changes in speed. The efficacy of the proposed VSL strategies is validated through simulation experiments. The results show that the proposed VSL strategies significantly increase traffic safety performance by between 16.00% and 20.00% and traffic efficiency by between 3.00% and 6.50% compared to a fixed speed limit approach. Notably, the proposed strategies outperform traditional VSL strategy based on the traffic flow prediction model in terms of traffic safety and efficiency improvement, and they also outperform the VSL strategy based on model-free reinforcement learning framework when sampling efficiency is considered together. In addition, the proposed strategies with safety triggers are safer than those without safety triggers. These findings demonstrate the potential for MBRL-based VSL strategies to improve traffic safety and efficiency within freeway tunnels.

Exploring the Timing of Disengagement From Nondriving Related Tasks in Scheduled Takeovers With Pre-Alerts: An Analysis of Takeover-Related Measures.

OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to investigate drivers' disengagement from nondriving related tasks (NDRT) during scheduled takeovers and to evaluate its impact on takeover performance. BACKGROUND: During scheduled takeovers, drivers typically have sufficient time to prepare. However, inadequate disengagement from NDRTs can introduce safety risks. METHOD: Participants experienced scheduled takeovers using a driving simulator, undergoing two conditions, with and without an NDRT. We assessed their takeover performance and monitored their NDRT disengagement from visual, cognitive, and physical perspectives. RESULTS: The study examined three NDRT disengagement timings (DTs): DT1 (disengaged before the takeover request), DT2 (disengaged after the request but before taking over), and DT3 (not disengaged). The impact of NDRT on takeover performance varied depending on DTs. Specifically, DT1 demonstrated no adverse effects; DT2 impaired takeover time, while DT3 impaired both takeover time and quality. Additionally, participants who displayed DT1 exhibited longer eye-off-NDRT duration and a higher eye-off-NDRT count during the prewarning stage compared to those with DT2 and DT3. CONCLUSION: Drivers can benefit from earlier disengagement from NDRTs, demonstrating resilience to the adverse effects of NDRTs on takeover performance. The disengagement of cognition is often delayed compared to that of eyes and hands, potentially leading to DT3. Moreover, visual disengagement from NDRTs during the prewarning stage could distinguish DT1 from the other two. APPLICATION: Our study emphasizes considering NDRT disengagement in designing systems for scheduled takeovers. Measures should be taken to promote early disengagement, facilitate cognitive disengagement, and employ visual disengagement during the prewarning period as predictive indicators of DTs.

A spatio-temporal deep learning approach to simulating conflict risk propagation on freeways with trajectory data.

On freeways, sudden deceleration or lane-changing by vehicles can trigger conflict risk that propagates backward in a specific pattern. Simulating this pattern of conflict risk propagation can not only help prevent crashes but is also vital for the deployment of advanced vehicle technologies. However, conflict risk propagation simulation (CRPS) on freeways is challenging due to the nuanced nature of the pattern, intricate spatio-temporal interdependencies among sequences and the high-resolution requirements. In this work, we introduce a conflict risk index to delineate potential conflict risk by aggregating various surrogate safety measures (SSMs) over time and space, and then propose a Spatio-Temporal Transformer Network (STTN) to simulate its propagation patterns. Multi-head attention mechanism and stacking layers enable the transformer to learn dynamic and hierarchical features in conflict risk sequences globally and locally. Two components, spatial and temporal learning transformers, are innovatively incorporated to extract and fuse these features, culminating in a fine-grained conflict risk inference. Comprehensive tests in real-world datasets verified the effectiveness of the STTN. Specifically, we employ three widely-recognized SSMs: Modified Time-To-Collision (MTTC), Proportion of Stopping Distance (PSD), and Deceleration Rate to Avoid a Collision (DRAC). These SSMs, gleaned from vehicle trajectories, are employed to delineate the conflict risk. Then, we conduct three comparative simulation tasks: MTTC-based model, PSD-based model, and DRAC-based model. Experimental results show that the PSD-based model exhibits a robust performance on all tasks, and is minimally affected by the durations of the simulation time, while the DRAC-based model more distinctly delineates the spatio-temporal conflict risk heterogeneity. Furthermore, we benchmark the STTN against three common state-of-the-art machine learning models across all simulation tasks. Results reveal that the STTN consistently surpassed these benchmark models (LSTM, CNN and ConvLSTM), suggesting the potential of the attention mechanism on the CRPS tasks. Our investigation offers crucial insights beneficial for traffic safety warning, advanced freeway management systems, and driver assistance systems, among others.

Prediction and analysis of likelihood of freeway crash occurrence considering risky driving behavior.

The prediction of the likelihood of vehicle crashes constitutes an indispensable component of freeway safety management. Due to data collection limitations, studies have used mainly traffic flow-related variables to develop freeway crash prediction models but rarely have considered the effect of risky driving behavior on the likelihood of crashes. This study employed navigation software to collect driving behavior data and integrated multi-source data that include vehicle speed, traffic volume, and congestion index values. The study also employed the 'synthesizing minority oversampling technique and edited nearest neighbor' (SMOTE + ENN) coupled method for data balance processing. Three freeway crash likelihood prediction models were built based on the binomial logit, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and support vector machine algorithms, respectively. The Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) algorithm was utilized to explore the effect of each feature variable on the likelihood of crashes. The results show that the prediction accuracy of the XGBoost model is the best of the three compared models. Under the optimal control-to-case ratio (1:1), the prediction accuracy of the XGBoost model reached 0.96 in this study, and the recall rate, specificity, and area-under-the-curve values were 0.86, 0.96, and 0.907, respectively. Comparative test results demonstrate that ranking risky driving behavior into three levels of intensity can effectively enhance the predictive accuracy of the XGBoost model. Moreover, the XGBoost model with its ten-minute time step outperformed the XGBoost model with its five-minute time step in terms of prediction accuracy. The results of the SHAP-based analysis show that the likelihood of highway crashes is high when the traffic congestion level is high and the distribution of the vehicle speed in the upstream roadway section is significant. Also, both sharp acceleration and sharp deceleration lead to greater likelihood of crashes. This paper aims to provide an effective framework for predicting and interpreting the likelihood of freeway crashes, thereby providing guidance for crash prevention, driver training, and the development of traffic regulations.

A method for evaluating the safety of freeway tunnel sections based on driving comfort - a naturalistic driving study.

OBJECTIVE: Driving comfort is crucial for tunnel safety because tunnel sections on freeways often introduce significant environmental changes that can compromise comfort and increase the risk of traffic accidents. This study aimed to quantitatively evaluate the driving comfort in tunnel sections and its implications for safety management. METHODS: Four indicators were used to assess the driving comfort: heart rate growth rate (Hrgr), skin conductance response (SCR), speed, and acceleration. The CRITIC weighting method was employed to calculate a quantitative driving comfort score, and the presence and severity of discomfort were used to evaluate the safety of each tunnel area. In addition, the evaluation was based on a naturalistic test consisting of Hrgr, SCR, speed, and acceleration data. A total of 32 participants were recruited based on a web-based questionnaire screening process, after which they were tested while driving through 30 tunnel sections on the roadway. These 30 tunnels included 14 short (< 500 m), 12 medium (500-1,000 m), and 4 long (1,000-3,000 m) tunnels. RESULTS: The results revealed that the four selected indicators exhibited minimal multicollinearity and effectively captured the driving comfort. Among the indicators, SCR had the most significant contribution to the driving comfort score. Most drivers did not experience substantial discomfort while driving through tunnels. The area where drivers were most susceptible to discomfort was the middle zones of tunnels. However, drivers were more likely to experience strong discomfort in the outside exit, entrance, and middle zones of short, medium, and long tunnels, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: This study provides a comprehensive set of safety evaluation methods for tunnel sections on freeways, with a focus on quantifying the driving comfort. The findings provide theoretical support for freeway management personnel in implementing personalized controls in different tunnel areas with the aim of enhancing tunnel safety and mitigating the occurrence of traffic accidents.

Full data imputation for freeway time-specific safety performance functions' estimation.

Time-specific Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) were proposed to achieve accurate and dynamic crash frequency predictions. Unfortunately, some states do not have or archive the needed high-resolution traffic data to develop time-specific SPFs. This study proposes a novel iterative imputation method to impute the 100% missing volume and speed data from different states with similar crash rates. First, this study calculated the crash rates for 18 states and applied the One-Way Analysis of variance (ANOVA) test to group the states with similar crash rates. Second, as an example FL and VA, which both have traffic data, were used to test the proposed iterative imputation method. The results indicated that the imputed traffic data could capture the same traffic pattern as the real-collected traffic data. Further, the Mean Absolute Error (MAE) between the imputed Ln Volume and the real-collected Ln Volume for FL is only 2.47 vehicles for each segment for three hours. The MAE between the imputed Ln AvgSpeed and the real-collected Ln AvgSpeed for FL is only 1.36 mph. The Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) between the imputed Ln Volume and the real-collected Ln Volume is 11.07%. Meanwhile, the MAPE between the imputed Ln AvgSpeed and the real-collected Ln AvgSpeed is 7.40%. Finally, this study applied the proposed iterative imputation method to develop time-specific SPFs for the state without traffic data and compared the results. The results illustrated that the time-specific SPFs developed by imputed traffic data perfectly reflected the significant variables for both morning and afternoon peak models, with a prediction accuracy of 87.1% for the morning peak model.

A Collaborative Merging Method for Connected and Automated Vehicle Platoons in a Freeway Merging Area with Considerations for Safety and Efficiency.

To solve the problems of congestion and accident risk when multiple vehicles merge into the merging area of a freeway, a platoon split collaborative merging (PSCM) method was proposed for an on-ramp connected and automated vehicle (CAV) platoon under a mixed traffic environment composed of human-driving vehicles (HDV) and CAVs. The PSCM method mainly includes two parts: merging vehicle motion control and merging effect evaluation. Firstly, the collision avoidance constraints of merging vehicles were analyzed, and on this basis, a following-merging motion rule was proposed. Then, considering the feasibility of and constraints on the stability of traffic flow during merging, a performance measurement function with safety and merging efficiency as optimization objectives was established to screen for the optimal splitting strategy. Simulation experiments under traffic demand of 1500 pcu/h/lane and CAV ratios of 30%, 50%, and 70% were conducted respectively. It was shown that under the 50% CAV ratio, the average travel time of the on-ramp CAV platoon was reduced by 50.7% under the optimal platoon split strategy compared with the no-split control strategy. In addition, the average travel time of main road vehicles was reduced by 27.9%. Thus, the proposed PSCM method is suitable for the merging control of on-ramp CAV platoons under the condition of heavy main road traffic demand.

Exploring Factors Affecting Crash Injury Severity with Consideration of Secondary Collisions in Freeway Tunnels.

Although there have been several studies conducted exploring the factors affecting injury severity in tunnel crashes, most studies have focused on identifying factors that directly influence injury severity. In particular, variables related to crash characteristics and tunnel characteristics affect the injury severity, but the inconvenient driving environment in a tunnel space, characterized by narrow space and dark lighting, can affect crash characteristics such as secondary collisions, which in turn can affect the injury severity. Moreover, studies on secondary collisions in freeway tunnels are very limited. The objective of this study was to explore factors affecting injury severity with the consideration of secondary collisions in freeway tunnel crashes. To account for complex relationships between multiple exogenous variables and endogenous variables by considering the direct and indirect relationships between them, this study used a structural equation modeling with tunnel crash data obtained from Korean freeway tunnels from 2013 to 2017. Moreover, based on high-definition closed-circuit televisions installed every 250 m to monitor incidents in Korean freeway tunnels, this study utilized unique crash characteristics such as secondary collisions. As a result, we found that tunnel characteristics indirectly affected injury severity through crash characteristics. In addition, one variable regarding crashes involving drivers younger than 40 years old was associated with decreased injury severity. By contrast, ten variables exhibited a higher likelihood of severe injuries: crashes by male drivers, crashes by trucks, crashes in March, crashes under sunny weather conditions, crashes on dry surface conditions, crashes in interior zones, crashes in wider tunnels, crashes in longer tunnels, rear-end collisions, and secondary collisions with other vehicles.

A Dynamic Lane-Changing Driving Strategy for CAV in Diverging Areas Based on MPC System.

Freeway-diverging areas are prone to low traffic efficiency, congestion, and frequent accidents. Because of the fluctuation of the surrounding traffic flow distribution, the individual decision-making of vehicles in diverging areas is typically unable to plan a departure trajectory that balances safety and efficiency well. Consequently, it is critical that vehicles in freeway-diverging regions develop a lane-changing driving strategy that strives to improve both the safety and efficiency of divergence areas. For CAV leaving the diverging area, this study suggested a full-time horizon optimum solution. Since it is a dynamic strategy, an MPC system based on rolling time horizon optimization was constructed as the primary algorithm of the strategy. A simulation experiment was created to verify the viability of the proposed methodology based on a mixed-flow environment. The results show that, in comparison with the feasible strategies exiting to off-ramp, the proposed strategy can take over 60% reduction in lost time traveling through a diverging area under the premise of safety and comfort without playing a negative impact on the surrounding traffic flow. Thus, the MPC system designed for the subject vehicle is capable of performing an optimal driving strategy in diverging areas within the full-time and space horizon.

Time-specific hierarchical models for predicting crash frequency of reversible and high-occupancy vehicle lanes.

Time-specific Safety Performance Functions (SPFs) were proposed to achieve accurate and dynamic crash frequency predictions. This study contributes to the literature by developing time-specific SPFs for freeways that include reversible lanes (RL) and freeways that include High-Occupancy Vehicle lanes (HOV) using Microwave Vehicle Detection System (MVDS) data from Virginia, Arizona and Washington States. Variables that capture the time-specific traffic turbulence were prepared and considered in the developed SPFs. Moreover, two different hierarchical models were proposed to identify factors associated with the different crash types or severity in crash frequency prediction. The results indicated that the variables representing the volume difference between reversible and general-purpose lanes (GPL) were positively associated with crash frequency. Further, the variable that indicated the design of the access point of the reversible lane was positively associated with crash frequency. The models comparison results showed that the hierarchical models outperformed the corresponding Poisson lognormal model with lower AIC and MAE values. This study also tested the proposed hierarchical models on High-Occupancy Vehicle freeway sections and reached the same conclusion on model comparison results. The significant variables representing the logarithm of volume were found to be significant and positive with crash frequency. Moreover, the difference in average speed between the HOV lanes and GPL was also found to be positive and significant with the crash frequency. In general, this study successfully identified the factors associated with the different crash types or severity in crash frequency prediction models.

High-Throughput Metal 3D Printing Pen Enabled by a Continuous Molten Droplet Transfer.

In metal additive manufacturing (AM), arc plasma is attracting attention as an alternative heat source to expensive lasers to enable the use of various metal wire materials with a high deposition efficiency. However, the stepwise material deposition and resulting limited number of degrees of freedom limit their potential for high-throughput and large-scale production for industrial applications. Herein, a high-throughput metal 3D printing pen (M3DPen) strategy is proposed based on an arc plasma heat source by harnessing the surface tension of the molten metal for enabling continuous material deposition without a downward flow by gravity. The proposed approach differs from conventional arc-based metal AM in that it controls the solidification and cooling time between interlayers of a point-by-point deposition path, thereby allowing for continuous metal 3D printing of freestanding and overhanging structures at once. The resulting mechanical properties and unique microstructures by continuous metal deposition that occur due to the difference in the thermal conditions of the molten metal under cooling are also investigated. This technology can be applied to a wide range of alloy systems and industrial manufacturing, thereby providing new possibilities for metal 3D printing.

A Computational Cognitive Model of Driver Response Time for Scheduled Freeway Exiting Takeovers in Conditionally Automated Vehicles.

OBJECTIVE: This study develops a computational model to predict drivers' response time and understand the underlying cognitive mechanism for freeway exiting takeovers in conditionally automated vehicles (AVs). BACKGROUND: Previous research has modeled drivers' takeover response time in emergency scenarios that demand a quick response. However, existing models may not be applicable for scheduled, non-time-critical takeovers as drivers take longer to resume control when there is no time pressure. A model of driver response time in non-time-critical takeovers is lacking. METHOD: A computational cognitive model of driver takeover response time is developed based on Queuing Network-Model Human Processor (QN-MHP) architecture. The model quantifies gaze redirection in response to takeover request (ToR), task prioritization, driver situation awareness, and driver trust to address the complexities of drivers' takeover strategies when sufficient time budget exists. RESULTS: Experimental data of a preliminary driving simulator study were used to validate the model. The model accounted for 97% of the experimental takeover response time for freeway exiting. CONCLUSION: The current model can successfully predict drivers' response time for scheduled, non-time-critical freeway exiting takeovers in conditionally AVs. APPLICATION: This model can be applied to the human-machine interface design with respect to ToR lead time for enhancing safe freeway exiting takeovers in conditionally AVs. It also provides a foundation for future modeling work towards an integrated driver model of freeway exiting takeover performance.

Comparative Analysis of Influencing Factors on Crash Severity between Super Multi-Lane and Traditional Multi-Lane Freeways Considering Spatial Heterogeneity.

With the growth of traffic demand, the number of newly built and renovated super multi-lane freeways (i.e., equal to or more than a two-way ten-lane) is increasing. Compared with traditional multi-lane freeways (i.e., a two-way six-lane or eight-lane), super multi-lane freeways have higher design speeds and more vehicle interweaving movements, which may lead to higher traffic risks. However, current studies mostly focus on the factors that affect crash severity on traditional multi-lane freeways, while little attention is paid to those on super multi-lane freeways. Therefore, this study aims to explore the impacting factors of crash severity on two kinds of freeways and make a comparison with traditional multi-lane freeways. The crash data of the Guangzhou-Shenzhen freeway in China from 2016 to 2019 is used in the study. This freeway contains both super multi-lane and traditional multi-lane road sections, and data on 2455 crashes on two-way ten-lane sections and 13,367 crashes on two-way six-lane sections were obtained for further analysis. Considering the effects of unobserved spatial heterogeneity, a hierarchical Bayesian approach is applied. The results show significant differences that influence the factors of serious crashes between these two kinds of freeways. On both two types of freeways, heavy-vehicle, two-vehicle, and multi-vehicle involvements are more likely to lead to serious crashes. Still, their impact on super multi-lane freeways is much stronger. In addition, for super multi-lane freeways, vehicle-to-facility collisions and rainy weather can result in a high possibility of serious crashes, but their impact on traditional multi-lane freeways are not significant. This study will contribute to understanding the impacting factors of crash severity on super multi-lane freeways and help the future design and safety management of super multi-lane freeways.

Exploring factors affecting the injury severity of freeway tunnel crashes: A random parameters approach with heterogeneity in means and variances.

Generally, freeway tunnels are built to overcome the complex driving environments in mountainous terrains. However, crashes in these tunnels can be more severe than those on the open road sections due to their closed driving environment. Despite the higher crash severity, very few studies have attempted to investigate the severity of injuries in freeway tunnel crashes. Also, the existing studies on the injury severity analysis of tunnels did not fully consider the unobserved heterogeneity and its interactive effects. To address these issues, the present study first collected a comprehensive dataset containing five-year of police-reported tunnel crashes from Hunan province, China. A random parameters model with heterogeneity in means and variances was then developed to explore the influence of different variables related to the environment, drivers, crashes, vehicles, and tunnels. The study observed that the presence of curves and speeding indicators produce random parameters with heterogeneity in means and variances for freeway tunnels, which is influenced by the young drivers and outside exit zone variables. Also, the results reveal that factors, including weekdays, daytime, speeding, fatigue driving, rear-end collisions, collisions with fixtures, large passenger vehicles, and downgrades increase, while rain reduces the probability of severe injury outcomes in freeway tunnel crashes. More importantly, considering the unique tunnel driving environment, the summer, young drivers, novice drivers, presence of curves, and different tunnel sections (access, entrance, and outside exit zones) also significantly affect the risk of severe injury outcomes. Finally, the study's findings could be used as a basis for developing plans and technologies to minimize the severity of crash injuries in freeway tunnels.